Liga I·Regular Season - 19·
Liga I·Regular Season - 19·Predicted match statistics
Goals
19%
24%
57%
homeawaytotalprediction0.841.672.51safe0.00–1.810.81–2.520.69–4.34safer0.00–2.060.59–2.750.21–4.82
Shots on target
19%
69%
homeawaytotalprediction3.044.958.00safe1.18–4.903.21–6.704.39–11.60safer0.69–5.392.75–7.163.43–12.56
Total shots
22%
72%
homeawaytotalprediction10.5713.9324.50safe6.65–14.5010.37–17.4917.01–31.99safer5.56–15.599.41–18.4514.96–34.04
Shots in box
15%
79%
homeawaytotalprediction6.099.7615.85safe3.15–9.037.08–12.4410.23–21.48safer2.32–9.866.34–13.188.66–23.04
Blocked shots
20%
67%
homeawaytotalprediction2.944.697.63safe1.06–4.823.03–6.344.09–11.16safer0.51–5.362.54–6.833.05–12.20
Corners
29%
59%
homeawaytotalprediction4.275.469.74safe2.06–6.493.46–7.465.52–13.95safer1.48–7.062.93–8.004.41–15.06
Possession %
87%
homeawayprediction40.3260.42safe33.53–47.1153.64–67.21safer31.86–48.7851.97–68.88
Passes
91%
homeawaytotalprediction329493821safe261–396426–559688–955safer243–414409–577652–991
Pass accuracy %
96%
homeawayprediction59.8173.60safe55.78–63.8469.28–77.93safer54.49–65.1367.97–79.24
Fouls
38%
54%
homeawaytotalprediction11.0311.9522.98safe8.19–13.869.01–14.9017.20–28.76safer7.43–14.628.26–15.6515.69–30.27
Offsides
55%
21%
25%
homeawaytotalprediction2.161.413.57safe0.99–3.320.32–2.501.31–5.82safer0.69–3.620.03–2.790.72–6.41
Yellow cards
47%
21%
32%
homeawaytotalprediction2.081.713.79safe1.03–3.130.58–2.841.61–5.97safer0.76–3.390.29–3.131.06–6.53
Red cards
80%
homeawaytotalprediction0.140.090.24safe0.00–0.300.00–0.280.00–0.58safer0.00–0.450.00–0.410.00–0.87
GK saves
54%
17%
29%
homeawaytotalprediction3.152.395.53safe1.71–4.580.83–3.942.54–8.53safer1.32–4.970.40–4.371.73–9.34
| Stat | Homepred / safe / safer | Awaypred / safe / safer | Totalpred / safe / safer | Who wins |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Goals | 0.84 0.00–1.81 0.00–2.06 | 1.67 0.81–2.52 0.59–2.75 | 2.51 0.69–4.34 0.21–4.82 | 19% 24% 57% |
| Shots on target | 3.04 1.18–4.90 0.69–5.39 | 4.95 3.21–6.70 2.75–7.16 | 8.00 4.39–11.60 3.43–12.56 | 19% 69% |
| Total shots | 10.57 6.65–14.50 5.56–15.59 | 13.93 10.37–17.49 9.41–18.45 | 24.50 17.01–31.99 14.96–34.04 | 22% 72% |
| Shots in box | 6.09 3.15–9.03 2.32–9.86 | 9.76 7.08–12.44 6.34–13.18 | 15.85 10.23–21.48 8.66–23.04 | 15% 79% |
| Blocked shots | 2.94 1.06–4.82 0.51–5.36 | 4.69 3.03–6.34 2.54–6.83 | 7.63 4.09–11.16 3.05–12.20 | 20% 67% |
| Corners | 4.27 2.06–6.49 1.48–7.06 | 5.46 3.46–7.46 2.93–8.00 | 9.74 5.52–13.95 4.41–15.06 | 29% 59% |
| Possession % | 40.32 33.53–47.11 31.86–48.78 | 60.42 53.64–67.21 51.97–68.88 | — | 87% |
| Passes | 329 261–396 243–414 | 493 426–559 409–577 | 821 688–955 652–991 | 91% |
| Pass accuracy % | 59.81 55.78–63.84 54.49–65.13 | 73.60 69.28–77.93 67.97–79.24 | — | 96% |
| Fouls | 11.03 8.19–13.86 7.43–14.62 | 11.95 9.01–14.90 8.26–15.65 | 22.98 17.20–28.76 15.69–30.27 | 38% 54% |
| Offsides | 2.16 0.99–3.32 0.69–3.62 | 1.41 0.32–2.50 0.03–2.79 | 3.57 1.31–5.82 0.72–6.41 | 55% 21% 25% |
| Yellow cards | 2.08 1.03–3.13 0.76–3.39 | 1.71 0.58–2.84 0.29–3.13 | 3.79 1.61–5.97 1.06–6.53 | 47% 21% 32% |
| Red cards | 0.14 0.00–0.30 0.00–0.45 | 0.09 0.00–0.28 0.00–0.41 | 0.24 0.00–0.58 0.00–0.87 | 80% |
| GK saves | 3.15 1.71–4.58 1.32–4.97 | 2.39 0.83–3.94 0.40–4.37 | 5.53 2.54–8.53 1.73–9.34 | 54% 17% 29% |
safe = prediction ± MAE · safer = ± RMSE of the serving model for that statistic. The bars show the model's own chance of each side recording more of that statistic — a Poisson approximation from the predicted rates, with the two teams treated as independent
Statistical estimates for information & entertainment only — not betting advice.