Liga I·Regular Season - 20·
Liga I·Regular Season - 20·Predicted match statistics
Goals
32%
26%
42%
homeawaytotalprediction1.221.432.65safe0.25–2.190.58–2.290.83–4.47safer0.00–2.440.35–2.520.35–4.95
Shots on target
38%
13%
49%
homeawaytotalprediction4.364.769.12safe2.50–6.223.02–6.505.51–12.72safer2.01–6.712.55–6.974.56–13.68
Total shots
50%
43%
homeawaytotalprediction13.7613.3227.08safe9.84–17.699.76–16.8819.59–34.57safer8.75–18.788.80–17.8417.54–36.62
Shots in box
47%
44%
homeawaytotalprediction8.968.8017.76safe6.02–11.916.11–11.4812.14–23.38safer5.19–12.735.38–12.2110.57–24.95
Blocked shots
42%
15%
43%
homeawaytotalprediction3.583.657.23safe1.70–5.461.99–5.303.69–10.76safer1.16–6.011.50–5.792.66–11.80
Corners
49%
38%
homeawaytotalprediction5.324.8810.21safe3.11–7.542.88–6.885.99–14.42safer2.54–8.112.35–7.414.89–15.53
Possession %
31%
64%
homeawayprediction46.8854.17safe40.09–53.6747.38–60.95safer38.42–55.3445.71–62.62
Passes
30%
70%
homeawaytotalprediction377440817safe310–445373–506683–951safer292–463356–524648–986
Pass accuracy %
19%
77%
homeawayprediction66.8673.06safe62.83–70.8968.74–77.39safer61.54–72.1867.43–78.69
Fouls
44%
48%
homeawaytotalprediction12.7012.9625.66safe9.87–15.5410.01–15.9019.88–31.44safer9.11–16.309.26–16.6518.37–32.95
Offsides
38%
22%
39%
homeawaytotalprediction1.711.753.46safe0.55–2.870.65–2.841.20–5.71safer0.25–3.170.36–3.130.61–6.30
Yellow cards
39%
21%
41%
homeawaytotalprediction2.002.054.05safe0.95–3.050.93–3.181.88–6.23safer0.68–3.310.63–3.471.32–6.79
Red cards
82%
homeawaytotalprediction0.080.120.20safe0.00–0.240.00–0.310.00–0.55safer0.00–0.390.00–0.440.00–0.83
GK saves
43%
16%
41%
homeawaytotalprediction3.193.126.31safe1.75–4.621.56–4.683.32–9.30safer1.37–5.011.14–5.102.50–10.11
| Stat | Homepred / safe / safer | Awaypred / safe / safer | Totalpred / safe / safer | Who wins |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Goals | 1.22 0.25–2.19 0.00–2.44 | 1.43 0.58–2.29 0.35–2.52 | 2.65 0.83–4.47 0.35–4.95 | 32% 26% 42% |
| Shots on target | 4.36 2.50–6.22 2.01–6.71 | 4.76 3.02–6.50 2.55–6.97 | 9.12 5.51–12.72 4.56–13.68 | 38% 13% 49% |
| Total shots | 13.76 9.84–17.69 8.75–18.78 | 13.32 9.76–16.88 8.80–17.84 | 27.08 19.59–34.57 17.54–36.62 | 50% 43% |
| Shots in box | 8.96 6.02–11.91 5.19–12.73 | 8.80 6.11–11.48 5.38–12.21 | 17.76 12.14–23.38 10.57–24.95 | 47% 44% |
| Blocked shots | 3.58 1.70–5.46 1.16–6.01 | 3.65 1.99–5.30 1.50–5.79 | 7.23 3.69–10.76 2.66–11.80 | 42% 15% 43% |
| Corners | 5.32 3.11–7.54 2.54–8.11 | 4.88 2.88–6.88 2.35–7.41 | 10.21 5.99–14.42 4.89–15.53 | 49% 38% |
| Possession % | 46.88 40.09–53.67 38.42–55.34 | 54.17 47.38–60.95 45.71–62.62 | — | 31% 64% |
| Passes | 377 310–445 292–463 | 440 373–506 356–524 | 817 683–951 648–986 | 30% 70% |
| Pass accuracy % | 66.86 62.83–70.89 61.54–72.18 | 73.06 68.74–77.39 67.43–78.69 | — | 19% 77% |
| Fouls | 12.70 9.87–15.54 9.11–16.30 | 12.96 10.01–15.90 9.26–16.65 | 25.66 19.88–31.44 18.37–32.95 | 44% 48% |
| Offsides | 1.71 0.55–2.87 0.25–3.17 | 1.75 0.65–2.84 0.36–3.13 | 3.46 1.20–5.71 0.61–6.30 | 38% 22% 39% |
| Yellow cards | 2.00 0.95–3.05 0.68–3.31 | 2.05 0.93–3.18 0.63–3.47 | 4.05 1.88–6.23 1.32–6.79 | 39% 21% 41% |
| Red cards | 0.08 0.00–0.24 0.00–0.39 | 0.12 0.00–0.31 0.00–0.44 | 0.20 0.00–0.55 0.00–0.83 | 82% |
| GK saves | 3.19 1.75–4.62 1.37–5.01 | 3.12 1.56–4.68 1.14–5.10 | 6.31 3.32–9.30 2.50–10.11 | 43% 16% 41% |
safe = prediction ± MAE · safer = ± RMSE of the serving model for that statistic. The bars show the model's own chance of each side recording more of that statistic — a Poisson approximation from the predicted rates, with the two teams treated as independent
Statistical estimates for information & entertainment only — not betting advice.