Liga I·Regular Season - 19·
Liga I·Regular Season - 19·Predicted match statistics
Goals
20%
20%
60%
homeawaytotalprediction1.172.183.35safe0.20–2.141.32–3.031.52–5.17safer0.00–2.391.10–3.261.04–5.65
Shots on target
17%
74%
homeawaytotalprediction3.946.4710.41safe2.08–5.804.73–8.216.81–14.02safer1.59–6.294.26–8.685.85–14.97
Total shots
14%
81%
homeawaytotalprediction11.9017.0828.98safe7.98–15.8313.52–20.6421.49–36.47safer6.89–16.9212.56–21.6019.44–38.52
Shots in box
18%
75%
homeawaytotalprediction7.2010.5617.76safe4.26–10.147.88–13.2512.14–23.39safer3.43–10.977.15–13.9810.57–24.95
Blocked shots
23%
64%
homeawaytotalprediction2.984.497.47safe1.10–4.862.84–6.153.94–11.01safer0.55–5.402.35–6.642.90–12.04
Corners
25%
63%
homeawaytotalprediction4.446.0610.50safe2.22–6.654.06–8.066.28–14.71safer1.65–7.233.52–8.595.18–15.82
Possession %
90%
homeawayprediction38.5761.04safe31.78–45.3654.25–67.82safer30.11–47.0352.58–69.50
Passes
94%
homeawaytotalprediction362552914safe295–430485–618781–1048safer277–448468–636745–1084
Pass accuracy %
95%
homeawayprediction64.1077.71safe60.07–68.1373.38–82.03safer58.78–69.4272.07–83.34
Fouls
49%
43%
homeawaytotalprediction11.8411.5123.35safe9.00–14.678.57–14.4617.57–29.13safer8.24–15.437.82–15.2116.06–30.64
Offsides
49%
21%
29%
homeawaytotalprediction2.071.563.63safe0.91–3.230.47–2.661.38–5.88safer0.60–3.530.18–2.950.79–6.47
Yellow cards
44%
21%
35%
homeawaytotalprediction2.061.823.88safe1.01–3.110.69–2.951.70–6.06safer0.74–3.380.40–3.241.14–6.61
Red cards
80%
homeawaytotalprediction0.130.110.23safe0.00–0.290.00–0.290.00–0.58safer0.00–0.440.00–0.420.00–0.86
GK saves
66%
13%
21%
homeawaytotalprediction4.202.636.83safe2.76–5.631.08–4.193.84–9.82safer2.37–6.020.65–4.613.02–10.63
| Stat | Homepred / safe / safer | Awaypred / safe / safer | Totalpred / safe / safer | Who wins |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Goals | 1.17 0.20–2.14 0.00–2.39 | 2.18 1.32–3.03 1.10–3.26 | 3.35 1.52–5.17 1.04–5.65 | 20% 20% 60% |
| Shots on target | 3.94 2.08–5.80 1.59–6.29 | 6.47 4.73–8.21 4.26–8.68 | 10.41 6.81–14.02 5.85–14.97 | 17% 74% |
| Total shots | 11.90 7.98–15.83 6.89–16.92 | 17.08 13.52–20.64 12.56–21.60 | 28.98 21.49–36.47 19.44–38.52 | 14% 81% |
| Shots in box | 7.20 4.26–10.14 3.43–10.97 | 10.56 7.88–13.25 7.15–13.98 | 17.76 12.14–23.39 10.57–24.95 | 18% 75% |
| Blocked shots | 2.98 1.10–4.86 0.55–5.40 | 4.49 2.84–6.15 2.35–6.64 | 7.47 3.94–11.01 2.90–12.04 | 23% 64% |
| Corners | 4.44 2.22–6.65 1.65–7.23 | 6.06 4.06–8.06 3.52–8.59 | 10.50 6.28–14.71 5.18–15.82 | 25% 63% |
| Possession % | 38.57 31.78–45.36 30.11–47.03 | 61.04 54.25–67.82 52.58–69.50 | — | 90% |
| Passes | 362 295–430 277–448 | 552 485–618 468–636 | 914 781–1048 745–1084 | 94% |
| Pass accuracy % | 64.10 60.07–68.13 58.78–69.42 | 77.71 73.38–82.03 72.07–83.34 | — | 95% |
| Fouls | 11.84 9.00–14.67 8.24–15.43 | 11.51 8.57–14.46 7.82–15.21 | 23.35 17.57–29.13 16.06–30.64 | 49% 43% |
| Offsides | 2.07 0.91–3.23 0.60–3.53 | 1.56 0.47–2.66 0.18–2.95 | 3.63 1.38–5.88 0.79–6.47 | 49% 21% 29% |
| Yellow cards | 2.06 1.01–3.11 0.74–3.38 | 1.82 0.69–2.95 0.40–3.24 | 3.88 1.70–6.06 1.14–6.61 | 44% 21% 35% |
| Red cards | 0.13 0.00–0.29 0.00–0.44 | 0.11 0.00–0.29 0.00–0.42 | 0.23 0.00–0.58 0.00–0.86 | 80% |
| GK saves | 4.20 2.76–5.63 2.37–6.02 | 2.63 1.08–4.19 0.65–4.61 | 6.83 3.84–9.82 3.02–10.63 | 66% 13% 21% |
safe = prediction ± MAE · safer = ± RMSE of the serving model for that statistic. The bars show the model's own chance of each side recording more of that statistic — a Poisson approximation from the predicted rates, with the two teams treated as independent
Statistical estimates for information & entertainment only — not betting advice.18+