Liga I·Regular Season - 19·
Liga I·Regular Season - 19·Predicted match statistics
Goals
55%
23%
23%
homeawaytotalprediction1.851.112.96safe0.88–2.820.25–1.961.13–4.78safer0.63–3.070.02–2.190.65–5.26
Shots on target
66%
23%
homeawaytotalprediction5.653.899.54safe3.79–7.512.14–5.635.93–13.14safer3.30–8.001.68–6.094.98–14.10
Total shots
79%
16%
homeawaytotalprediction16.4211.6628.08safe12.49–20.348.10–15.2320.59–35.57safer11.40–21.437.14–16.1918.54–37.62
Shots in box
74%
19%
homeawaytotalprediction10.127.0217.14safe7.18–13.064.34–9.7011.52–22.76safer6.35–13.893.60–10.449.95–24.33
Blocked shots
59%
14%
27%
homeawaytotalprediction4.323.197.51safe2.44–6.201.53–4.843.97–11.04safer1.89–6.751.04–5.332.94–12.08
Corners
66%
23%
homeawaytotalprediction5.844.019.84safe3.62–8.052.01–6.015.63–14.06safer3.05–8.621.47–6.544.52–15.16
Possession %
43%
52%
homeawayprediction49.1951.06safe42.40–55.9844.28–57.85safer40.73–57.6542.61–59.52
Passes
45%
55%
homeawaytotalprediction413428841safe346–480361–494707–975safer328–499344–512672–1010
Pass accuracy %
36%
59%
homeawayprediction71.2373.46safe67.20–75.2669.14–77.79safer65.91–76.5567.83–79.09
Fouls
51%
42%
homeawaytotalprediction13.6913.1126.80safe10.85–16.5310.16–16.0521.02–32.58safer10.10–17.289.41–16.8019.51–34.08
Offsides
42%
25%
33%
homeawaytotalprediction1.531.342.87safe0.37–2.690.25–2.440.62–5.12safer0.07–2.990.00–2.720.03–5.71
Yellow cards
35%
20%
46%
homeawaytotalprediction1.972.274.24safe0.92–3.021.14–3.402.06–6.42safer0.66–3.290.85–3.691.50–6.98
Red cards
81%
homeawaytotalprediction0.100.120.22safe0.00–0.260.00–0.300.00–0.57safer0.00–0.410.00–0.440.00–0.85
GK saves
29%
15%
56%
homeawaytotalprediction2.763.636.39safe1.32–4.192.08–5.193.40–9.38safer0.93–4.581.65–5.612.59–10.20
| Stat | Homepred / safe / safer | Awaypred / safe / safer | Totalpred / safe / safer | Who wins |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Goals | 1.85 0.88–2.82 0.63–3.07 | 1.11 0.25–1.96 0.02–2.19 | 2.96 1.13–4.78 0.65–5.26 | 55% 23% 23% |
| Shots on target | 5.65 3.79–7.51 3.30–8.00 | 3.89 2.14–5.63 1.68–6.09 | 9.54 5.93–13.14 4.98–14.10 | 66% 23% |
| Total shots | 16.42 12.49–20.34 11.40–21.43 | 11.66 8.10–15.23 7.14–16.19 | 28.08 20.59–35.57 18.54–37.62 | 79% 16% |
| Shots in box | 10.12 7.18–13.06 6.35–13.89 | 7.02 4.34–9.70 3.60–10.44 | 17.14 11.52–22.76 9.95–24.33 | 74% 19% |
| Blocked shots | 4.32 2.44–6.20 1.89–6.75 | 3.19 1.53–4.84 1.04–5.33 | 7.51 3.97–11.04 2.94–12.08 | 59% 14% 27% |
| Corners | 5.84 3.62–8.05 3.05–8.62 | 4.01 2.01–6.01 1.47–6.54 | 9.84 5.63–14.06 4.52–15.16 | 66% 23% |
| Possession % | 49.19 42.40–55.98 40.73–57.65 | 51.06 44.28–57.85 42.61–59.52 | — | 43% 52% |
| Passes | 413 346–480 328–499 | 428 361–494 344–512 | 841 707–975 672–1010 | 45% 55% |
| Pass accuracy % | 71.23 67.20–75.26 65.91–76.55 | 73.46 69.14–77.79 67.83–79.09 | — | 36% 59% |
| Fouls | 13.69 10.85–16.53 10.10–17.28 | 13.11 10.16–16.05 9.41–16.80 | 26.80 21.02–32.58 19.51–34.08 | 51% 42% |
| Offsides | 1.53 0.37–2.69 0.07–2.99 | 1.34 0.25–2.44 0.00–2.72 | 2.87 0.62–5.12 0.03–5.71 | 42% 25% 33% |
| Yellow cards | 1.97 0.92–3.02 0.66–3.29 | 2.27 1.14–3.40 0.85–3.69 | 4.24 2.06–6.42 1.50–6.98 | 35% 20% 46% |
| Red cards | 0.10 0.00–0.26 0.00–0.41 | 0.12 0.00–0.30 0.00–0.44 | 0.22 0.00–0.57 0.00–0.85 | 81% |
| GK saves | 2.76 1.32–4.19 0.93–4.58 | 3.63 2.08–5.19 1.65–5.61 | 6.39 3.40–9.38 2.59–10.20 | 29% 15% 56% |
safe = prediction ± MAE · safer = ± RMSE of the serving model for that statistic. The bars show the model's own chance of each side recording more of that statistic — a Poisson approximation from the predicted rates, with the two teams treated as independent
Statistical estimates for information & entertainment only — not betting advice.