Liga I·Regular Season - 21·
Liga I·Regular Season - 21·Predicted match statistics
Goals
40%
26%
33%
homeawaytotalprediction1.381.232.60safe0.41–2.350.37–2.080.78–4.43safer0.16–2.600.14–2.310.30–4.91
Shots on target
50%
13%
37%
homeawaytotalprediction4.884.359.23safe3.02–6.742.61–6.105.63–12.84safer2.53–7.232.15–6.564.67–13.79
Total shots
68%
25%
homeawaytotalprediction14.7811.8126.59safe10.86–18.718.24–15.3719.10–34.08safer9.76–19.807.29–16.3317.05–36.13
Shots in box
60%
31%
homeawaytotalprediction9.037.4816.52safe6.09–11.984.80–10.1610.90–22.14safer5.26–12.814.07–10.909.33–23.71
Blocked shots
53%
15%
32%
homeawaytotalprediction3.953.217.17safe2.07–5.841.56–4.873.63–10.70safer1.53–6.381.07–5.362.60–11.74
Corners
52%
35%
homeawaytotalprediction5.254.579.82safe3.04–7.472.57–6.575.61–14.04safer2.47–8.042.04–7.104.50–15.14
Possession %
64%
32%
homeawayprediction53.8546.88safe47.06–60.6440.09–53.66safer45.39–62.3138.42–55.34
Passes
70%
30%
homeawaytotalprediction444381826safe377–512315–448692–959safer359–530297–465656–995
Pass accuracy %
50%
45%
homeawayprediction70.0269.55safe65.99–74.0565.23–73.87safer64.70–75.3463.92–75.18
Fouls
40%
53%
homeawaytotalprediction12.5513.4025.95safe9.71–15.3910.46–16.3520.17–31.73safer8.96–16.149.71–17.0918.66–33.24
Offsides
41%
24%
34%
homeawaytotalprediction1.561.392.95safe0.40–2.720.30–2.480.70–5.20safer0.10–3.020.01–2.770.11–5.79
Yellow cards
35%
20%
44%
homeawaytotalprediction1.982.224.19safe0.93–3.031.09–3.352.02–6.37safer0.66–3.290.80–3.641.46–6.93
Red cards
81%
homeawaytotalprediction0.120.110.23safe0.00–0.280.00–0.290.00–0.58safer0.00–0.430.00–0.430.00–0.86
GK saves
35%
16%
49%
homeawaytotalprediction3.003.436.43safe1.56–4.441.87–4.983.44–9.42safer1.18–4.821.45–5.412.62–10.23
| Stat | Homepred / safe / safer | Awaypred / safe / safer | Totalpred / safe / safer | Who wins |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Goals | 1.38 0.41–2.35 0.16–2.60 | 1.23 0.37–2.08 0.14–2.31 | 2.60 0.78–4.43 0.30–4.91 | 40% 26% 33% |
| Shots on target | 4.88 3.02–6.74 2.53–7.23 | 4.35 2.61–6.10 2.15–6.56 | 9.23 5.63–12.84 4.67–13.79 | 50% 13% 37% |
| Total shots | 14.78 10.86–18.71 9.76–19.80 | 11.81 8.24–15.37 7.29–16.33 | 26.59 19.10–34.08 17.05–36.13 | 68% 25% |
| Shots in box | 9.03 6.09–11.98 5.26–12.81 | 7.48 4.80–10.16 4.07–10.90 | 16.52 10.90–22.14 9.33–23.71 | 60% 31% |
| Blocked shots | 3.95 2.07–5.84 1.53–6.38 | 3.21 1.56–4.87 1.07–5.36 | 7.17 3.63–10.70 2.60–11.74 | 53% 15% 32% |
| Corners | 5.25 3.04–7.47 2.47–8.04 | 4.57 2.57–6.57 2.04–7.10 | 9.82 5.61–14.04 4.50–15.14 | 52% 35% |
| Possession % | 53.85 47.06–60.64 45.39–62.31 | 46.88 40.09–53.66 38.42–55.34 | — | 64% 32% |
| Passes | 444 377–512 359–530 | 381 315–448 297–465 | 826 692–959 656–995 | 70% 30% |
| Pass accuracy % | 70.02 65.99–74.05 64.70–75.34 | 69.55 65.23–73.87 63.92–75.18 | — | 50% 45% |
| Fouls | 12.55 9.71–15.39 8.96–16.14 | 13.40 10.46–16.35 9.71–17.09 | 25.95 20.17–31.73 18.66–33.24 | 40% 53% |
| Offsides | 1.56 0.40–2.72 0.10–3.02 | 1.39 0.30–2.48 0.01–2.77 | 2.95 0.70–5.20 0.11–5.79 | 41% 24% 34% |
| Yellow cards | 1.98 0.93–3.03 0.66–3.29 | 2.22 1.09–3.35 0.80–3.64 | 4.19 2.02–6.37 1.46–6.93 | 35% 20% 44% |
| Red cards | 0.12 0.00–0.28 0.00–0.43 | 0.11 0.00–0.29 0.00–0.43 | 0.23 0.00–0.58 0.00–0.86 | 81% |
| GK saves | 3.00 1.56–4.44 1.18–4.82 | 3.43 1.87–4.98 1.45–5.41 | 6.43 3.44–9.42 2.62–10.23 | 35% 16% 49% |
safe = prediction ± MAE · safer = ± RMSE of the serving model for that statistic. The bars show the model's own chance of each side recording more of that statistic — a Poisson approximation from the predicted rates, with the two teams treated as independent
Statistical estimates for information & entertainment only — not betting advice.