Liga I·Regular Season - 20·
Liga I·Regular Season - 20·Predicted match statistics
Goals
48%
25%
27%
homeawaytotalprediction1.581.122.70safe0.61–2.550.26–1.970.88–4.52safer0.36–2.800.04–2.200.40–5.00
Shots on target
54%
33%
homeawaytotalprediction5.104.279.37safe3.24–6.962.53–6.015.77–12.98safer2.75–7.452.06–6.484.81–13.93
Total shots
64%
29%
homeawaytotalprediction14.8212.4027.22safe10.89–18.748.84–15.9719.73–34.71safer9.80–19.837.88–16.9317.68–36.76
Shots in box
71%
21%
homeawaytotalprediction10.017.2017.21safe7.06–12.954.52–9.8811.59–22.83safer6.24–13.783.78–10.6210.02–24.40
Blocked shots
48%
15%
36%
homeawaytotalprediction3.673.276.93safe1.78–5.551.61–4.923.40–10.47safer1.24–6.091.12–5.412.36–11.51
Corners
57%
31%
homeawaytotalprediction5.534.4810.02safe3.32–7.752.48–6.485.80–14.23safer2.75–8.321.95–7.024.70–15.34
Possession %
43%
53%
homeawayprediction48.6850.88safe41.89–55.4744.09–57.66safer40.22–57.1442.42–59.33
Passes
46%
54%
homeawaytotalprediction396407803safe329–463341–474670–937safer311–481323–491634–973
Pass accuracy %
29%
66%
homeawayprediction64.7568.54safe60.72–68.7864.21–72.86safer59.43–70.0762.90–74.17
Fouls
31%
61%
homeawaytotalprediction11.7813.7125.49safe8.94–14.6210.77–16.6619.71–31.27safer8.19–15.3710.02–17.4118.20–32.78
Offsides
46%
22%
32%
homeawaytotalprediction1.861.533.39safe0.70–3.020.44–2.631.14–5.64safer0.40–3.320.15–2.910.55–6.23
Yellow cards
38%
20%
42%
homeawaytotalprediction2.092.224.31safe1.04–3.141.09–3.352.13–6.49safer0.78–3.410.80–3.641.58–7.05
Red cards
83%
homeawaytotalprediction0.100.100.20safe0.00–0.260.00–0.290.00–0.55safer0.00–0.410.00–0.420.00–0.83
GK saves
33%
16%
51%
homeawaytotalprediction2.863.466.32safe1.42–4.291.90–5.023.32–9.31safer1.03–4.681.48–5.442.51–10.12
| Stat | Homepred / safe / safer | Awaypred / safe / safer | Totalpred / safe / safer | Who wins |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Goals | 1.58 0.61–2.55 0.36–2.80 | 1.12 0.26–1.97 0.04–2.20 | 2.70 0.88–4.52 0.40–5.00 | 48% 25% 27% |
| Shots on target | 5.10 3.24–6.96 2.75–7.45 | 4.27 2.53–6.01 2.06–6.48 | 9.37 5.77–12.98 4.81–13.93 | 54% 33% |
| Total shots | 14.82 10.89–18.74 9.80–19.83 | 12.40 8.84–15.97 7.88–16.93 | 27.22 19.73–34.71 17.68–36.76 | 64% 29% |
| Shots in box | 10.01 7.06–12.95 6.24–13.78 | 7.20 4.52–9.88 3.78–10.62 | 17.21 11.59–22.83 10.02–24.40 | 71% 21% |
| Blocked shots | 3.67 1.78–5.55 1.24–6.09 | 3.27 1.61–4.92 1.12–5.41 | 6.93 3.40–10.47 2.36–11.51 | 48% 15% 36% |
| Corners | 5.53 3.32–7.75 2.75–8.32 | 4.48 2.48–6.48 1.95–7.02 | 10.02 5.80–14.23 4.70–15.34 | 57% 31% |
| Possession % | 48.68 41.89–55.47 40.22–57.14 | 50.88 44.09–57.66 42.42–59.33 | — | 43% 53% |
| Passes | 396 329–463 311–481 | 407 341–474 323–491 | 803 670–937 634–973 | 46% 54% |
| Pass accuracy % | 64.75 60.72–68.78 59.43–70.07 | 68.54 64.21–72.86 62.90–74.17 | — | 29% 66% |
| Fouls | 11.78 8.94–14.62 8.19–15.37 | 13.71 10.77–16.66 10.02–17.41 | 25.49 19.71–31.27 18.20–32.78 | 31% 61% |
| Offsides | 1.86 0.70–3.02 0.40–3.32 | 1.53 0.44–2.63 0.15–2.91 | 3.39 1.14–5.64 0.55–6.23 | 46% 22% 32% |
| Yellow cards | 2.09 1.04–3.14 0.78–3.41 | 2.22 1.09–3.35 0.80–3.64 | 4.31 2.13–6.49 1.58–7.05 | 38% 20% 42% |
| Red cards | 0.10 0.00–0.26 0.00–0.41 | 0.10 0.00–0.29 0.00–0.42 | 0.20 0.00–0.55 0.00–0.83 | 83% |
| GK saves | 2.86 1.42–4.29 1.03–4.68 | 3.46 1.90–5.02 1.48–5.44 | 6.32 3.32–9.31 2.51–10.12 | 33% 16% 51% |
safe = prediction ± MAE · safer = ± RMSE of the serving model for that statistic. The bars show the model's own chance of each side recording more of that statistic — a Poisson approximation from the predicted rates, with the two teams treated as independent
Statistical estimates for information & entertainment only — not betting advice.