Liga I·Regular Season - 18·
Liga I·Regular Season - 18·Predicted match statistics
Goals
58%
23%
19%
homeawaytotalprediction1.830.932.75safe0.86–2.790.07–1.780.93–4.58safer0.61–3.050.00–2.010.45–5.06
Shots on target
74%
17%
homeawaytotalprediction6.253.729.97safe4.39–8.111.98–5.466.36–13.57safer3.90–8.601.51–5.935.41–14.53
Total shots
88%
homeawaytotalprediction17.8911.0528.95safe13.97–21.827.49–14.6221.46–36.43safer12.88–22.916.53–15.5719.41–38.49
Shots in box
86%
homeawaytotalprediction11.876.7818.65safe8.93–14.814.10–9.4613.03–24.28safer8.10–15.643.36–10.2011.46–25.84
Blocked shots
70%
19%
homeawaytotalprediction4.832.907.73safe2.95–6.711.25–4.564.20–11.27safer2.40–7.250.76–5.053.16–12.30
Corners
77%
15%
homeawaytotalprediction6.803.9010.70safe4.59–9.011.90–5.906.49–14.91safer4.01–9.591.37–6.435.38–16.02
Possession %
75%
22%
homeawayprediction56.1043.78safe49.31–62.8936.99–50.56safer47.64–64.5635.32–52.23
Passes
83%
17%
homeawaytotalprediction461345806safe394–528279–412673–940safer376–546261–429637–976
Pass accuracy %
66%
29%
homeawayprediction69.4765.67safe65.44–73.5061.35–70.00safer64.15–74.7960.04–71.31
Fouls
49%
43%
homeawaytotalprediction12.8412.4025.24safe10.00–15.689.46–15.3519.46–31.03safer9.25–16.448.71–16.1017.96–32.53
Offsides
40%
23%
37%
homeawaytotalprediction1.731.663.39safe0.57–2.890.57–2.751.13–5.64safer0.27–3.190.28–3.040.54–6.23
Yellow cards
28%
21%
51%
homeawaytotalprediction1.472.043.50safe0.42–2.520.91–3.171.33–5.68safer0.15–2.780.62–3.460.77–6.24
Red cards
84%
homeawaytotalprediction0.050.130.18safe0.00–0.210.00–0.320.00–0.53safer0.00–0.360.00–0.450.00–0.81
GK saves
20%
13%
67%
homeawaytotalprediction2.564.186.73safe1.12–3.992.62–5.733.74–9.72safer0.73–4.382.20–6.162.93–10.54
| Stat | Homepred / safe / safer | Awaypred / safe / safer | Totalpred / safe / safer | Who wins |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Goals | 1.83 0.86–2.79 0.61–3.05 | 0.93 0.07–1.78 0.00–2.01 | 2.75 0.93–4.58 0.45–5.06 | 58% 23% 19% |
| Shots on target | 6.25 4.39–8.11 3.90–8.60 | 3.72 1.98–5.46 1.51–5.93 | 9.97 6.36–13.57 5.41–14.53 | 74% 17% |
| Total shots | 17.89 13.97–21.82 12.88–22.91 | 11.05 7.49–14.62 6.53–15.57 | 28.95 21.46–36.43 19.41–38.49 | 88% |
| Shots in box | 11.87 8.93–14.81 8.10–15.64 | 6.78 4.10–9.46 3.36–10.20 | 18.65 13.03–24.28 11.46–25.84 | 86% |
| Blocked shots | 4.83 2.95–6.71 2.40–7.25 | 2.90 1.25–4.56 0.76–5.05 | 7.73 4.20–11.27 3.16–12.30 | 70% 19% |
| Corners | 6.80 4.59–9.01 4.01–9.59 | 3.90 1.90–5.90 1.37–6.43 | 10.70 6.49–14.91 5.38–16.02 | 77% 15% |
| Possession % | 56.10 49.31–62.89 47.64–64.56 | 43.78 36.99–50.56 35.32–52.23 | — | 75% 22% |
| Passes | 461 394–528 376–546 | 345 279–412 261–429 | 806 673–940 637–976 | 83% 17% |
| Pass accuracy % | 69.47 65.44–73.50 64.15–74.79 | 65.67 61.35–70.00 60.04–71.31 | — | 66% 29% |
| Fouls | 12.84 10.00–15.68 9.25–16.44 | 12.40 9.46–15.35 8.71–16.10 | 25.24 19.46–31.03 17.96–32.53 | 49% 43% |
| Offsides | 1.73 0.57–2.89 0.27–3.19 | 1.66 0.57–2.75 0.28–3.04 | 3.39 1.13–5.64 0.54–6.23 | 40% 23% 37% |
| Yellow cards | 1.47 0.42–2.52 0.15–2.78 | 2.04 0.91–3.17 0.62–3.46 | 3.50 1.33–5.68 0.77–6.24 | 28% 21% 51% |
| Red cards | 0.05 0.00–0.21 0.00–0.36 | 0.13 0.00–0.32 0.00–0.45 | 0.18 0.00–0.53 0.00–0.81 | 84% |
| GK saves | 2.56 1.12–3.99 0.73–4.38 | 4.18 2.62–5.73 2.20–6.16 | 6.73 3.74–9.72 2.93–10.54 | 20% 13% 67% |
safe = prediction ± MAE · safer = ± RMSE of the serving model for that statistic. The bars show the model's own chance of each side recording more of that statistic — a Poisson approximation from the predicted rates, with the two teams treated as independent
Statistical estimates for information & entertainment only — not betting advice.18+