Liga I·Regular Season - 18·
Liga I·Regular Season - 18·Predicted match statistics
Goals
41%
26%
33%
homeawaytotalprediction1.401.242.64safe0.43–2.370.39–2.100.82–4.47safer0.18–2.620.16–2.330.34–4.95
Shots on target
45%
13%
42%
homeawaytotalprediction4.614.499.11safe2.75–6.482.75–6.245.50–12.71safer2.26–6.972.29–6.704.55–13.67
Total shots
58%
34%
homeawaytotalprediction14.5112.9227.43safe10.59–18.449.35–16.4819.94–34.91safer9.50–19.538.39–17.4417.89–36.97
Shots in box
55%
36%
homeawaytotalprediction8.917.9016.81safe5.97–11.855.22–10.5811.19–22.43safer5.14–12.684.48–11.329.62–24.00
Blocked shots
47%
15%
38%
homeawaytotalprediction3.563.276.83safe1.68–5.441.62–4.933.30–10.37safer1.13–5.981.13–5.422.26–11.40
Corners
48%
39%
homeawaytotalprediction5.094.709.78safe2.87–7.302.70–6.705.57–14.00safer2.30–7.872.16–7.234.46–15.10
Possession %
66%
29%
homeawayprediction53.9145.78safe47.12–60.7039.00–52.57safer45.45–62.3737.32–54.24
Passes
78%
21%
homeawaytotalprediction470375846safe403–538309–442712–979safer385–556291–459676–1015
Pass accuracy %
55%
40%
homeawayprediction69.6668.23safe65.63–73.6963.91–72.56safer64.34–74.9862.60–73.87
Fouls
23%
70%
homeawaytotalprediction11.9915.2827.27safe9.15–14.8212.34–18.2321.49–33.05safer8.39–15.5811.59–18.9719.98–34.55
Offsides
52%
22%
26%
homeawaytotalprediction1.981.363.34safe0.82–3.140.26–2.451.09–5.59safer0.52–3.440.00–2.740.50–6.18
Yellow cards
35%
19%
46%
homeawaytotalprediction2.122.444.56safe1.07–3.171.31–3.562.38–6.74safer0.81–3.441.02–3.861.82–7.29
Red cards
83%
homeawaytotalprediction0.070.120.20safe0.00–0.230.00–0.310.00–0.54safer0.00–0.380.00–0.440.00–0.83
GK saves
38%
16%
45%
homeawaytotalprediction2.943.166.10safe1.50–4.381.61–4.723.11–9.10safer1.12–4.761.18–5.142.30–9.91
| Stat | Homepred / safe / safer | Awaypred / safe / safer | Totalpred / safe / safer | Who wins |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Goals | 1.40 0.43–2.37 0.18–2.62 | 1.24 0.39–2.10 0.16–2.33 | 2.64 0.82–4.47 0.34–4.95 | 41% 26% 33% |
| Shots on target | 4.61 2.75–6.48 2.26–6.97 | 4.49 2.75–6.24 2.29–6.70 | 9.11 5.50–12.71 4.55–13.67 | 45% 13% 42% |
| Total shots | 14.51 10.59–18.44 9.50–19.53 | 12.92 9.35–16.48 8.39–17.44 | 27.43 19.94–34.91 17.89–36.97 | 58% 34% |
| Shots in box | 8.91 5.97–11.85 5.14–12.68 | 7.90 5.22–10.58 4.48–11.32 | 16.81 11.19–22.43 9.62–24.00 | 55% 36% |
| Blocked shots | 3.56 1.68–5.44 1.13–5.98 | 3.27 1.62–4.93 1.13–5.42 | 6.83 3.30–10.37 2.26–11.40 | 47% 15% 38% |
| Corners | 5.09 2.87–7.30 2.30–7.87 | 4.70 2.70–6.70 2.16–7.23 | 9.78 5.57–14.00 4.46–15.10 | 48% 39% |
| Possession % | 53.91 47.12–60.70 45.45–62.37 | 45.78 39.00–52.57 37.32–54.24 | — | 66% 29% |
| Passes | 470 403–538 385–556 | 375 309–442 291–459 | 846 712–979 676–1015 | 78% 21% |
| Pass accuracy % | 69.66 65.63–73.69 64.34–74.98 | 68.23 63.91–72.56 62.60–73.87 | — | 55% 40% |
| Fouls | 11.99 9.15–14.82 8.39–15.58 | 15.28 12.34–18.23 11.59–18.97 | 27.27 21.49–33.05 19.98–34.55 | 23% 70% |
| Offsides | 1.98 0.82–3.14 0.52–3.44 | 1.36 0.26–2.45 0.00–2.74 | 3.34 1.09–5.59 0.50–6.18 | 52% 22% 26% |
| Yellow cards | 2.12 1.07–3.17 0.81–3.44 | 2.44 1.31–3.56 1.02–3.86 | 4.56 2.38–6.74 1.82–7.29 | 35% 19% 46% |
| Red cards | 0.07 0.00–0.23 0.00–0.38 | 0.12 0.00–0.31 0.00–0.44 | 0.20 0.00–0.54 0.00–0.83 | 83% |
| GK saves | 2.94 1.50–4.38 1.12–4.76 | 3.16 1.61–4.72 1.18–5.14 | 6.10 3.11–9.10 2.30–9.91 | 38% 16% 45% |
safe = prediction ± MAE · safer = ± RMSE of the serving model for that statistic. The bars show the model's own chance of each side recording more of that statistic — a Poisson approximation from the predicted rates, with the two teams treated as independent
Statistical estimates for information & entertainment only — not betting advice.