Liga I·Regular Season - 20·
Liga I·Regular Season - 20·Predicted match statistics
Goals
55%
23%
23%
homeawaytotalprediction1.851.102.95safe0.88–2.810.25–1.961.13–4.77safer0.63–3.070.02–2.190.65–5.25
Shots on target
61%
28%
homeawaytotalprediction5.904.5210.42safe4.03–7.762.78–6.276.82–14.03safer3.54–8.252.32–6.735.86–14.98
Total shots
77%
18%
homeawaytotalprediction16.4112.0328.45safe12.49–20.348.47–15.6020.96–35.93safer11.40–21.437.51–16.5518.91–37.98
Shots in box
72%
21%
homeawaytotalprediction10.807.7918.59safe7.86–13.755.11–10.4712.97–24.22safer7.03–14.584.37–11.2111.40–25.78
Blocked shots
59%
15%
27%
homeawaytotalprediction3.872.796.65safe1.98–5.751.13–4.443.12–10.19safer1.44–6.290.64–4.932.08–11.22
Corners
70%
20%
homeawaytotalprediction6.294.1210.41safe4.07–8.502.12–6.126.19–14.62safer3.50–9.071.59–6.665.09–15.73
Possession %
82%
15%
homeawayprediction58.2841.91safe51.49–65.0735.12–48.69safer49.82–66.7433.45–50.37
Passes
91%
homeawaytotalprediction519360879safe452–586294–426745–1013safer434–604276–444710–1048
Pass accuracy %
79%
18%
homeawayprediction78.1071.44safe74.07–82.1367.11–75.76safer72.78–83.4365.81–77.07
Fouls
31%
62%
homeawaytotalprediction11.2613.2724.53safe8.42–14.0910.33–16.2218.75–30.31safer7.66–14.859.58–16.9617.24–31.81
Offsides
45%
23%
32%
homeawaytotalprediction1.721.423.14safe0.56–2.880.33–2.520.89–5.39safer0.25–3.180.04–2.800.30–5.98
Yellow cards
26%
19%
55%
homeawaytotalprediction1.662.454.11safe0.61–2.711.32–3.581.93–6.29safer0.34–2.971.03–3.871.37–6.85
Red cards
81%
homeawaytotalprediction0.080.140.23safe0.00–0.240.00–0.330.00–0.57safer0.00–0.390.00–0.460.00–0.86
GK saves
27%
14%
58%
homeawaytotalprediction2.883.956.84safe1.45–4.322.40–5.513.84–9.83safer1.06–4.711.97–5.933.03–10.64
| Stat | Homepred / safe / safer | Awaypred / safe / safer | Totalpred / safe / safer | Who wins |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Goals | 1.85 0.88–2.81 0.63–3.07 | 1.10 0.25–1.96 0.02–2.19 | 2.95 1.13–4.77 0.65–5.25 | 55% 23% 23% |
| Shots on target | 5.90 4.03–7.76 3.54–8.25 | 4.52 2.78–6.27 2.32–6.73 | 10.42 6.82–14.03 5.86–14.98 | 61% 28% |
| Total shots | 16.41 12.49–20.34 11.40–21.43 | 12.03 8.47–15.60 7.51–16.55 | 28.45 20.96–35.93 18.91–37.98 | 77% 18% |
| Shots in box | 10.80 7.86–13.75 7.03–14.58 | 7.79 5.11–10.47 4.37–11.21 | 18.59 12.97–24.22 11.40–25.78 | 72% 21% |
| Blocked shots | 3.87 1.98–5.75 1.44–6.29 | 2.79 1.13–4.44 0.64–4.93 | 6.65 3.12–10.19 2.08–11.22 | 59% 15% 27% |
| Corners | 6.29 4.07–8.50 3.50–9.07 | 4.12 2.12–6.12 1.59–6.66 | 10.41 6.19–14.62 5.09–15.73 | 70% 20% |
| Possession % | 58.28 51.49–65.07 49.82–66.74 | 41.91 35.12–48.69 33.45–50.37 | — | 82% 15% |
| Passes | 519 452–586 434–604 | 360 294–426 276–444 | 879 745–1013 710–1048 | 91% |
| Pass accuracy % | 78.10 74.07–82.13 72.78–83.43 | 71.44 67.11–75.76 65.81–77.07 | — | 79% 18% |
| Fouls | 11.26 8.42–14.09 7.66–14.85 | 13.27 10.33–16.22 9.58–16.96 | 24.53 18.75–30.31 17.24–31.81 | 31% 62% |
| Offsides | 1.72 0.56–2.88 0.25–3.18 | 1.42 0.33–2.52 0.04–2.80 | 3.14 0.89–5.39 0.30–5.98 | 45% 23% 32% |
| Yellow cards | 1.66 0.61–2.71 0.34–2.97 | 2.45 1.32–3.58 1.03–3.87 | 4.11 1.93–6.29 1.37–6.85 | 26% 19% 55% |
| Red cards | 0.08 0.00–0.24 0.00–0.39 | 0.14 0.00–0.33 0.00–0.46 | 0.23 0.00–0.57 0.00–0.86 | 81% |
| GK saves | 2.88 1.45–4.32 1.06–4.71 | 3.95 2.40–5.51 1.97–5.93 | 6.84 3.84–9.83 3.03–10.64 | 27% 14% 58% |
safe = prediction ± MAE · safer = ± RMSE of the serving model for that statistic. The bars show the model's own chance of each side recording more of that statistic — a Poisson approximation from the predicted rates, with the two teams treated as independent
Statistical estimates for information & entertainment only — not betting advice.