Liga I·Regular Season - 19·
Liga I·Regular Season - 19·Predicted match statistics
Goals
48%
25%
26%
homeawaytotalprediction1.561.082.64safe0.59–2.530.22–1.930.82–4.46safer0.34–2.780.00–2.160.34–4.94
Shots on target
67%
22%
homeawaytotalprediction5.693.799.48safe3.82–7.552.05–5.535.87–13.08safer3.33–8.041.58–6.004.91–14.04
Total shots
82%
13%
homeawaytotalprediction17.3311.8229.14safe13.40–21.258.25–15.3821.66–36.63safer12.31–22.347.29–16.3419.61–38.68
Shots in box
79%
15%
homeawaytotalprediction10.396.6317.02safe7.45–13.333.95–9.3111.40–22.65safer6.62–14.163.21–10.059.83–24.21
Blocked shots
63%
24%
homeawaytotalprediction4.753.288.03safe2.87–6.631.63–4.934.49–11.56safer2.32–7.171.13–5.423.46–12.60
Corners
71%
19%
homeawaytotalprediction6.243.9810.21safe4.02–8.451.98–5.986.00–14.43safer3.45–9.031.44–6.514.89–15.54
Possession %
80%
16%
homeawayprediction57.8042.28safe51.01–64.5935.49–49.06safer49.34–66.2633.82–50.73
Passes
86%
14%
homeawaytotalprediction482351834safe415–549285–418700–967safer397–568267–435664–1003
Pass accuracy %
65%
30%
homeawayprediction73.0869.55safe69.05–77.1165.22–73.87safer67.76–78.4063.91–75.18
Fouls
46%
46%
homeawaytotalprediction12.2212.2524.47safe9.38–15.069.30–15.1918.69–30.25safer8.63–15.818.55–15.9417.18–31.75
Offsides
46%
24%
29%
homeawaytotalprediction1.641.252.89safe0.48–2.800.16–2.350.64–5.14safer0.17–3.100.00–2.640.05–5.73
Yellow cards
33%
20%
46%
homeawaytotalprediction1.862.204.06safe0.82–2.911.07–3.331.89–6.24safer0.55–3.180.78–3.621.33–6.80
Red cards
83%
homeawaytotalprediction0.080.120.19safe0.00–0.240.00–0.300.00–0.54safer0.00–0.390.00–0.440.00–0.82
GK saves
25%
15%
60%
homeawaytotalprediction2.583.756.32safe1.14–4.012.19–5.303.33–9.32safer0.75–4.401.76–5.732.52–10.13
| Stat | Homepred / safe / safer | Awaypred / safe / safer | Totalpred / safe / safer | Who wins |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Goals | 1.56 0.59–2.53 0.34–2.78 | 1.08 0.22–1.93 0.00–2.16 | 2.64 0.82–4.46 0.34–4.94 | 48% 25% 26% |
| Shots on target | 5.69 3.82–7.55 3.33–8.04 | 3.79 2.05–5.53 1.58–6.00 | 9.48 5.87–13.08 4.91–14.04 | 67% 22% |
| Total shots | 17.33 13.40–21.25 12.31–22.34 | 11.82 8.25–15.38 7.29–16.34 | 29.14 21.66–36.63 19.61–38.68 | 82% 13% |
| Shots in box | 10.39 7.45–13.33 6.62–14.16 | 6.63 3.95–9.31 3.21–10.05 | 17.02 11.40–22.65 9.83–24.21 | 79% 15% |
| Blocked shots | 4.75 2.87–6.63 2.32–7.17 | 3.28 1.63–4.93 1.13–5.42 | 8.03 4.49–11.56 3.46–12.60 | 63% 24% |
| Corners | 6.24 4.02–8.45 3.45–9.03 | 3.98 1.98–5.98 1.44–6.51 | 10.21 6.00–14.43 4.89–15.54 | 71% 19% |
| Possession % | 57.80 51.01–64.59 49.34–66.26 | 42.28 35.49–49.06 33.82–50.73 | — | 80% 16% |
| Passes | 482 415–549 397–568 | 351 285–418 267–435 | 834 700–967 664–1003 | 86% 14% |
| Pass accuracy % | 73.08 69.05–77.11 67.76–78.40 | 69.55 65.22–73.87 63.91–75.18 | — | 65% 30% |
| Fouls | 12.22 9.38–15.06 8.63–15.81 | 12.25 9.30–15.19 8.55–15.94 | 24.47 18.69–30.25 17.18–31.75 | 46% 46% |
| Offsides | 1.64 0.48–2.80 0.17–3.10 | 1.25 0.16–2.35 0.00–2.64 | 2.89 0.64–5.14 0.05–5.73 | 46% 24% 29% |
| Yellow cards | 1.86 0.82–2.91 0.55–3.18 | 2.20 1.07–3.33 0.78–3.62 | 4.06 1.89–6.24 1.33–6.80 | 33% 20% 46% |
| Red cards | 0.08 0.00–0.24 0.00–0.39 | 0.12 0.00–0.30 0.00–0.44 | 0.19 0.00–0.54 0.00–0.82 | 83% |
| GK saves | 2.58 1.14–4.01 0.75–4.40 | 3.75 2.19–5.30 1.76–5.73 | 6.32 3.33–9.32 2.52–10.13 | 25% 15% 60% |
safe = prediction ± MAE · safer = ± RMSE of the serving model for that statistic. The bars show the model's own chance of each side recording more of that statistic — a Poisson approximation from the predicted rates, with the two teams treated as independent
Statistical estimates for information & entertainment only — not betting advice.18+