Liga I·Regular Season - 21·
Liga I·Regular Season - 21·Predicted match statistics
Goals
38%
27%
34%
homeawaytotalprediction1.261.182.44safe0.30–2.230.32–2.030.62–4.27safer0.04–2.480.10–2.260.14–4.74
Shots on target
46%
14%
40%
homeawaytotalprediction4.254.058.31safe2.39–6.122.31–5.794.70–11.91safer1.90–6.611.84–6.263.75–12.87
Total shots
61%
32%
homeawaytotalprediction13.8411.9425.78safe9.92–17.778.38–15.5018.29–33.27safer8.83–18.867.42–16.4616.24–35.32
Shots in box
62%
29%
homeawaytotalprediction8.947.2216.16safe6.00–11.884.54–9.9010.54–21.78safer5.17–12.713.80–10.648.97–23.35
Blocked shots
45%
15%
41%
homeawaytotalprediction3.853.717.56safe1.97–5.732.06–5.374.03–11.10safer1.43–6.281.57–5.862.99–12.13
Corners
61%
27%
homeawaytotalprediction5.564.159.72safe3.35–7.782.15–6.155.50–13.93safer2.78–8.351.62–6.694.40–15.04
Possession %
21%
75%
homeawayprediction44.2156.78safe37.42–51.0050.00–63.57safer35.75–52.6748.32–65.24
Passes
16%
84%
homeawaytotalprediction335455789safe268–402388–521656–923safer249–420371–539620–959
Pass accuracy %
87%
homeawayprediction62.3371.58safe58.30–66.3667.25–75.90safer57.01–67.6565.94–77.21
Fouls
51%
41%
homeawaytotalprediction12.8912.2625.15safe10.06–15.739.32–15.2119.37–30.94safer9.30–16.498.57–15.9517.87–32.44
Offsides
41%
26%
33%
homeawaytotalprediction1.441.252.69safe0.28–2.600.16–2.340.44–4.94safer0.00–2.900.00–2.630.00–5.53
Yellow cards
39%
20%
41%
homeawaytotalprediction2.042.114.16safe0.99–3.090.98–3.241.98–6.33safer0.73–3.360.69–3.531.42–6.89
Red cards
79%
homeawaytotalprediction0.120.130.25safe0.00–0.280.00–0.320.00–0.60safer0.00–0.430.00–0.450.00–0.88
GK saves
39%
17%
44%
homeawaytotalprediction2.833.015.84safe1.40–4.271.45–4.562.85–8.83safer1.01–4.661.03–4.992.04–9.65
| Stat | Homepred / safe / safer | Awaypred / safe / safer | Totalpred / safe / safer | Who wins |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Goals | 1.26 0.30–2.23 0.04–2.48 | 1.18 0.32–2.03 0.10–2.26 | 2.44 0.62–4.27 0.14–4.74 | 38% 27% 34% |
| Shots on target | 4.25 2.39–6.12 1.90–6.61 | 4.05 2.31–5.79 1.84–6.26 | 8.31 4.70–11.91 3.75–12.87 | 46% 14% 40% |
| Total shots | 13.84 9.92–17.77 8.83–18.86 | 11.94 8.38–15.50 7.42–16.46 | 25.78 18.29–33.27 16.24–35.32 | 61% 32% |
| Shots in box | 8.94 6.00–11.88 5.17–12.71 | 7.22 4.54–9.90 3.80–10.64 | 16.16 10.54–21.78 8.97–23.35 | 62% 29% |
| Blocked shots | 3.85 1.97–5.73 1.43–6.28 | 3.71 2.06–5.37 1.57–5.86 | 7.56 4.03–11.10 2.99–12.13 | 45% 15% 41% |
| Corners | 5.56 3.35–7.78 2.78–8.35 | 4.15 2.15–6.15 1.62–6.69 | 9.72 5.50–13.93 4.40–15.04 | 61% 27% |
| Possession % | 44.21 37.42–51.00 35.75–52.67 | 56.78 50.00–63.57 48.32–65.24 | — | 21% 75% |
| Passes | 335 268–402 249–420 | 455 388–521 371–539 | 789 656–923 620–959 | 16% 84% |
| Pass accuracy % | 62.33 58.30–66.36 57.01–67.65 | 71.58 67.25–75.90 65.94–77.21 | — | 87% |
| Fouls | 12.89 10.06–15.73 9.30–16.49 | 12.26 9.32–15.21 8.57–15.95 | 25.15 19.37–30.94 17.87–32.44 | 51% 41% |
| Offsides | 1.44 0.28–2.60 0.00–2.90 | 1.25 0.16–2.34 0.00–2.63 | 2.69 0.44–4.94 0.00–5.53 | 41% 26% 33% |
| Yellow cards | 2.04 0.99–3.09 0.73–3.36 | 2.11 0.98–3.24 0.69–3.53 | 4.16 1.98–6.33 1.42–6.89 | 39% 20% 41% |
| Red cards | 0.12 0.00–0.28 0.00–0.43 | 0.13 0.00–0.32 0.00–0.45 | 0.25 0.00–0.60 0.00–0.88 | 79% |
| GK saves | 2.83 1.40–4.27 1.01–4.66 | 3.01 1.45–4.56 1.03–4.99 | 5.84 2.85–8.83 2.04–9.65 | 39% 17% 44% |
safe = prediction ± MAE · safer = ± RMSE of the serving model for that statistic. The bars show the model's own chance of each side recording more of that statistic — a Poisson approximation from the predicted rates, with the two teams treated as independent
Statistical estimates for information & entertainment only — not betting advice.