Liga I·Regular Season - 21·
Liga I·Regular Season - 21·Predicted match statistics
Goals
23%
25%
52%
homeawaytotalprediction0.951.562.52safe0.00–1.920.71–2.420.69–4.34safer0.00–2.170.48–2.650.21–4.82
Shots on target
23%
65%
homeawaytotalprediction3.395.018.40safe1.53–5.263.27–6.754.80–12.01safer1.04–5.742.80–7.223.84–12.96
Total shots
23%
71%
homeawaytotalprediction10.6913.9024.59safe6.77–14.6210.34–17.4617.11–32.08safer5.68–15.719.38–18.4215.05–34.13
Shots in box
27%
64%
homeawaytotalprediction6.848.7915.63safe3.90–9.786.11–11.4710.00–21.25safer3.07–10.615.37–12.218.44–22.82
Blocked shots
31%
15%
54%
homeawaytotalprediction2.923.706.62safe1.04–4.812.05–5.353.09–10.16safer0.50–5.351.55–5.852.05–11.20
Corners
26%
62%
homeawaytotalprediction3.925.389.30safe1.71–6.143.38–7.385.09–13.51safer1.13–6.712.84–7.913.98–14.62
Possession %
88%
homeawayprediction39.7060.85safe32.91–46.4954.06–67.63safer31.24–48.1652.39–69.30
Passes
94%
homeawaytotalprediction330516846safe263–397450–583713–980safer245–415432–600677–1016
Pass accuracy %
93%
homeawayprediction66.0678.12safe62.03–70.0973.80–82.45safer60.74–71.3972.49–83.76
Fouls
59%
34%
homeawaytotalprediction15.0313.3228.36safe12.19–17.8710.38–16.2722.57–34.14safer11.44–18.629.63–17.0221.07–35.64
Offsides
37%
23%
41%
homeawaytotalprediction1.631.723.35safe0.47–2.790.63–2.821.10–5.60safer0.16–3.090.34–3.110.51–6.19
Yellow cards
51%
19%
30%
homeawaytotalprediction2.401.834.22safe1.35–3.440.70–2.962.04–6.40safer1.08–3.710.41–3.251.49–6.96
Red cards
81%
homeawaytotalprediction0.130.100.23safe0.00–0.290.00–0.290.00–0.57safer0.00–0.440.00–0.420.00–0.86
GK saves
54%
16%
30%
homeawaytotalprediction3.292.515.79safe1.85–4.720.95–4.072.80–8.79safer1.46–5.110.53–4.491.99–9.60
| Stat | Homepred / safe / safer | Awaypred / safe / safer | Totalpred / safe / safer | Who wins |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Goals | 0.95 0.00–1.92 0.00–2.17 | 1.56 0.71–2.42 0.48–2.65 | 2.52 0.69–4.34 0.21–4.82 | 23% 25% 52% |
| Shots on target | 3.39 1.53–5.26 1.04–5.74 | 5.01 3.27–6.75 2.80–7.22 | 8.40 4.80–12.01 3.84–12.96 | 23% 65% |
| Total shots | 10.69 6.77–14.62 5.68–15.71 | 13.90 10.34–17.46 9.38–18.42 | 24.59 17.11–32.08 15.05–34.13 | 23% 71% |
| Shots in box | 6.84 3.90–9.78 3.07–10.61 | 8.79 6.11–11.47 5.37–12.21 | 15.63 10.00–21.25 8.44–22.82 | 27% 64% |
| Blocked shots | 2.92 1.04–4.81 0.50–5.35 | 3.70 2.05–5.35 1.55–5.85 | 6.62 3.09–10.16 2.05–11.20 | 31% 15% 54% |
| Corners | 3.92 1.71–6.14 1.13–6.71 | 5.38 3.38–7.38 2.84–7.91 | 9.30 5.09–13.51 3.98–14.62 | 26% 62% |
| Possession % | 39.70 32.91–46.49 31.24–48.16 | 60.85 54.06–67.63 52.39–69.30 | — | 88% |
| Passes | 330 263–397 245–415 | 516 450–583 432–600 | 846 713–980 677–1016 | 94% |
| Pass accuracy % | 66.06 62.03–70.09 60.74–71.39 | 78.12 73.80–82.45 72.49–83.76 | — | 93% |
| Fouls | 15.03 12.19–17.87 11.44–18.62 | 13.32 10.38–16.27 9.63–17.02 | 28.36 22.57–34.14 21.07–35.64 | 59% 34% |
| Offsides | 1.63 0.47–2.79 0.16–3.09 | 1.72 0.63–2.82 0.34–3.11 | 3.35 1.10–5.60 0.51–6.19 | 37% 23% 41% |
| Yellow cards | 2.40 1.35–3.44 1.08–3.71 | 1.83 0.70–2.96 0.41–3.25 | 4.22 2.04–6.40 1.49–6.96 | 51% 19% 30% |
| Red cards | 0.13 0.00–0.29 0.00–0.44 | 0.10 0.00–0.29 0.00–0.42 | 0.23 0.00–0.57 0.00–0.86 | 81% |
| GK saves | 3.29 1.85–4.72 1.46–5.11 | 2.51 0.95–4.07 0.53–4.49 | 5.79 2.80–8.79 1.99–9.60 | 54% 16% 30% |
safe = prediction ± MAE · safer = ± RMSE of the serving model for that statistic. The bars show the model's own chance of each side recording more of that statistic — a Poisson approximation from the predicted rates, with the two teams treated as independent
Statistical estimates for information & entertainment only — not betting advice.