Liga I·Regular Season - 20·
Liga I·Regular Season - 20·Predicted match statistics
Goals
69%
18%
homeawaytotalprediction2.260.843.10safe1.29–3.230.00–1.701.28–4.92safer1.04–3.480.00–1.920.80–5.40
Shots on target
81%
homeawaytotalprediction6.383.209.58safe4.52–8.241.45–4.945.97–13.18safer4.03–8.730.99–5.415.02–14.14
Total shots
94%
homeawaytotalprediction18.019.5627.57safe14.09–21.936.00–13.1220.08–35.06safer12.99–23.035.04–14.0818.03–37.11
Shots in box
95%
homeawaytotalprediction13.045.5318.57safe10.10–15.982.85–8.2212.95–24.20safer9.27–16.812.12–8.9511.38–25.77
Blocked shots
72%
17%
homeawaytotalprediction4.702.617.31safe2.82–6.580.96–4.263.77–10.85safer2.27–7.130.47–4.762.74–11.88
Corners
82%
homeawaytotalprediction6.613.269.87safe4.40–8.821.26–5.265.66–14.08safer3.82–9.400.73–5.794.55–15.19
Possession %
72%
24%
homeawayprediction54.9844.30safe48.19–61.7737.51–51.08safer46.52–63.4435.84–52.75
Passes
75%
24%
homeawaytotalprediction486403889safe419–553336–469755–1022safer400–571319–487719–1058
Pass accuracy %
59%
36%
homeawayprediction73.7371.48safe69.70–77.7667.16–75.81safer68.41–79.0665.85–77.12
Fouls
56%
36%
homeawaytotalprediction12.0910.8922.98safe9.25–14.937.95–13.8417.20–28.77safer8.49–15.687.20–14.5915.70–30.27
Offsides
32%
23%
45%
homeawaytotalprediction1.511.813.32safe0.35–2.670.71–2.901.06–5.57safer0.05–2.970.43–3.190.48–6.16
Yellow cards
27%
20%
53%
homeawaytotalprediction1.582.233.81safe0.53–2.631.10–3.361.63–5.99safer0.27–2.900.81–3.651.08–6.55
Red cards
85%
homeawaytotalprediction0.070.110.17safe0.00–0.230.00–0.290.00–0.52safer0.00–0.380.00–0.430.00–0.80
GK saves
20%
14%
66%
homeawaytotalprediction2.193.725.91safe0.75–3.632.17–5.282.92–8.91safer0.37–4.011.74–5.702.11–9.72
| Stat | Homepred / safe / safer | Awaypred / safe / safer | Totalpred / safe / safer | Who wins |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Goals | 2.26 1.29–3.23 1.04–3.48 | 0.84 0.00–1.70 0.00–1.92 | 3.10 1.28–4.92 0.80–5.40 | 69% 18% |
| Shots on target | 6.38 4.52–8.24 4.03–8.73 | 3.20 1.45–4.94 0.99–5.41 | 9.58 5.97–13.18 5.02–14.14 | 81% |
| Total shots | 18.01 14.09–21.93 12.99–23.03 | 9.56 6.00–13.12 5.04–14.08 | 27.57 20.08–35.06 18.03–37.11 | 94% |
| Shots in box | 13.04 10.10–15.98 9.27–16.81 | 5.53 2.85–8.22 2.12–8.95 | 18.57 12.95–24.20 11.38–25.77 | 95% |
| Blocked shots | 4.70 2.82–6.58 2.27–7.13 | 2.61 0.96–4.26 0.47–4.76 | 7.31 3.77–10.85 2.74–11.88 | 72% 17% |
| Corners | 6.61 4.40–8.82 3.82–9.40 | 3.26 1.26–5.26 0.73–5.79 | 9.87 5.66–14.08 4.55–15.19 | 82% |
| Possession % | 54.98 48.19–61.77 46.52–63.44 | 44.30 37.51–51.08 35.84–52.75 | — | 72% 24% |
| Passes | 486 419–553 400–571 | 403 336–469 319–487 | 889 755–1022 719–1058 | 75% 24% |
| Pass accuracy % | 73.73 69.70–77.76 68.41–79.06 | 71.48 67.16–75.81 65.85–77.12 | — | 59% 36% |
| Fouls | 12.09 9.25–14.93 8.49–15.68 | 10.89 7.95–13.84 7.20–14.59 | 22.98 17.20–28.77 15.70–30.27 | 56% 36% |
| Offsides | 1.51 0.35–2.67 0.05–2.97 | 1.81 0.71–2.90 0.43–3.19 | 3.32 1.06–5.57 0.48–6.16 | 32% 23% 45% |
| Yellow cards | 1.58 0.53–2.63 0.27–2.90 | 2.23 1.10–3.36 0.81–3.65 | 3.81 1.63–5.99 1.08–6.55 | 27% 20% 53% |
| Red cards | 0.07 0.00–0.23 0.00–0.38 | 0.11 0.00–0.29 0.00–0.43 | 0.17 0.00–0.52 0.00–0.80 | 85% |
| GK saves | 2.19 0.75–3.63 0.37–4.01 | 3.72 2.17–5.28 1.74–5.70 | 5.91 2.92–8.91 2.11–9.72 | 20% 14% 66% |
safe = prediction ± MAE · safer = ± RMSE of the serving model for that statistic. The bars show the model's own chance of each side recording more of that statistic — a Poisson approximation from the predicted rates, with the two teams treated as independent
Statistical estimates for information & entertainment only — not betting advice.18+