Liga I·Regular Season - 21·
Liga I·Regular Season - 21·Predicted match statistics
Goals
54%
24%
22%
homeawaytotalprediction1.751.032.78safe0.79–2.720.17–1.880.96–4.60safer0.53–2.970.00–2.110.48–5.08
Shots on target
66%
23%
homeawaytotalprediction5.804.009.80safe3.94–7.672.25–5.746.19–13.40safer3.45–8.161.79–6.205.24–14.36
Total shots
84%
homeawaytotalprediction17.3511.4328.78safe13.42–21.277.87–15.0021.29–36.27safer12.33–22.366.91–15.9619.24–38.32
Shots in box
82%
homeawaytotalprediction11.036.6317.66safe8.08–13.973.95–9.3112.03–23.28safer7.26–14.803.21–10.0510.47–24.85
Blocked shots
67%
21%
homeawaytotalprediction5.163.348.51safe3.28–7.051.69–5.004.97–12.04safer2.74–7.591.20–5.493.94–13.08
Corners
74%
16%
homeawaytotalprediction6.573.9410.51safe4.36–8.781.94–5.946.30–14.73safer3.78–9.361.41–6.485.19–15.83
Possession %
77%
19%
homeawayprediction56.6442.95safe49.85–63.4336.17–49.74safer48.18–65.1034.50–51.41
Passes
88%
homeawaytotalprediction506367873safe439–573300–433739–1007safer421–592283–451704–1042
Pass accuracy %
60%
35%
homeawayprediction72.9770.53safe68.94–77.0066.20–74.85safer67.65–78.2964.89–76.16
Fouls
53%
39%
homeawaytotalprediction11.4410.6322.07safe8.60–14.287.68–13.5716.29–27.85safer7.85–15.036.94–14.3214.78–29.35
Offsides
49%
24%
27%
homeawaytotalprediction1.701.192.89safe0.54–2.860.09–2.280.63–5.14safer0.24–3.160.00–2.570.04–5.73
Yellow cards
31%
21%
48%
homeawaytotalprediction1.592.033.63safe0.54–2.640.90–3.161.45–5.80safer0.28–2.910.61–3.450.89–6.36
Red cards
85%
homeawaytotalprediction0.060.100.16safe0.00–0.220.00–0.290.00–0.51safer0.00–0.370.00–0.420.00–0.79
GK saves
26%
15%
60%
homeawaytotalprediction2.633.786.41safe1.20–4.072.22–5.333.42–9.40safer0.81–4.461.80–5.762.61–10.22
| Stat | Homepred / safe / safer | Awaypred / safe / safer | Totalpred / safe / safer | Who wins |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Goals | 1.75 0.79–2.72 0.53–2.97 | 1.03 0.17–1.88 0.00–2.11 | 2.78 0.96–4.60 0.48–5.08 | 54% 24% 22% |
| Shots on target | 5.80 3.94–7.67 3.45–8.16 | 4.00 2.25–5.74 1.79–6.20 | 9.80 6.19–13.40 5.24–14.36 | 66% 23% |
| Total shots | 17.35 13.42–21.27 12.33–22.36 | 11.43 7.87–15.00 6.91–15.96 | 28.78 21.29–36.27 19.24–38.32 | 84% |
| Shots in box | 11.03 8.08–13.97 7.26–14.80 | 6.63 3.95–9.31 3.21–10.05 | 17.66 12.03–23.28 10.47–24.85 | 82% |
| Blocked shots | 5.16 3.28–7.05 2.74–7.59 | 3.34 1.69–5.00 1.20–5.49 | 8.51 4.97–12.04 3.94–13.08 | 67% 21% |
| Corners | 6.57 4.36–8.78 3.78–9.36 | 3.94 1.94–5.94 1.41–6.48 | 10.51 6.30–14.73 5.19–15.83 | 74% 16% |
| Possession % | 56.64 49.85–63.43 48.18–65.10 | 42.95 36.17–49.74 34.50–51.41 | — | 77% 19% |
| Passes | 506 439–573 421–592 | 367 300–433 283–451 | 873 739–1007 704–1042 | 88% |
| Pass accuracy % | 72.97 68.94–77.00 67.65–78.29 | 70.53 66.20–74.85 64.89–76.16 | — | 60% 35% |
| Fouls | 11.44 8.60–14.28 7.85–15.03 | 10.63 7.68–13.57 6.94–14.32 | 22.07 16.29–27.85 14.78–29.35 | 53% 39% |
| Offsides | 1.70 0.54–2.86 0.24–3.16 | 1.19 0.09–2.28 0.00–2.57 | 2.89 0.63–5.14 0.04–5.73 | 49% 24% 27% |
| Yellow cards | 1.59 0.54–2.64 0.28–2.91 | 2.03 0.90–3.16 0.61–3.45 | 3.63 1.45–5.80 0.89–6.36 | 31% 21% 48% |
| Red cards | 0.06 0.00–0.22 0.00–0.37 | 0.10 0.00–0.29 0.00–0.42 | 0.16 0.00–0.51 0.00–0.79 | 85% |
| GK saves | 2.63 1.20–4.07 0.81–4.46 | 3.78 2.22–5.33 1.80–5.76 | 6.41 3.42–9.40 2.61–10.22 | 26% 15% 60% |
safe = prediction ± MAE · safer = ± RMSE of the serving model for that statistic. The bars show the model's own chance of each side recording more of that statistic — a Poisson approximation from the predicted rates, with the two teams treated as independent
Statistical estimates for information & entertainment only — not betting advice.