Liga I·Regular Season - 18·
Liga I·Regular Season - 18·Predicted match statistics
Goals
32%
30%
39%
homeawaytotalprediction0.991.132.11safe0.02–1.950.27–1.980.29–3.94safer0.00–2.210.04–2.210.00–4.42
Shots on target
37%
14%
48%
homeawaytotalprediction3.744.127.86safe1.88–5.602.38–5.874.26–11.47safer1.39–6.091.92–6.333.30–12.42
Total shots
33%
59%
homeawaytotalprediction11.6813.3625.04safe7.75–15.609.80–16.9217.55–32.53safer6.66–16.698.84–17.8815.50–34.58
Shots in box
31%
59%
homeawaytotalprediction6.768.1814.94safe3.81–9.705.50–10.869.31–20.56safer2.99–10.534.76–11.607.75–22.13
Blocked shots
40%
16%
44%
homeawaytotalprediction3.163.286.44safe1.28–5.041.63–4.932.90–9.97safer0.73–5.581.13–5.421.87–11.01
Corners
35%
13%
52%
homeawaytotalprediction4.214.859.06safe2.00–6.422.85–6.854.85–13.27safer1.42–7.002.31–7.383.74–14.38
Possession %
49%
46%
homeawayprediction50.3149.58safe43.52–57.1042.80–56.37safer41.85–58.7741.13–58.04
Passes
58%
42%
homeawaytotalprediction397372770safe330–464306–439636–903safer312–483288–456600–939
Pass accuracy %
30%
65%
homeawayprediction64.8368.32safe60.80–68.8663.99–72.64safer59.51–70.1562.68–73.95
Fouls
39%
54%
homeawaytotalprediction13.2114.2327.44safe10.37–16.0411.29–17.1821.66–33.22safer9.61–16.8010.54–17.9320.15–34.73
Offsides
31%
23%
46%
homeawaytotalprediction1.421.763.18safe0.26–2.580.67–2.860.93–5.44safer0.00–2.880.38–3.140.34–6.03
Yellow cards
37%
20%
43%
homeawaytotalprediction1.972.124.09safe0.92–3.010.99–3.251.91–6.27safer0.65–3.280.70–3.541.35–6.82
Red cards
83%
homeawaytotalprediction0.080.110.19safe0.00–0.240.00–0.300.00–0.54safer0.00–0.390.00–0.430.00–0.82
GK saves
47%
17%
36%
homeawaytotalprediction3.032.705.73safe1.59–4.471.14–4.262.74–8.72safer1.21–4.850.72–4.681.93–9.53
| Stat | Homepred / safe / safer | Awaypred / safe / safer | Totalpred / safe / safer | Who wins |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Goals | 0.99 0.02–1.95 0.00–2.21 | 1.13 0.27–1.98 0.04–2.21 | 2.11 0.29–3.94 0.00–4.42 | 32% 30% 39% |
| Shots on target | 3.74 1.88–5.60 1.39–6.09 | 4.12 2.38–5.87 1.92–6.33 | 7.86 4.26–11.47 3.30–12.42 | 37% 14% 48% |
| Total shots | 11.68 7.75–15.60 6.66–16.69 | 13.36 9.80–16.92 8.84–17.88 | 25.04 17.55–32.53 15.50–34.58 | 33% 59% |
| Shots in box | 6.76 3.81–9.70 2.99–10.53 | 8.18 5.50–10.86 4.76–11.60 | 14.94 9.31–20.56 7.75–22.13 | 31% 59% |
| Blocked shots | 3.16 1.28–5.04 0.73–5.58 | 3.28 1.63–4.93 1.13–5.42 | 6.44 2.90–9.97 1.87–11.01 | 40% 16% 44% |
| Corners | 4.21 2.00–6.42 1.42–7.00 | 4.85 2.85–6.85 2.31–7.38 | 9.06 4.85–13.27 3.74–14.38 | 35% 13% 52% |
| Possession % | 50.31 43.52–57.10 41.85–58.77 | 49.58 42.80–56.37 41.13–58.04 | — | 49% 46% |
| Passes | 397 330–464 312–483 | 372 306–439 288–456 | 770 636–903 600–939 | 58% 42% |
| Pass accuracy % | 64.83 60.80–68.86 59.51–70.15 | 68.32 63.99–72.64 62.68–73.95 | — | 30% 65% |
| Fouls | 13.21 10.37–16.04 9.61–16.80 | 14.23 11.29–17.18 10.54–17.93 | 27.44 21.66–33.22 20.15–34.73 | 39% 54% |
| Offsides | 1.42 0.26–2.58 0.00–2.88 | 1.76 0.67–2.86 0.38–3.14 | 3.18 0.93–5.44 0.34–6.03 | 31% 23% 46% |
| Yellow cards | 1.97 0.92–3.01 0.65–3.28 | 2.12 0.99–3.25 0.70–3.54 | 4.09 1.91–6.27 1.35–6.82 | 37% 20% 43% |
| Red cards | 0.08 0.00–0.24 0.00–0.39 | 0.11 0.00–0.30 0.00–0.43 | 0.19 0.00–0.54 0.00–0.82 | 83% |
| GK saves | 3.03 1.59–4.47 1.21–4.85 | 2.70 1.14–4.26 0.72–4.68 | 5.73 2.74–8.72 1.93–9.53 | 47% 17% 36% |
safe = prediction ± MAE · safer = ± RMSE of the serving model for that statistic. The bars show the model's own chance of each side recording more of that statistic — a Poisson approximation from the predicted rates, with the two teams treated as independent
Statistical estimates for information & entertainment only — not betting advice.