Liga I·Regular Season - 20·
Liga I·Regular Season - 20·Predicted match statistics
Goals
47%
26%
27%
homeawaytotalprediction1.511.072.59safe0.55–2.480.22–1.930.77–4.41safer0.29–2.730.00–2.160.29–4.89
Shots on target
56%
32%
homeawaytotalprediction5.184.229.40safe3.31–7.042.48–5.965.79–13.00safer2.82–7.532.01–6.434.83–13.96
Total shots
67%
26%
homeawaytotalprediction16.5013.5330.02safe12.57–20.429.97–17.0922.54–37.51safer11.48–21.519.01–18.0520.49–39.56
Shots in box
62%
29%
homeawaytotalprediction9.657.8617.51safe6.70–12.595.18–10.5411.89–23.13safer5.87–13.424.44–11.2810.32–24.70
Blocked shots
47%
14%
38%
homeawaytotalprediction4.053.717.76safe2.16–5.932.06–5.364.22–11.29safer1.62–6.471.57–5.863.19–12.33
Corners
58%
30%
homeawaytotalprediction5.864.7010.56safe3.65–8.072.70–6.706.35–14.77safer3.07–8.652.17–7.235.24–15.88
Possession %
55%
41%
homeawayprediction51.4548.40safe44.66–58.2441.62–55.19safer42.99–59.9139.95–56.86
Passes
65%
34%
homeawaytotalprediction436389825safe369–503322–455691–958safer351–521305–473655–994
Pass accuracy %
36%
59%
homeawayprediction65.8868.06safe61.85–69.9163.74–72.39safer60.56–71.2062.43–73.69
Fouls
37%
54%
homeawaytotalprediction11.1912.2423.43safe8.35–14.039.29–15.1817.64–29.21safer7.60–14.788.54–15.9316.14–30.71
Offsides
41%
24%
35%
homeawaytotalprediction1.631.483.10safe0.47–2.790.38–2.570.85–5.36safer0.17–3.090.09–2.860.26–5.95
Yellow cards
26%
21%
53%
homeawaytotalprediction1.412.063.47safe0.36–2.460.94–3.191.30–5.65safer0.09–2.720.64–3.480.74–6.21
Red cards
83%
homeawaytotalprediction0.080.130.20safe0.00–0.240.00–0.310.00–0.55safer0.00–0.390.00–0.450.00–0.83
GK saves
32%
15%
53%
homeawaytotalprediction3.133.836.96safe1.69–4.572.27–5.393.97–9.95safer1.31–4.951.85–5.813.15–10.76
| Stat | Homepred / safe / safer | Awaypred / safe / safer | Totalpred / safe / safer | Who wins |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Goals | 1.51 0.55–2.48 0.29–2.73 | 1.07 0.22–1.93 0.00–2.16 | 2.59 0.77–4.41 0.29–4.89 | 47% 26% 27% |
| Shots on target | 5.18 3.31–7.04 2.82–7.53 | 4.22 2.48–5.96 2.01–6.43 | 9.40 5.79–13.00 4.83–13.96 | 56% 32% |
| Total shots | 16.50 12.57–20.42 11.48–21.51 | 13.53 9.97–17.09 9.01–18.05 | 30.02 22.54–37.51 20.49–39.56 | 67% 26% |
| Shots in box | 9.65 6.70–12.59 5.87–13.42 | 7.86 5.18–10.54 4.44–11.28 | 17.51 11.89–23.13 10.32–24.70 | 62% 29% |
| Blocked shots | 4.05 2.16–5.93 1.62–6.47 | 3.71 2.06–5.36 1.57–5.86 | 7.76 4.22–11.29 3.19–12.33 | 47% 14% 38% |
| Corners | 5.86 3.65–8.07 3.07–8.65 | 4.70 2.70–6.70 2.17–7.23 | 10.56 6.35–14.77 5.24–15.88 | 58% 30% |
| Possession % | 51.45 44.66–58.24 42.99–59.91 | 48.40 41.62–55.19 39.95–56.86 | — | 55% 41% |
| Passes | 436 369–503 351–521 | 389 322–455 305–473 | 825 691–958 655–994 | 65% 34% |
| Pass accuracy % | 65.88 61.85–69.91 60.56–71.20 | 68.06 63.74–72.39 62.43–73.69 | — | 36% 59% |
| Fouls | 11.19 8.35–14.03 7.60–14.78 | 12.24 9.29–15.18 8.54–15.93 | 23.43 17.64–29.21 16.14–30.71 | 37% 54% |
| Offsides | 1.63 0.47–2.79 0.17–3.09 | 1.48 0.38–2.57 0.09–2.86 | 3.10 0.85–5.36 0.26–5.95 | 41% 24% 35% |
| Yellow cards | 1.41 0.36–2.46 0.09–2.72 | 2.06 0.94–3.19 0.64–3.48 | 3.47 1.30–5.65 0.74–6.21 | 26% 21% 53% |
| Red cards | 0.08 0.00–0.24 0.00–0.39 | 0.13 0.00–0.31 0.00–0.45 | 0.20 0.00–0.55 0.00–0.83 | 83% |
| GK saves | 3.13 1.69–4.57 1.31–4.95 | 3.83 2.27–5.39 1.85–5.81 | 6.96 3.97–9.95 3.15–10.76 | 32% 15% 53% |
safe = prediction ± MAE · safer = ± RMSE of the serving model for that statistic. The bars show the model's own chance of each side recording more of that statistic — a Poisson approximation from the predicted rates, with the two teams treated as independent
Statistical estimates for information & entertainment only — not betting advice.