Liga I·Regular Season - 18·
Liga I·Regular Season - 18·Predicted match statistics
Goals
40%
26%
34%
homeawaytotalprediction1.391.282.66safe0.42–2.360.42–2.130.84–4.49safer0.17–2.610.19–2.360.36–4.97
Shots on target
39%
13%
48%
homeawaytotalprediction4.514.899.39safe2.64–6.373.15–6.635.79–13.00safer2.15–6.862.68–7.104.83–13.96
Total shots
53%
39%
homeawaytotalprediction13.7312.7826.50safe9.80–17.659.21–16.3419.02–33.99safer8.71–18.748.26–17.3016.97–36.04
Shots in box
49%
42%
homeawaytotalprediction8.908.5417.44safe5.96–11.855.86–11.2211.82–23.07safer5.13–12.685.12–11.9610.25–24.63
Blocked shots
44%
16%
41%
homeawaytotalprediction3.413.326.73safe1.53–5.291.67–4.973.19–10.26safer0.98–5.831.17–5.462.16–11.30
Corners
53%
34%
homeawaytotalprediction5.204.449.64safe2.99–7.422.44–6.445.43–13.86safer2.42–7.991.91–6.974.32–14.97
Possession %
58%
38%
homeawayprediction52.8048.47safe46.01–59.5941.68–55.25safer44.34–61.2640.01–56.92
Passes
67%
33%
homeawaytotalprediction472420892safe405–539353–486758–1026safer387–557336–504723–1061
Pass accuracy %
47%
48%
homeawayprediction74.8874.93safe70.85–78.9170.60–79.25safer69.56–80.2069.30–80.56
Fouls
37%
55%
homeawaytotalprediction11.5912.7024.29safe8.76–14.439.76–15.6418.51–30.07safer8.00–15.199.01–16.3917.01–31.58
Offsides
41%
23%
35%
homeawaytotalprediction1.671.543.21safe0.51–2.830.44–2.630.95–5.46safer0.21–3.130.15–2.920.36–6.05
Yellow cards
35%
19%
46%
homeawaytotalprediction2.132.434.56safe1.08–3.181.30–3.562.38–6.74safer0.82–3.451.01–3.851.82–7.29
Red cards
79%
homeawaytotalprediction0.110.140.25safe0.00–0.270.00–0.330.00–0.60safer0.00–0.420.00–0.460.00–0.88
GK saves
42%
16%
42%
homeawaytotalprediction3.163.146.31safe1.73–4.601.59–4.703.31–9.30safer1.34–4.991.16–5.122.50–10.11
| Stat | Homepred / safe / safer | Awaypred / safe / safer | Totalpred / safe / safer | Who wins |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Goals | 1.39 0.42–2.36 0.17–2.61 | 1.28 0.42–2.13 0.19–2.36 | 2.66 0.84–4.49 0.36–4.97 | 40% 26% 34% |
| Shots on target | 4.51 2.64–6.37 2.15–6.86 | 4.89 3.15–6.63 2.68–7.10 | 9.39 5.79–13.00 4.83–13.96 | 39% 13% 48% |
| Total shots | 13.73 9.80–17.65 8.71–18.74 | 12.78 9.21–16.34 8.26–17.30 | 26.50 19.02–33.99 16.97–36.04 | 53% 39% |
| Shots in box | 8.90 5.96–11.85 5.13–12.68 | 8.54 5.86–11.22 5.12–11.96 | 17.44 11.82–23.07 10.25–24.63 | 49% 42% |
| Blocked shots | 3.41 1.53–5.29 0.98–5.83 | 3.32 1.67–4.97 1.17–5.46 | 6.73 3.19–10.26 2.16–11.30 | 44% 16% 41% |
| Corners | 5.20 2.99–7.42 2.42–7.99 | 4.44 2.44–6.44 1.91–6.97 | 9.64 5.43–13.86 4.32–14.97 | 53% 34% |
| Possession % | 52.80 46.01–59.59 44.34–61.26 | 48.47 41.68–55.25 40.01–56.92 | — | 58% 38% |
| Passes | 472 405–539 387–557 | 420 353–486 336–504 | 892 758–1026 723–1061 | 67% 33% |
| Pass accuracy % | 74.88 70.85–78.91 69.56–80.20 | 74.93 70.60–79.25 69.30–80.56 | — | 47% 48% |
| Fouls | 11.59 8.76–14.43 8.00–15.19 | 12.70 9.76–15.64 9.01–16.39 | 24.29 18.51–30.07 17.01–31.58 | 37% 55% |
| Offsides | 1.67 0.51–2.83 0.21–3.13 | 1.54 0.44–2.63 0.15–2.92 | 3.21 0.95–5.46 0.36–6.05 | 41% 23% 35% |
| Yellow cards | 2.13 1.08–3.18 0.82–3.45 | 2.43 1.30–3.56 1.01–3.85 | 4.56 2.38–6.74 1.82–7.29 | 35% 19% 46% |
| Red cards | 0.11 0.00–0.27 0.00–0.42 | 0.14 0.00–0.33 0.00–0.46 | 0.25 0.00–0.60 0.00–0.88 | 79% |
| GK saves | 3.16 1.73–4.60 1.34–4.99 | 3.14 1.59–4.70 1.16–5.12 | 6.31 3.31–9.30 2.50–10.11 | 42% 16% 42% |
safe = prediction ± MAE · safer = ± RMSE of the serving model for that statistic. The bars show the model's own chance of each side recording more of that statistic — a Poisson approximation from the predicted rates, with the two teams treated as independent
Statistical estimates for information & entertainment only — not betting advice.18+