Liga I·Regular Season - 19·
Liga I·Regular Season - 19·Predicted match statistics
Goals
25%
24%
52%
homeawaytotalprediction1.111.712.82safe0.14–2.070.86–2.570.99–4.64safer0.00–2.330.63–2.790.51–5.12
Shots on target
30%
57%
homeawaytotalprediction3.814.878.68safe1.94–5.673.13–6.615.07–12.28safer1.45–6.162.66–7.084.12–13.24
Total shots
28%
64%
homeawaytotalprediction11.5613.9325.49safe7.63–15.4810.37–17.5018.00–32.98safer6.54–16.579.41–18.4615.95–35.03
Shots in box
34%
56%
homeawaytotalprediction7.188.3215.50safe4.24–10.125.64–11.009.88–21.12safer3.41–10.954.90–11.748.31–22.69
Blocked shots
41%
16%
44%
homeawaytotalprediction3.323.426.74safe1.44–5.201.76–5.073.20–10.27safer0.90–5.751.27–5.562.17–11.31
Corners
33%
54%
homeawaytotalprediction4.265.109.36safe2.05–6.473.10–7.105.15–13.58safer1.47–7.052.57–7.644.04–14.68
Possession %
22%
74%
homeawayprediction44.4356.49safe37.64–51.2249.70–63.27safer35.97–52.8948.03–64.94
Passes
16%
84%
homeawaytotalprediction378497876safe311–445431–564742–1009safer293–463413–581706–1045
Pass accuracy %
16%
81%
homeawayprediction67.1174.29safe63.08–71.1469.97–78.62safer61.79–72.4368.66–79.93
Fouls
52%
40%
homeawaytotalprediction13.6512.9126.56safe10.81–16.499.97–15.8620.78–32.35safer10.06–17.249.22–16.6119.28–33.85
Offsides
32%
23%
45%
homeawaytotalprediction1.471.793.25safe0.31–2.630.70–2.881.00–5.51safer0.00–2.930.41–3.170.41–6.10
Yellow cards
44%
21%
35%
homeawaytotalprediction1.981.773.76safe0.94–3.030.64–2.901.58–5.94safer0.67–3.300.35–3.191.02–6.49
Red cards
84%
homeawaytotalprediction0.090.090.19safe0.00–0.250.00–0.280.00–0.53safer0.00–0.400.00–0.410.00–0.82
GK saves
50%
17%
34%
homeawaytotalprediction3.192.705.89safe1.76–4.631.14–4.262.90–8.88safer1.37–5.020.72–4.682.09–9.70
| Stat | Homepred / safe / safer | Awaypred / safe / safer | Totalpred / safe / safer | Who wins |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Goals | 1.11 0.14–2.07 0.00–2.33 | 1.71 0.86–2.57 0.63–2.79 | 2.82 0.99–4.64 0.51–5.12 | 25% 24% 52% |
| Shots on target | 3.81 1.94–5.67 1.45–6.16 | 4.87 3.13–6.61 2.66–7.08 | 8.68 5.07–12.28 4.12–13.24 | 30% 57% |
| Total shots | 11.56 7.63–15.48 6.54–16.57 | 13.93 10.37–17.50 9.41–18.46 | 25.49 18.00–32.98 15.95–35.03 | 28% 64% |
| Shots in box | 7.18 4.24–10.12 3.41–10.95 | 8.32 5.64–11.00 4.90–11.74 | 15.50 9.88–21.12 8.31–22.69 | 34% 56% |
| Blocked shots | 3.32 1.44–5.20 0.90–5.75 | 3.42 1.76–5.07 1.27–5.56 | 6.74 3.20–10.27 2.17–11.31 | 41% 16% 44% |
| Corners | 4.26 2.05–6.47 1.47–7.05 | 5.10 3.10–7.10 2.57–7.64 | 9.36 5.15–13.58 4.04–14.68 | 33% 54% |
| Possession % | 44.43 37.64–51.22 35.97–52.89 | 56.49 49.70–63.27 48.03–64.94 | — | 22% 74% |
| Passes | 378 311–445 293–463 | 497 431–564 413–581 | 876 742–1009 706–1045 | 16% 84% |
| Pass accuracy % | 67.11 63.08–71.14 61.79–72.43 | 74.29 69.97–78.62 68.66–79.93 | — | 16% 81% |
| Fouls | 13.65 10.81–16.49 10.06–17.24 | 12.91 9.97–15.86 9.22–16.61 | 26.56 20.78–32.35 19.28–33.85 | 52% 40% |
| Offsides | 1.47 0.31–2.63 0.00–2.93 | 1.79 0.70–2.88 0.41–3.17 | 3.25 1.00–5.51 0.41–6.10 | 32% 23% 45% |
| Yellow cards | 1.98 0.94–3.03 0.67–3.30 | 1.77 0.64–2.90 0.35–3.19 | 3.76 1.58–5.94 1.02–6.49 | 44% 21% 35% |
| Red cards | 0.09 0.00–0.25 0.00–0.40 | 0.09 0.00–0.28 0.00–0.41 | 0.19 0.00–0.53 0.00–0.82 | 84% |
| GK saves | 3.19 1.76–4.63 1.37–5.02 | 2.70 1.14–4.26 0.72–4.68 | 5.89 2.90–8.88 2.09–9.70 | 50% 17% 34% |
safe = prediction ± MAE · safer = ± RMSE of the serving model for that statistic. The bars show the model's own chance of each side recording more of that statistic — a Poisson approximation from the predicted rates, with the two teams treated as independent
Statistical estimates for information & entertainment only — not betting advice.18+