Liga I·Regular Season - 18·
Liga I·Regular Season - 18·Predicted match statistics
Goals
55%
23%
22%
homeawaytotalprediction1.871.102.96safe0.90–2.830.24–1.951.14–4.79safer0.65–3.090.01–2.180.66–5.27
Shots on target
66%
23%
homeawaytotalprediction5.874.089.95safe4.01–7.742.33–5.826.35–13.56safer3.52–8.231.87–6.285.39–14.51
Total shots
81%
14%
homeawaytotalprediction16.4711.3927.87safe12.55–20.407.83–14.9620.38–35.35safer11.46–21.496.87–15.9218.33–37.40
Shots in box
80%
14%
homeawaytotalprediction10.646.6417.28safe7.70–13.583.96–9.3211.66–22.91safer6.87–14.413.23–10.0610.09–24.47
Blocked shots
65%
22%
homeawaytotalprediction4.412.857.25safe2.52–6.291.19–4.503.72–10.79safer1.98–6.830.70–4.992.68–11.83
Corners
70%
20%
homeawaytotalprediction6.254.0410.30safe4.04–8.472.04–6.046.08–14.51safer3.47–9.041.51–6.584.98–15.62
Possession %
70%
26%
homeawayprediction55.0045.26safe48.21–61.7938.48–52.05safer46.54–63.4636.81–53.72
Passes
74%
25%
homeawaytotalprediction468389858safe401–536323–456724–992safer383–554305–473689–1027
Pass accuracy %
54%
41%
homeawayprediction73.8572.64safe69.82–77.8868.31–76.96safer68.53–79.1867.00–78.27
Fouls
36%
56%
homeawaytotalprediction12.1813.4525.64safe9.35–15.0210.51–16.4019.86–31.42safer8.59–15.789.76–17.1518.35–32.92
Offsides
34%
24%
42%
homeawaytotalprediction1.481.663.14safe0.32–2.640.56–2.750.89–5.39safer0.02–2.950.28–3.040.30–5.98
Yellow cards
30%
19%
51%
homeawaytotalprediction1.932.524.45safe0.88–2.981.39–3.652.27–6.63safer0.62–3.251.10–3.941.72–7.19
Red cards
79%
homeawaytotalprediction0.100.140.25safe0.00–0.260.00–0.330.00–0.59safer0.00–0.410.00–0.460.00–0.88
GK saves
29%
15%
56%
homeawaytotalprediction2.843.716.55safe1.40–4.282.15–5.273.56–9.54safer1.02–4.661.73–5.692.75–10.36
| Stat | Homepred / safe / safer | Awaypred / safe / safer | Totalpred / safe / safer | Who wins |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Goals | 1.87 0.90–2.83 0.65–3.09 | 1.10 0.24–1.95 0.01–2.18 | 2.96 1.14–4.79 0.66–5.27 | 55% 23% 22% |
| Shots on target | 5.87 4.01–7.74 3.52–8.23 | 4.08 2.33–5.82 1.87–6.28 | 9.95 6.35–13.56 5.39–14.51 | 66% 23% |
| Total shots | 16.47 12.55–20.40 11.46–21.49 | 11.39 7.83–14.96 6.87–15.92 | 27.87 20.38–35.35 18.33–37.40 | 81% 14% |
| Shots in box | 10.64 7.70–13.58 6.87–14.41 | 6.64 3.96–9.32 3.23–10.06 | 17.28 11.66–22.91 10.09–24.47 | 80% 14% |
| Blocked shots | 4.41 2.52–6.29 1.98–6.83 | 2.85 1.19–4.50 0.70–4.99 | 7.25 3.72–10.79 2.68–11.83 | 65% 22% |
| Corners | 6.25 4.04–8.47 3.47–9.04 | 4.04 2.04–6.04 1.51–6.58 | 10.30 6.08–14.51 4.98–15.62 | 70% 20% |
| Possession % | 55.00 48.21–61.79 46.54–63.46 | 45.26 38.48–52.05 36.81–53.72 | — | 70% 26% |
| Passes | 468 401–536 383–554 | 389 323–456 305–473 | 858 724–992 689–1027 | 74% 25% |
| Pass accuracy % | 73.85 69.82–77.88 68.53–79.18 | 72.64 68.31–76.96 67.00–78.27 | — | 54% 41% |
| Fouls | 12.18 9.35–15.02 8.59–15.78 | 13.45 10.51–16.40 9.76–17.15 | 25.64 19.86–31.42 18.35–32.92 | 36% 56% |
| Offsides | 1.48 0.32–2.64 0.02–2.95 | 1.66 0.56–2.75 0.28–3.04 | 3.14 0.89–5.39 0.30–5.98 | 34% 24% 42% |
| Yellow cards | 1.93 0.88–2.98 0.62–3.25 | 2.52 1.39–3.65 1.10–3.94 | 4.45 2.27–6.63 1.72–7.19 | 30% 19% 51% |
| Red cards | 0.10 0.00–0.26 0.00–0.41 | 0.14 0.00–0.33 0.00–0.46 | 0.25 0.00–0.59 0.00–0.88 | 79% |
| GK saves | 2.84 1.40–4.28 1.02–4.66 | 3.71 2.15–5.27 1.73–5.69 | 6.55 3.56–9.54 2.75–10.36 | 29% 15% 56% |
safe = prediction ± MAE · safer = ± RMSE of the serving model for that statistic. The bars show the model's own chance of each side recording more of that statistic — a Poisson approximation from the predicted rates, with the two teams treated as independent
Statistical estimates for information & entertainment only — not betting advice.18+