Predicted match statistics
Goals
15%
20%
65%
homeawaytotalprediction0.892.092.97safe0.00–1.851.23–2.941.15–4.79safer0.00–2.111.00–3.170.67–5.27
Shots on target
79%
homeawaytotalprediction3.086.029.11safe1.22–4.954.28–7.775.50–12.71safer0.73–5.443.82–8.234.55–13.67
Total shots
93%
homeawaytotalprediction9.6917.8027.49safe5.77–13.6214.24–21.3620.01–34.98safer4.68–14.7113.28–22.3217.96–37.03
Shots in box
93%
homeawaytotalprediction5.2311.7817.01safe2.28–8.179.10–14.4611.38–22.63safer1.45–9.008.36–15.209.82–24.20
Blocked shots
78%
homeawaytotalprediction2.605.197.79safe0.72–4.483.54–6.854.26–11.33safer0.17–5.023.05–7.343.22–12.36
Corners
15%
76%
homeawaytotalprediction3.656.349.99safe1.44–5.864.34–8.345.78–14.21safer0.86–6.443.81–8.884.67–15.32
Possession %
88%
homeawayprediction39.8460.98safe33.05–46.6354.20–67.77safer31.38–48.3052.53–69.44
Passes
92%
homeawaytotalprediction350517867safe283–417451–584734–1001safer265–435433–601698–1037
Pass accuracy %
96%
homeawayprediction62.0276.22safe57.99–66.0571.90–80.55safer56.70–67.3570.59–81.86
Fouls
31%
61%
homeawaytotalprediction9.7411.5621.29safe6.90–12.578.61–14.5015.51–27.08safer6.14–13.337.86–15.2514.01–28.58
Offsides
50%
21%
29%
homeawaytotalprediction2.181.643.82safe1.02–3.340.55–2.731.56–6.07safer0.72–3.640.26–3.020.98–6.66
Yellow cards
37%
22%
41%
homeawaytotalprediction1.781.873.66safe0.73–2.830.74–3.001.48–5.83safer0.47–3.100.45–3.290.92–6.39
Red cards
83%
homeawaytotalprediction0.110.090.20safe0.00–0.270.00–0.270.00–0.54safer0.00–0.420.00–0.410.00–0.83
GK saves
67%
13%
20%
homeawaytotalprediction3.972.376.34safe2.53–5.400.81–3.933.34–9.33safer2.14–5.790.39–4.352.53–10.14
| Stat | Homepred / safe / safer | Awaypred / safe / safer | Totalpred / safe / safer | Who wins |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Goals | 0.89 0.00–1.85 0.00–2.11 | 2.09 1.23–2.94 1.00–3.17 | 2.97 1.15–4.79 0.67–5.27 | 15% 20% 65% |
| Shots on target | 3.08 1.22–4.95 0.73–5.44 | 6.02 4.28–7.77 3.82–8.23 | 9.11 5.50–12.71 4.55–13.67 | 79% |
| Total shots | 9.69 5.77–13.62 4.68–14.71 | 17.80 14.24–21.36 13.28–22.32 | 27.49 20.01–34.98 17.96–37.03 | 93% |
| Shots in box | 5.23 2.28–8.17 1.45–9.00 | 11.78 9.10–14.46 8.36–15.20 | 17.01 11.38–22.63 9.82–24.20 | 93% |
| Blocked shots | 2.60 0.72–4.48 0.17–5.02 | 5.19 3.54–6.85 3.05–7.34 | 7.79 4.26–11.33 3.22–12.36 | 78% |
| Corners | 3.65 1.44–5.86 0.86–6.44 | 6.34 4.34–8.34 3.81–8.88 | 9.99 5.78–14.21 4.67–15.32 | 15% 76% |
| Possession % | 39.84 33.05–46.63 31.38–48.30 | 60.98 54.20–67.77 52.53–69.44 | — | 88% |
| Passes | 350 283–417 265–435 | 517 451–584 433–601 | 867 734–1001 698–1037 | 92% |
| Pass accuracy % | 62.02 57.99–66.05 56.70–67.35 | 76.22 71.90–80.55 70.59–81.86 | — | 96% |
| Fouls | 9.74 6.90–12.57 6.14–13.33 | 11.56 8.61–14.50 7.86–15.25 | 21.29 15.51–27.08 14.01–28.58 | 31% 61% |
| Offsides | 2.18 1.02–3.34 0.72–3.64 | 1.64 0.55–2.73 0.26–3.02 | 3.82 1.56–6.07 0.98–6.66 | 50% 21% 29% |
| Yellow cards | 1.78 0.73–2.83 0.47–3.10 | 1.87 0.74–3.00 0.45–3.29 | 3.66 1.48–5.83 0.92–6.39 | 37% 22% 41% |
| Red cards | 0.11 0.00–0.27 0.00–0.42 | 0.09 0.00–0.27 0.00–0.41 | 0.20 0.00–0.54 0.00–0.83 | 83% |
| GK saves | 3.97 2.53–5.40 2.14–5.79 | 2.37 0.81–3.93 0.39–4.35 | 6.34 3.34–9.33 2.53–10.14 | 67% 13% 20% |
safe = prediction ± MAE · safer = ± RMSE of the serving model for that statistic. The bars show the model's own chance of each side recording more of that statistic — a Poisson approximation from the predicted rates, with the two teams treated as independent
Statistical estimates for information & entertainment only — not betting advice.18+

