Liga I·Regular Season - 19·
Liga I·Regular Season - 19·Predicted match statistics
Goals
27%
26%
47%
homeawaytotalprediction1.071.482.55safe0.10–2.040.63–2.340.73–4.37safer0.00–2.290.40–2.570.25–4.85
Shots on target
33%
13%
54%
homeawaytotalprediction3.954.778.72safe2.09–5.823.02–6.515.11–12.32safer1.60–6.312.56–6.974.16–13.28
Total shots
41%
51%
homeawaytotalprediction13.1913.8827.07safe9.27–17.1210.32–17.4419.58–34.56safer8.18–18.219.36–18.4017.53–36.61
Shots in box
35%
55%
homeawaytotalprediction7.938.9616.88safe4.98–10.876.28–11.6411.26–22.51safer4.15–11.705.54–12.389.69–24.07
Blocked shots
45%
15%
40%
homeawaytotalprediction3.593.447.03safe1.71–5.481.78–5.093.49–10.56safer1.17–6.021.29–5.582.46–11.60
Corners
41%
46%
homeawaytotalprediction4.825.029.84safe2.61–7.043.02–7.025.63–14.05safer2.04–7.612.48–7.554.52–15.16
Possession %
15%
82%
homeawayprediction42.1858.52safe35.39–48.9751.73–65.30safer33.72–50.6450.06–66.97
Passes
87%
homeawaytotalprediction351487838safe284–418421–554704–972safer266–436403–571669–1007
Pass accuracy %
92%
homeawayprediction64.7175.98safe60.69–68.7471.65–80.30safer59.39–70.0470.34–81.61
Fouls
65%
28%
homeawaytotalprediction14.5612.1326.69safe11.72–17.409.18–15.0720.91–32.47safer10.97–18.168.44–15.8219.40–33.98
Offsides
35%
22%
43%
homeawaytotalprediction1.681.873.55safe0.51–2.840.78–2.961.29–5.80safer0.21–3.140.49–3.250.70–6.39
Yellow cards
45%
19%
36%
homeawaytotalprediction2.392.164.55safe1.34–3.441.03–3.292.38–6.73safer1.08–3.710.74–3.581.82–7.29
Red cards
78%
homeawaytotalprediction0.140.130.27safe0.00–0.300.00–0.310.00–0.61safer0.00–0.450.00–0.450.00–0.90
GK saves
46%
17%
37%
homeawaytotalprediction3.132.866.00safe1.70–4.571.31–4.423.00–8.99safer1.31–4.960.88–4.852.19–9.80
| Stat | Homepred / safe / safer | Awaypred / safe / safer | Totalpred / safe / safer | Who wins |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Goals | 1.07 0.10–2.04 0.00–2.29 | 1.48 0.63–2.34 0.40–2.57 | 2.55 0.73–4.37 0.25–4.85 | 27% 26% 47% |
| Shots on target | 3.95 2.09–5.82 1.60–6.31 | 4.77 3.02–6.51 2.56–6.97 | 8.72 5.11–12.32 4.16–13.28 | 33% 13% 54% |
| Total shots | 13.19 9.27–17.12 8.18–18.21 | 13.88 10.32–17.44 9.36–18.40 | 27.07 19.58–34.56 17.53–36.61 | 41% 51% |
| Shots in box | 7.93 4.98–10.87 4.15–11.70 | 8.96 6.28–11.64 5.54–12.38 | 16.88 11.26–22.51 9.69–24.07 | 35% 55% |
| Blocked shots | 3.59 1.71–5.48 1.17–6.02 | 3.44 1.78–5.09 1.29–5.58 | 7.03 3.49–10.56 2.46–11.60 | 45% 15% 40% |
| Corners | 4.82 2.61–7.04 2.04–7.61 | 5.02 3.02–7.02 2.48–7.55 | 9.84 5.63–14.05 4.52–15.16 | 41% 46% |
| Possession % | 42.18 35.39–48.97 33.72–50.64 | 58.52 51.73–65.30 50.06–66.97 | — | 15% 82% |
| Passes | 351 284–418 266–436 | 487 421–554 403–571 | 838 704–972 669–1007 | 87% |
| Pass accuracy % | 64.71 60.69–68.74 59.39–70.04 | 75.98 71.65–80.30 70.34–81.61 | — | 92% |
| Fouls | 14.56 11.72–17.40 10.97–18.16 | 12.13 9.18–15.07 8.44–15.82 | 26.69 20.91–32.47 19.40–33.98 | 65% 28% |
| Offsides | 1.68 0.51–2.84 0.21–3.14 | 1.87 0.78–2.96 0.49–3.25 | 3.55 1.29–5.80 0.70–6.39 | 35% 22% 43% |
| Yellow cards | 2.39 1.34–3.44 1.08–3.71 | 2.16 1.03–3.29 0.74–3.58 | 4.55 2.38–6.73 1.82–7.29 | 45% 19% 36% |
| Red cards | 0.14 0.00–0.30 0.00–0.45 | 0.13 0.00–0.31 0.00–0.45 | 0.27 0.00–0.61 0.00–0.90 | 78% |
| GK saves | 3.13 1.70–4.57 1.31–4.96 | 2.86 1.31–4.42 0.88–4.85 | 6.00 3.00–8.99 2.19–9.80 | 46% 17% 37% |
safe = prediction ± MAE · safer = ± RMSE of the serving model for that statistic. The bars show the model's own chance of each side recording more of that statistic — a Poisson approximation from the predicted rates, with the two teams treated as independent
Statistical estimates for information & entertainment only — not betting advice.18+