Predicted match statistics
Goals
42%
25%
33%
homeawaytotalprediction1.531.322.85safe0.56–2.500.47–2.181.03–4.68safer0.31–2.750.24–2.410.55–5.16
Shots on target
50%
37%
homeawaytotalprediction5.014.539.54safe3.15–6.872.79–6.275.94–13.15safer2.66–7.362.32–6.744.98–14.10
Total shots
57%
36%
homeawaytotalprediction14.6213.2327.85safe10.70–18.559.67–16.7920.37–35.34safer9.61–19.648.71–17.7518.32–37.39
Shots in box
56%
35%
homeawaytotalprediction9.528.3617.88safe6.58–12.465.68–11.0412.26–23.51safer5.75–13.294.94–11.7810.69–25.07
Blocked shots
45%
14%
41%
homeawaytotalprediction4.123.988.10safe2.24–6.002.33–5.634.56–11.64safer1.69–6.541.84–6.133.53–12.67
Corners
59%
30%
homeawaytotalprediction5.864.6510.52safe3.65–8.082.65–6.656.30–14.73safer3.08–8.652.12–7.195.20–15.84
Possession %
63%
32%
homeawayprediction53.6946.87safe46.90–60.4840.09–53.66safer45.23–62.1538.41–55.33
Passes
72%
27%
homeawaytotalprediction460389849safe393–528322–455715–983safer375–546305–473680–1018
Pass accuracy %
44%
51%
homeawayprediction70.1470.80safe66.11–74.1766.48–75.13safer64.82–75.4665.17–76.44
Fouls
47%
45%
homeawaytotalprediction12.2412.0824.32safe9.40–15.089.13–15.0218.54–30.10safer8.65–15.848.38–15.7717.03–31.60
Offsides
47%
23%
30%
homeawaytotalprediction1.761.373.13safe0.60–2.920.27–2.460.87–5.38safer0.30–3.220.00–2.750.28–5.97
Yellow cards
33%
21%
46%
homeawaytotalprediction1.752.083.83safe0.70–2.800.95–3.201.65–6.01safer0.44–3.070.66–3.501.09–6.56
Red cards
82%
homeawaytotalprediction0.110.110.21safe0.00–0.270.00–0.290.00–0.56safer0.00–0.420.00–0.430.00–0.84
GK saves
38%
16%
46%
homeawaytotalprediction3.023.276.29safe1.58–4.461.72–4.833.30–9.28safer1.20–4.841.29–5.252.49–10.10
| Stat | Homepred / safe / safer | Awaypred / safe / safer | Totalpred / safe / safer | Who wins |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Goals | 1.53 0.56–2.50 0.31–2.75 | 1.32 0.47–2.18 0.24–2.41 | 2.85 1.03–4.68 0.55–5.16 | 42% 25% 33% |
| Shots on target | 5.01 3.15–6.87 2.66–7.36 | 4.53 2.79–6.27 2.32–6.74 | 9.54 5.94–13.15 4.98–14.10 | 50% 37% |
| Total shots | 14.62 10.70–18.55 9.61–19.64 | 13.23 9.67–16.79 8.71–17.75 | 27.85 20.37–35.34 18.32–37.39 | 57% 36% |
| Shots in box | 9.52 6.58–12.46 5.75–13.29 | 8.36 5.68–11.04 4.94–11.78 | 17.88 12.26–23.51 10.69–25.07 | 56% 35% |
| Blocked shots | 4.12 2.24–6.00 1.69–6.54 | 3.98 2.33–5.63 1.84–6.13 | 8.10 4.56–11.64 3.53–12.67 | 45% 14% 41% |
| Corners | 5.86 3.65–8.08 3.08–8.65 | 4.65 2.65–6.65 2.12–7.19 | 10.52 6.30–14.73 5.20–15.84 | 59% 30% |
| Possession % | 53.69 46.90–60.48 45.23–62.15 | 46.87 40.09–53.66 38.41–55.33 | — | 63% 32% |
| Passes | 460 393–528 375–546 | 389 322–455 305–473 | 849 715–983 680–1018 | 72% 27% |
| Pass accuracy % | 70.14 66.11–74.17 64.82–75.46 | 70.80 66.48–75.13 65.17–76.44 | — | 44% 51% |
| Fouls | 12.24 9.40–15.08 8.65–15.84 | 12.08 9.13–15.02 8.38–15.77 | 24.32 18.54–30.10 17.03–31.60 | 47% 45% |
| Offsides | 1.76 0.60–2.92 0.30–3.22 | 1.37 0.27–2.46 0.00–2.75 | 3.13 0.87–5.38 0.28–5.97 | 47% 23% 30% |
| Yellow cards | 1.75 0.70–2.80 0.44–3.07 | 2.08 0.95–3.20 0.66–3.50 | 3.83 1.65–6.01 1.09–6.56 | 33% 21% 46% |
| Red cards | 0.11 0.00–0.27 0.00–0.42 | 0.11 0.00–0.29 0.00–0.43 | 0.21 0.00–0.56 0.00–0.84 | 82% |
| GK saves | 3.02 1.58–4.46 1.20–4.84 | 3.27 1.72–4.83 1.29–5.25 | 6.29 3.30–9.28 2.49–10.10 | 38% 16% 46% |
safe = prediction ± MAE · safer = ± RMSE of the serving model for that statistic. The bars show the model's own chance of each side recording more of that statistic — a Poisson approximation from the predicted rates, with the two teams treated as independent
Statistical estimates for information & entertainment only — not betting advice.18+