Ballileo
Liga I·Regular Season - 18·

Predicted match statistics

StatHomepred / safe / saferAwaypred / safe / saferTotalpred / safe / saferWho wins
Goals
0.89
0.00–1.85
0.00–2.11
2.09
1.23–2.94
1.00–3.17
2.97
1.15–4.79
0.67–5.27
15%
20%
65%
Shots on target
3.08
1.22–4.95
0.73–5.44
6.02
4.28–7.77
3.82–8.23
9.11
5.50–12.71
4.55–13.67
79%
Total shots
9.69
5.77–13.62
4.68–14.71
17.80
14.24–21.36
13.28–22.32
27.49
20.01–34.98
17.96–37.03
93%
Shots in box
5.23
2.28–8.17
1.45–9.00
11.78
9.10–14.46
8.36–15.20
17.01
11.38–22.63
9.82–24.20
93%
Blocked shots
2.60
0.72–4.48
0.17–5.02
5.19
3.54–6.85
3.05–7.34
7.79
4.26–11.33
3.22–12.36
78%
Corners
3.65
1.44–5.86
0.86–6.44
6.34
4.34–8.34
3.81–8.88
9.99
5.78–14.21
4.67–15.32
15%
76%
Possession %
39.84
33.05–46.63
31.38–48.30
60.98
54.20–67.77
52.53–69.44
—
88%
Passes
350
283–417
265–435
517
451–584
433–601
867
734–1001
698–1037
92%
Pass accuracy %
62.02
57.99–66.05
56.70–67.35
76.22
71.90–80.55
70.59–81.86
—
96%
Fouls
9.74
6.90–12.57
6.14–13.33
11.56
8.61–14.50
7.86–15.25
21.29
15.51–27.08
14.01–28.58
31%
61%
Offsides
2.18
1.02–3.34
0.72–3.64
1.64
0.55–2.73
0.26–3.02
3.82
1.56–6.07
0.98–6.66
50%
21%
29%
Yellow cards
1.78
0.73–2.83
0.47–3.10
1.87
0.74–3.00
0.45–3.29
3.66
1.48–5.83
0.92–6.39
37%
22%
41%
Red cards
0.11
0.00–0.27
0.00–0.42
0.09
0.00–0.27
0.00–0.41
0.20
0.00–0.54
0.00–0.83
83%
GK saves
3.97
2.53–5.40
2.14–5.79
2.37
0.81–3.93
0.39–4.35
6.34
3.34–9.33
2.53–10.14
67%
13%
20%

safe = prediction ± MAE · safer = ± RMSE of the serving model for that statistic. The bars show the model's own chance of each side recording more of that statistic — a Poisson approximation from the predicted rates, with the two teams treated as independent

Statistical estimates for information & entertainment only — not betting advice.18+