Liga I·Regular Season - 20·
Liga I·Regular Season - 20·Predicted match statistics
Goals
51%
23%
26%
homeawaytotalprediction1.871.273.14safe0.90–2.840.42–2.131.32–4.97safer0.65–3.090.19–2.360.84–5.45
Shots on target
63%
25%
homeawaytotalprediction5.864.2710.13safe4.00–7.722.53–6.016.52–13.73safer3.51–8.212.06–6.485.57–14.69
Total shots
75%
20%
homeawaytotalprediction16.7812.6829.45safe12.85–20.709.11–16.2421.96–36.94safer11.76–21.798.15–17.2019.91–38.99
Shots in box
72%
21%
homeawaytotalprediction10.547.5818.12safe7.60–13.484.90–10.2612.49–23.74safer6.77–14.314.16–10.9910.93–25.31
Blocked shots
62%
13%
25%
homeawaytotalprediction4.543.177.72safe2.66–6.431.52–4.834.18–11.25safer2.12–6.971.03–5.323.15–12.29
Corners
59%
29%
homeawaytotalprediction5.894.6410.53safe3.67–8.102.64–6.646.32–14.74safer3.10–8.672.11–7.185.21–15.85
Possession %
68%
28%
homeawayprediction54.6245.75safe47.83–61.4138.96–52.53safer46.16–63.0837.29–54.20
Passes
76%
23%
homeawaytotalprediction485398883safe418–552332–465749–1017safer400–570314–482714–1052
Pass accuracy %
57%
38%
homeawayprediction74.5772.62safe70.54–78.6068.30–76.95safer69.25–79.8966.99–78.25
Fouls
30%
63%
homeawaytotalprediction10.7712.8623.62safe7.93–13.609.91–15.8017.84–29.41safer7.17–14.369.16–16.5516.34–30.91
Offsides
31%
23%
46%
homeawaytotalprediction1.461.813.27safe0.30–2.620.72–2.901.02–5.52safer0.00–2.920.43–3.190.43–6.11
Yellow cards
38%
20%
42%
homeawaytotalprediction2.002.104.10safe0.95–3.040.98–3.231.92–6.28safer0.68–3.310.68–3.521.36–6.84
Red cards
78%
homeawaytotalprediction0.130.130.26safe0.00–0.290.00–0.320.00–0.61safer0.00–0.440.00–0.450.00–0.89
GK saves
27%
14%
59%
homeawaytotalprediction2.803.906.70safe1.37–4.242.34–5.453.71–9.69safer0.98–4.631.92–5.882.90–10.51
| Stat | Homepred / safe / safer | Awaypred / safe / safer | Totalpred / safe / safer | Who wins |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Goals | 1.87 0.90–2.84 0.65–3.09 | 1.27 0.42–2.13 0.19–2.36 | 3.14 1.32–4.97 0.84–5.45 | 51% 23% 26% |
| Shots on target | 5.86 4.00–7.72 3.51–8.21 | 4.27 2.53–6.01 2.06–6.48 | 10.13 6.52–13.73 5.57–14.69 | 63% 25% |
| Total shots | 16.78 12.85–20.70 11.76–21.79 | 12.68 9.11–16.24 8.15–17.20 | 29.45 21.96–36.94 19.91–38.99 | 75% 20% |
| Shots in box | 10.54 7.60–13.48 6.77–14.31 | 7.58 4.90–10.26 4.16–10.99 | 18.12 12.49–23.74 10.93–25.31 | 72% 21% |
| Blocked shots | 4.54 2.66–6.43 2.12–6.97 | 3.17 1.52–4.83 1.03–5.32 | 7.72 4.18–11.25 3.15–12.29 | 62% 13% 25% |
| Corners | 5.89 3.67–8.10 3.10–8.67 | 4.64 2.64–6.64 2.11–7.18 | 10.53 6.32–14.74 5.21–15.85 | 59% 29% |
| Possession % | 54.62 47.83–61.41 46.16–63.08 | 45.75 38.96–52.53 37.29–54.20 | — | 68% 28% |
| Passes | 485 418–552 400–570 | 398 332–465 314–482 | 883 749–1017 714–1052 | 76% 23% |
| Pass accuracy % | 74.57 70.54–78.60 69.25–79.89 | 72.62 68.30–76.95 66.99–78.25 | — | 57% 38% |
| Fouls | 10.77 7.93–13.60 7.17–14.36 | 12.86 9.91–15.80 9.16–16.55 | 23.62 17.84–29.41 16.34–30.91 | 30% 63% |
| Offsides | 1.46 0.30–2.62 0.00–2.92 | 1.81 0.72–2.90 0.43–3.19 | 3.27 1.02–5.52 0.43–6.11 | 31% 23% 46% |
| Yellow cards | 2.00 0.95–3.04 0.68–3.31 | 2.10 0.98–3.23 0.68–3.52 | 4.10 1.92–6.28 1.36–6.84 | 38% 20% 42% |
| Red cards | 0.13 0.00–0.29 0.00–0.44 | 0.13 0.00–0.32 0.00–0.45 | 0.26 0.00–0.61 0.00–0.89 | 78% |
| GK saves | 2.80 1.37–4.24 0.98–4.63 | 3.90 2.34–5.45 1.92–5.88 | 6.70 3.71–9.69 2.90–10.51 | 27% 14% 59% |
safe = prediction ± MAE · safer = ± RMSE of the serving model for that statistic. The bars show the model's own chance of each side recording more of that statistic — a Poisson approximation from the predicted rates, with the two teams treated as independent
Statistical estimates for information & entertainment only — not betting advice.18+