Liga I·Regular Season - 20·
Liga I·Regular Season - 20·Predicted match statistics
Goals
47%
26%
27%
homeawaytotalprediction1.481.042.52safe0.51–2.450.19–1.900.70–4.34safer0.26–2.700.00–2.120.22–4.82
Shots on target
53%
13%
33%
homeawaytotalprediction4.653.908.55safe2.79–6.512.16–5.644.94–12.15safer2.30–7.001.69–6.113.99–13.11
Total shots
60%
33%
homeawaytotalprediction13.6611.8725.53safe9.73–17.588.31–15.4418.05–33.02safer8.64–18.687.35–16.4015.99–35.07
Shots in box
55%
35%
homeawaytotalprediction8.687.6216.31safe5.74–11.634.94–10.3010.69–21.93safer4.91–12.464.21–11.049.12–23.50
Blocked shots
51%
15%
34%
homeawaytotalprediction3.683.136.82safe1.80–5.571.48–4.793.28–10.35safer1.26–6.110.99–5.282.25–11.39
Corners
58%
30%
homeawaytotalprediction5.424.309.72safe3.20–7.632.30–6.305.51–13.93safer2.63–8.201.77–6.844.40–15.04
Possession %
81%
16%
homeawayprediction57.5941.46safe50.80–64.3834.67–48.24safer49.13–66.0533.00–49.91
Passes
94%
homeawaytotalprediction523336859safe456–591270–402726–993safer438–609252–420690–1029
Pass accuracy %
53%
41%
homeawayprediction68.9467.76safe64.91–72.9763.44–72.09safer63.62–74.2662.13–73.40
Fouls
35%
57%
homeawaytotalprediction11.0912.4723.56safe8.25–13.939.52–15.4117.77–29.34safer7.49–14.688.78–16.1616.27–30.84
Offsides
40%
25%
34%
homeawaytotalprediction1.461.332.79safe0.30–2.620.23–2.420.53–5.04safer0.00–2.920.00–2.710.00–5.63
Yellow cards
27%
20%
53%
homeawaytotalprediction1.632.283.92safe0.58–2.681.16–3.411.74–6.09safer0.32–2.950.86–3.701.18–6.65
Red cards
82%
homeawaytotalprediction0.080.130.21safe0.00–0.240.00–0.320.00–0.56safer0.00–0.390.00–0.450.00–0.84
GK saves
34%
16%
50%
homeawaytotalprediction2.693.205.89safe1.26–4.131.64–4.762.90–8.88safer0.87–4.521.22–5.182.09–9.70
| Stat | Homepred / safe / safer | Awaypred / safe / safer | Totalpred / safe / safer | Who wins |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Goals | 1.48 0.51–2.45 0.26–2.70 | 1.04 0.19–1.90 0.00–2.12 | 2.52 0.70–4.34 0.22–4.82 | 47% 26% 27% |
| Shots on target | 4.65 2.79–6.51 2.30–7.00 | 3.90 2.16–5.64 1.69–6.11 | 8.55 4.94–12.15 3.99–13.11 | 53% 13% 33% |
| Total shots | 13.66 9.73–17.58 8.64–18.68 | 11.87 8.31–15.44 7.35–16.40 | 25.53 18.05–33.02 15.99–35.07 | 60% 33% |
| Shots in box | 8.68 5.74–11.63 4.91–12.46 | 7.62 4.94–10.30 4.21–11.04 | 16.31 10.69–21.93 9.12–23.50 | 55% 35% |
| Blocked shots | 3.68 1.80–5.57 1.26–6.11 | 3.13 1.48–4.79 0.99–5.28 | 6.82 3.28–10.35 2.25–11.39 | 51% 15% 34% |
| Corners | 5.42 3.20–7.63 2.63–8.20 | 4.30 2.30–6.30 1.77–6.84 | 9.72 5.51–13.93 4.40–15.04 | 58% 30% |
| Possession % | 57.59 50.80–64.38 49.13–66.05 | 41.46 34.67–48.24 33.00–49.91 | — | 81% 16% |
| Passes | 523 456–591 438–609 | 336 270–402 252–420 | 859 726–993 690–1029 | 94% |
| Pass accuracy % | 68.94 64.91–72.97 63.62–74.26 | 67.76 63.44–72.09 62.13–73.40 | — | 53% 41% |
| Fouls | 11.09 8.25–13.93 7.49–14.68 | 12.47 9.52–15.41 8.78–16.16 | 23.56 17.77–29.34 16.27–30.84 | 35% 57% |
| Offsides | 1.46 0.30–2.62 0.00–2.92 | 1.33 0.23–2.42 0.00–2.71 | 2.79 0.53–5.04 0.00–5.63 | 40% 25% 34% |
| Yellow cards | 1.63 0.58–2.68 0.32–2.95 | 2.28 1.16–3.41 0.86–3.70 | 3.92 1.74–6.09 1.18–6.65 | 27% 20% 53% |
| Red cards | 0.08 0.00–0.24 0.00–0.39 | 0.13 0.00–0.32 0.00–0.45 | 0.21 0.00–0.56 0.00–0.84 | 82% |
| GK saves | 2.69 1.26–4.13 0.87–4.52 | 3.20 1.64–4.76 1.22–5.18 | 5.89 2.90–8.88 2.09–9.70 | 34% 16% 50% |
safe = prediction ± MAE · safer = ± RMSE of the serving model for that statistic. The bars show the model's own chance of each side recording more of that statistic — a Poisson approximation from the predicted rates, with the two teams treated as independent
Statistical estimates for information & entertainment only — not betting advice.