Liga I·Regular Season - 18·
Liga I·Regular Season - 18·Predicted match statistics
Goals
45%
24%
30%
homeawaytotalprediction1.621.282.90safe0.65–2.590.43–2.141.08–4.72safer0.40–2.840.20–2.370.60–5.20
Shots on target
48%
39%
homeawaytotalprediction5.294.9310.23safe3.43–7.163.19–6.686.62–13.83safer2.94–7.652.73–7.145.67–14.79
Total shots
52%
40%
homeawaytotalprediction14.5413.7228.26safe10.62–18.4710.16–17.2820.77–35.75safer9.53–19.569.20–18.2418.72–37.80
Shots in box
49%
42%
homeawaytotalprediction9.348.9718.31safe6.40–12.286.29–11.6512.69–23.93safer5.57–13.115.55–12.3911.12–25.50
Blocked shots
45%
15%
40%
homeawaytotalprediction3.603.437.03safe1.72–5.491.78–5.083.50–10.57safer1.18–6.031.28–5.572.46–11.60
Corners
60%
29%
homeawaytotalprediction6.054.7310.78safe3.83–8.262.73–6.736.57–14.99safer3.26–8.832.20–7.275.46–16.10
Possession %
62%
33%
homeawayprediction52.8246.49safe46.03–59.6139.71–53.28safer44.36–61.2838.04–54.95
Passes
70%
30%
homeawaytotalprediction465403868safe398–533336–469734–1002safer380–551319–487699–1037
Pass accuracy %
43%
52%
homeawayprediction71.9072.73safe67.87–75.9368.40–77.05safer66.58–77.2267.09–78.36
Fouls
42%
49%
homeawaytotalprediction11.3211.7523.07safe8.48–14.158.81–14.7017.29–28.85safer7.72–14.918.06–15.4415.78–30.35
Offsides
48%
23%
29%
homeawaytotalprediction1.771.333.11safe0.61–2.930.24–2.420.85–5.36safer0.31–3.240.00–2.710.26–5.95
Yellow cards
32%
21%
46%
homeawaytotalprediction1.662.013.67safe0.61–2.710.88–3.141.49–5.85safer0.35–2.980.59–3.430.93–6.41
Red cards
81%
homeawaytotalprediction0.100.110.22safe0.00–0.260.00–0.300.00–0.56safer0.00–0.410.00–0.430.00–0.85
GK saves
38%
15%
46%
homeawaytotalprediction3.303.576.86safe1.86–4.732.01–5.123.87–9.86safer1.47–5.121.59–5.553.06–10.67
| Stat | Homepred / safe / safer | Awaypred / safe / safer | Totalpred / safe / safer | Who wins |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Goals | 1.62 0.65–2.59 0.40–2.84 | 1.28 0.43–2.14 0.20–2.37 | 2.90 1.08–4.72 0.60–5.20 | 45% 24% 30% |
| Shots on target | 5.29 3.43–7.16 2.94–7.65 | 4.93 3.19–6.68 2.73–7.14 | 10.23 6.62–13.83 5.67–14.79 | 48% 39% |
| Total shots | 14.54 10.62–18.47 9.53–19.56 | 13.72 10.16–17.28 9.20–18.24 | 28.26 20.77–35.75 18.72–37.80 | 52% 40% |
| Shots in box | 9.34 6.40–12.28 5.57–13.11 | 8.97 6.29–11.65 5.55–12.39 | 18.31 12.69–23.93 11.12–25.50 | 49% 42% |
| Blocked shots | 3.60 1.72–5.49 1.18–6.03 | 3.43 1.78–5.08 1.28–5.57 | 7.03 3.50–10.57 2.46–11.60 | 45% 15% 40% |
| Corners | 6.05 3.83–8.26 3.26–8.83 | 4.73 2.73–6.73 2.20–7.27 | 10.78 6.57–14.99 5.46–16.10 | 60% 29% |
| Possession % | 52.82 46.03–59.61 44.36–61.28 | 46.49 39.71–53.28 38.04–54.95 | — | 62% 33% |
| Passes | 465 398–533 380–551 | 403 336–469 319–487 | 868 734–1002 699–1037 | 70% 30% |
| Pass accuracy % | 71.90 67.87–75.93 66.58–77.22 | 72.73 68.40–77.05 67.09–78.36 | — | 43% 52% |
| Fouls | 11.32 8.48–14.15 7.72–14.91 | 11.75 8.81–14.70 8.06–15.44 | 23.07 17.29–28.85 15.78–30.35 | 42% 49% |
| Offsides | 1.77 0.61–2.93 0.31–3.24 | 1.33 0.24–2.42 0.00–2.71 | 3.11 0.85–5.36 0.26–5.95 | 48% 23% 29% |
| Yellow cards | 1.66 0.61–2.71 0.35–2.98 | 2.01 0.88–3.14 0.59–3.43 | 3.67 1.49–5.85 0.93–6.41 | 32% 21% 46% |
| Red cards | 0.10 0.00–0.26 0.00–0.41 | 0.11 0.00–0.30 0.00–0.43 | 0.22 0.00–0.56 0.00–0.85 | 81% |
| GK saves | 3.30 1.86–4.73 1.47–5.12 | 3.57 2.01–5.12 1.59–5.55 | 6.86 3.87–9.86 3.06–10.67 | 38% 15% 46% |
safe = prediction ± MAE · safer = ± RMSE of the serving model for that statistic. The bars show the model's own chance of each side recording more of that statistic — a Poisson approximation from the predicted rates, with the two teams treated as independent
Statistical estimates for information & entertainment only — not betting advice.