Liga I·Regular Season - 21·
Liga I·Regular Season - 21·Predicted match statistics
Goals
52%
24%
24%
homeawaytotalprediction1.701.102.80safe0.74–2.670.24–1.950.98–4.62safer0.48–2.920.01–2.180.50–5.10
Shots on target
60%
28%
homeawaytotalprediction5.243.959.19safe3.37–7.102.21–5.695.58–12.79safer2.88–7.591.74–6.164.63–13.75
Total shots
68%
26%
homeawaytotalprediction15.0012.1327.14safe11.08–18.938.57–15.7019.65–34.63safer9.99–20.027.61–16.6617.60–36.68
Shots in box
63%
28%
homeawaytotalprediction9.307.3916.69safe6.36–12.244.71–10.0711.07–22.32safer5.53–13.073.97–10.819.50–23.88
Blocked shots
48%
15%
37%
homeawaytotalprediction3.803.397.19safe1.91–5.681.74–5.043.65–10.72safer1.37–6.221.25–5.542.62–11.76
Corners
64%
25%
homeawaytotalprediction5.664.079.73safe3.45–7.872.07–6.075.52–13.94safer2.87–8.451.54–6.604.41–15.05
Possession %
48%
47%
homeawayprediction49.9649.85safe43.17–56.7543.06–56.63safer41.50–58.4241.39–58.30
Passes
51%
49%
homeawaytotalprediction456453909safe389–523386–519775–1042safer371–541369–537739–1078
Pass accuracy %
29%
66%
homeawayprediction70.8474.55safe66.81–74.8770.23–78.87safer65.52–76.1668.92–80.18
Fouls
54%
38%
homeawaytotalprediction12.7211.7124.44safe9.89–15.568.77–14.6618.66–30.22safer9.13–16.328.02–15.4117.15–31.72
Offsides
43%
25%
32%
homeawaytotalprediction1.551.312.86safe0.39–2.710.21–2.400.61–5.12safer0.09–3.020.00–2.690.02–5.71
Yellow cards
39%
21%
40%
homeawaytotalprediction1.971.993.96safe0.92–3.020.86–3.111.78–6.13safer0.65–3.290.57–3.411.22–6.69
Red cards
82%
homeawaytotalprediction0.090.120.21safe0.00–0.260.00–0.300.00–0.56safer0.00–0.400.00–0.440.00–0.84
GK saves
31%
16%
53%
homeawaytotalprediction2.713.436.14safe1.27–4.151.88–4.993.15–9.14safer0.89–4.531.45–5.412.34–9.95
| Stat | Homepred / safe / safer | Awaypred / safe / safer | Totalpred / safe / safer | Who wins |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Goals | 1.70 0.74–2.67 0.48–2.92 | 1.10 0.24–1.95 0.01–2.18 | 2.80 0.98–4.62 0.50–5.10 | 52% 24% 24% |
| Shots on target | 5.24 3.37–7.10 2.88–7.59 | 3.95 2.21–5.69 1.74–6.16 | 9.19 5.58–12.79 4.63–13.75 | 60% 28% |
| Total shots | 15.00 11.08–18.93 9.99–20.02 | 12.13 8.57–15.70 7.61–16.66 | 27.14 19.65–34.63 17.60–36.68 | 68% 26% |
| Shots in box | 9.30 6.36–12.24 5.53–13.07 | 7.39 4.71–10.07 3.97–10.81 | 16.69 11.07–22.32 9.50–23.88 | 63% 28% |
| Blocked shots | 3.80 1.91–5.68 1.37–6.22 | 3.39 1.74–5.04 1.25–5.54 | 7.19 3.65–10.72 2.62–11.76 | 48% 15% 37% |
| Corners | 5.66 3.45–7.87 2.87–8.45 | 4.07 2.07–6.07 1.54–6.60 | 9.73 5.52–13.94 4.41–15.05 | 64% 25% |
| Possession % | 49.96 43.17–56.75 41.50–58.42 | 49.85 43.06–56.63 41.39–58.30 | — | 48% 47% |
| Passes | 456 389–523 371–541 | 453 386–519 369–537 | 909 775–1042 739–1078 | 51% 49% |
| Pass accuracy % | 70.84 66.81–74.87 65.52–76.16 | 74.55 70.23–78.87 68.92–80.18 | — | 29% 66% |
| Fouls | 12.72 9.89–15.56 9.13–16.32 | 11.71 8.77–14.66 8.02–15.41 | 24.44 18.66–30.22 17.15–31.72 | 54% 38% |
| Offsides | 1.55 0.39–2.71 0.09–3.02 | 1.31 0.21–2.40 0.00–2.69 | 2.86 0.61–5.12 0.02–5.71 | 43% 25% 32% |
| Yellow cards | 1.97 0.92–3.02 0.65–3.29 | 1.99 0.86–3.11 0.57–3.41 | 3.96 1.78–6.13 1.22–6.69 | 39% 21% 40% |
| Red cards | 0.09 0.00–0.26 0.00–0.40 | 0.12 0.00–0.30 0.00–0.44 | 0.21 0.00–0.56 0.00–0.84 | 82% |
| GK saves | 2.71 1.27–4.15 0.89–4.53 | 3.43 1.88–4.99 1.45–5.41 | 6.14 3.15–9.14 2.34–9.95 | 31% 16% 53% |
safe = prediction ± MAE · safer = ± RMSE of the serving model for that statistic. The bars show the model's own chance of each side recording more of that statistic — a Poisson approximation from the predicted rates, with the two teams treated as independent
Statistical estimates for information & entertainment only — not betting advice.18+