Liga I·Regular Season - 21·
Liga I·Regular Season - 21·Predicted match statistics
Goals
32%
26%
42%
homeawaytotalprediction1.251.462.71safe0.28–2.220.61–2.320.89–4.54safer0.03–2.470.38–2.540.41–5.02
Shots on target
37%
13%
50%
homeawaytotalprediction4.394.909.29safe2.53–6.253.16–6.645.69–12.90safer2.04–6.742.69–7.114.73–13.85
Total shots
39%
53%
homeawaytotalprediction13.4114.3327.74safe9.48–17.3310.77–17.8920.25–35.22safer8.39–18.429.81–18.8518.20–37.27
Shots in box
38%
53%
homeawaytotalprediction8.219.0117.22safe5.27–11.156.33–11.6911.59–22.84safer4.44–11.985.59–12.4310.03–24.41
Blocked shots
41%
15%
44%
homeawaytotalprediction3.663.757.41safe1.78–5.542.10–5.413.88–10.95safer1.23–6.081.61–5.902.84–11.98
Corners
47%
41%
homeawaytotalprediction5.295.0510.34safe3.07–7.503.05–7.056.13–14.56safer2.50–8.082.52–7.595.02–15.66
Possession %
42%
53%
homeawayprediction49.5951.92safe42.80–56.3845.13–58.70safer41.13–58.0543.46–60.37
Passes
45%
55%
homeawaytotalprediction384398782safe317–451332–464648–915safer298–469314–482612–951
Pass accuracy %
21%
75%
homeawayprediction63.3669.19safe59.33–67.3964.86–73.51safer58.04–68.6863.55–74.82
Fouls
58%
35%
homeawaytotalprediction14.0412.5126.55safe11.20–16.879.56–15.4520.76–32.33safer10.44–17.638.82–16.2019.26–33.83
Offsides
33%
21%
46%
homeawaytotalprediction1.792.133.92safe0.63–2.951.04–3.231.67–6.18safer0.33–3.250.75–3.511.08–6.77
Yellow cards
43%
20%
37%
homeawaytotalprediction2.262.104.36safe1.21–3.310.97–3.232.18–6.54safer0.94–3.570.68–3.521.62–7.10
Red cards
79%
homeawaytotalprediction0.150.110.26safe0.00–0.310.00–0.290.00–0.60safer0.00–0.460.00–0.420.00–0.89
GK saves
46%
16%
38%
homeawaytotalprediction3.252.976.22safe1.81–4.681.42–4.533.23–9.21safer1.42–5.070.99–4.952.41–10.02
| Stat | Homepred / safe / safer | Awaypred / safe / safer | Totalpred / safe / safer | Who wins |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Goals | 1.25 0.28–2.22 0.03–2.47 | 1.46 0.61–2.32 0.38–2.54 | 2.71 0.89–4.54 0.41–5.02 | 32% 26% 42% |
| Shots on target | 4.39 2.53–6.25 2.04–6.74 | 4.90 3.16–6.64 2.69–7.11 | 9.29 5.69–12.90 4.73–13.85 | 37% 13% 50% |
| Total shots | 13.41 9.48–17.33 8.39–18.42 | 14.33 10.77–17.89 9.81–18.85 | 27.74 20.25–35.22 18.20–37.27 | 39% 53% |
| Shots in box | 8.21 5.27–11.15 4.44–11.98 | 9.01 6.33–11.69 5.59–12.43 | 17.22 11.59–22.84 10.03–24.41 | 38% 53% |
| Blocked shots | 3.66 1.78–5.54 1.23–6.08 | 3.75 2.10–5.41 1.61–5.90 | 7.41 3.88–10.95 2.84–11.98 | 41% 15% 44% |
| Corners | 5.29 3.07–7.50 2.50–8.08 | 5.05 3.05–7.05 2.52–7.59 | 10.34 6.13–14.56 5.02–15.66 | 47% 41% |
| Possession % | 49.59 42.80–56.38 41.13–58.05 | 51.92 45.13–58.70 43.46–60.37 | — | 42% 53% |
| Passes | 384 317–451 298–469 | 398 332–464 314–482 | 782 648–915 612–951 | 45% 55% |
| Pass accuracy % | 63.36 59.33–67.39 58.04–68.68 | 69.19 64.86–73.51 63.55–74.82 | — | 21% 75% |
| Fouls | 14.04 11.20–16.87 10.44–17.63 | 12.51 9.56–15.45 8.82–16.20 | 26.55 20.76–32.33 19.26–33.83 | 58% 35% |
| Offsides | 1.79 0.63–2.95 0.33–3.25 | 2.13 1.04–3.23 0.75–3.51 | 3.92 1.67–6.18 1.08–6.77 | 33% 21% 46% |
| Yellow cards | 2.26 1.21–3.31 0.94–3.57 | 2.10 0.97–3.23 0.68–3.52 | 4.36 2.18–6.54 1.62–7.10 | 43% 20% 37% |
| Red cards | 0.15 0.00–0.31 0.00–0.46 | 0.11 0.00–0.29 0.00–0.42 | 0.26 0.00–0.60 0.00–0.89 | 79% |
| GK saves | 3.25 1.81–4.68 1.42–5.07 | 2.97 1.42–4.53 0.99–4.95 | 6.22 3.23–9.21 2.41–10.02 | 46% 16% 38% |
safe = prediction ± MAE · safer = ± RMSE of the serving model for that statistic. The bars show the model's own chance of each side recording more of that statistic — a Poisson approximation from the predicted rates, with the two teams treated as independent
Statistical estimates for information & entertainment only — not betting advice.