Liga I·Regular Season - 20·
Liga I·Regular Season - 20·Predicted match statistics
Goals
47%
27%
27%
homeawaytotalprediction1.421.002.42safe0.45–2.380.15–1.860.59–4.24safer0.20–2.640.00–2.080.12–4.72
Shots on target
65%
23%
homeawaytotalprediction5.083.428.50safe3.22–6.951.67–5.164.90–12.11safer2.73–7.441.21–5.623.94–13.06
Total shots
77%
17%
homeawaytotalprediction15.1110.8325.94safe11.19–19.047.26–14.3918.45–33.43safer10.10–20.136.30–15.3516.40–35.48
Shots in box
67%
24%
homeawaytotalprediction8.966.7215.68safe6.02–11.914.04–9.4010.06–21.31safer5.19–12.743.30–10.148.49–22.87
Blocked shots
57%
15%
28%
homeawaytotalprediction3.642.676.31safe1.76–5.521.02–4.332.78–9.85safer1.21–6.060.53–4.821.74–10.88
Corners
65%
23%
homeawaytotalprediction5.433.749.18safe3.22–7.651.74–5.744.96–13.39safer2.65–8.221.21–6.273.86–14.50
Possession %
86%
homeawayprediction59.2740.18safe52.48–66.0633.39–46.96safer50.81–67.7331.72–48.63
Passes
94%
homeawaytotalprediction522335857safe455–589269–401723–991safer437–607251–419688–1026
Pass accuracy %
77%
19%
homeawayprediction73.7367.43safe69.70–77.7663.10–71.75safer68.40–79.0561.79–73.06
Fouls
28%
66%
homeawaytotalprediction12.9015.5628.46safe10.06–15.7412.62–18.5122.68–34.25safer9.31–16.5011.87–19.2621.18–35.75
Offsides
46%
24%
30%
homeawaytotalprediction1.711.343.05safe0.55–2.870.25–2.440.80–5.31safer0.25–3.170.00–2.720.21–5.90
Yellow cards
27%
19%
53%
homeawaytotalprediction1.712.404.10safe0.66–2.761.27–3.521.92–6.28safer0.39–3.020.98–3.821.37–6.84
Red cards
84%
homeawaytotalprediction0.070.120.18safe0.00–0.230.00–0.300.00–0.53safer0.00–0.380.00–0.440.00–0.81
GK saves
26%
15%
59%
homeawaytotalprediction2.563.626.18safe1.12–3.992.06–5.173.18–9.17safer0.73–4.381.64–5.602.37–9.98
| Stat | Homepred / safe / safer | Awaypred / safe / safer | Totalpred / safe / safer | Who wins |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Goals | 1.42 0.45–2.38 0.20–2.64 | 1.00 0.15–1.86 0.00–2.08 | 2.42 0.59–4.24 0.12–4.72 | 47% 27% 27% |
| Shots on target | 5.08 3.22–6.95 2.73–7.44 | 3.42 1.67–5.16 1.21–5.62 | 8.50 4.90–12.11 3.94–13.06 | 65% 23% |
| Total shots | 15.11 11.19–19.04 10.10–20.13 | 10.83 7.26–14.39 6.30–15.35 | 25.94 18.45–33.43 16.40–35.48 | 77% 17% |
| Shots in box | 8.96 6.02–11.91 5.19–12.74 | 6.72 4.04–9.40 3.30–10.14 | 15.68 10.06–21.31 8.49–22.87 | 67% 24% |
| Blocked shots | 3.64 1.76–5.52 1.21–6.06 | 2.67 1.02–4.33 0.53–4.82 | 6.31 2.78–9.85 1.74–10.88 | 57% 15% 28% |
| Corners | 5.43 3.22–7.65 2.65–8.22 | 3.74 1.74–5.74 1.21–6.27 | 9.18 4.96–13.39 3.86–14.50 | 65% 23% |
| Possession % | 59.27 52.48–66.06 50.81–67.73 | 40.18 33.39–46.96 31.72–48.63 | — | 86% |
| Passes | 522 455–589 437–607 | 335 269–401 251–419 | 857 723–991 688–1026 | 94% |
| Pass accuracy % | 73.73 69.70–77.76 68.40–79.05 | 67.43 63.10–71.75 61.79–73.06 | — | 77% 19% |
| Fouls | 12.90 10.06–15.74 9.31–16.50 | 15.56 12.62–18.51 11.87–19.26 | 28.46 22.68–34.25 21.18–35.75 | 28% 66% |
| Offsides | 1.71 0.55–2.87 0.25–3.17 | 1.34 0.25–2.44 0.00–2.72 | 3.05 0.80–5.31 0.21–5.90 | 46% 24% 30% |
| Yellow cards | 1.71 0.66–2.76 0.39–3.02 | 2.40 1.27–3.52 0.98–3.82 | 4.10 1.92–6.28 1.37–6.84 | 27% 19% 53% |
| Red cards | 0.07 0.00–0.23 0.00–0.38 | 0.12 0.00–0.30 0.00–0.44 | 0.18 0.00–0.53 0.00–0.81 | 84% |
| GK saves | 2.56 1.12–3.99 0.73–4.38 | 3.62 2.06–5.17 1.64–5.60 | 6.18 3.18–9.17 2.37–9.98 | 26% 15% 59% |
safe = prediction ± MAE · safer = ± RMSE of the serving model for that statistic. The bars show the model's own chance of each side recording more of that statistic — a Poisson approximation from the predicted rates, with the two teams treated as independent
Statistical estimates for information & entertainment only — not betting advice.