Liga I·Regular Season - 21·
Liga I·Regular Season - 21·Predicted match statistics
Goals
18%
69%
homeawaytotalprediction0.862.233.09safe0.00–1.821.38–3.091.26–4.91safer0.00–2.071.15–3.310.78–5.39
Shots on target
80%
homeawaytotalprediction3.086.129.20safe1.22–4.944.37–7.865.59–12.80safer0.73–5.433.91–8.324.63–13.76
Total shots
93%
homeawaytotalprediction9.9418.1428.08safe6.01–13.8614.58–21.7020.59–35.57safer4.92–14.9513.62–22.6618.54–37.62
Shots in box
91%
homeawaytotalprediction5.6711.7217.39safe2.73–8.629.04–14.4011.77–23.02safer1.90–9.448.30–15.1410.20–24.58
Blocked shots
82%
homeawaytotalprediction2.435.417.83safe0.54–4.313.75–7.064.30–11.37safer0.00–4.853.26–7.553.26–12.40
Corners
15%
76%
homeawaytotalprediction3.746.4810.22safe1.53–5.954.48–8.486.00–14.43safer0.95–6.533.94–9.014.89–15.54
Possession %
93%
homeawayprediction37.5363.11safe30.74–44.3256.33–69.90safer29.07–45.9954.65–71.57
Passes
95%
homeawaytotalprediction353552905safe286–420486–619772–1039safer268–439468–636736–1075
Pass accuracy %
98%
homeawayprediction60.8276.89safe56.79–64.8572.57–81.22safer55.50–66.1471.26–82.53
Fouls
35%
57%
homeawaytotalprediction9.6810.9820.65safe6.84–12.518.03–13.9214.87–26.44safer6.08–13.277.29–14.6713.37–27.94
Offsides
52%
20%
28%
homeawaytotalprediction2.251.633.87safe1.09–3.410.53–2.721.62–6.13safer0.79–3.710.24–3.011.03–6.72
Yellow cards
45%
22%
33%
homeawaytotalprediction1.831.553.38safe0.78–2.880.42–2.681.20–5.56safer0.52–3.150.13–2.970.64–6.11
Red cards
84%
homeawaytotalprediction0.100.080.18safe0.00–0.260.00–0.260.00–0.53safer0.00–0.410.00–0.400.00–0.81
GK saves
67%
14%
20%
homeawaytotalprediction3.882.316.19safe2.44–5.310.75–3.863.19–9.18safer2.06–5.700.33–4.292.38–9.99
| Stat | Homepred / safe / safer | Awaypred / safe / safer | Totalpred / safe / safer | Who wins |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Goals | 0.86 0.00–1.82 0.00–2.07 | 2.23 1.38–3.09 1.15–3.31 | 3.09 1.26–4.91 0.78–5.39 | 18% 69% |
| Shots on target | 3.08 1.22–4.94 0.73–5.43 | 6.12 4.37–7.86 3.91–8.32 | 9.20 5.59–12.80 4.63–13.76 | 80% |
| Total shots | 9.94 6.01–13.86 4.92–14.95 | 18.14 14.58–21.70 13.62–22.66 | 28.08 20.59–35.57 18.54–37.62 | 93% |
| Shots in box | 5.67 2.73–8.62 1.90–9.44 | 11.72 9.04–14.40 8.30–15.14 | 17.39 11.77–23.02 10.20–24.58 | 91% |
| Blocked shots | 2.43 0.54–4.31 0.00–4.85 | 5.41 3.75–7.06 3.26–7.55 | 7.83 4.30–11.37 3.26–12.40 | 82% |
| Corners | 3.74 1.53–5.95 0.95–6.53 | 6.48 4.48–8.48 3.94–9.01 | 10.22 6.00–14.43 4.89–15.54 | 15% 76% |
| Possession % | 37.53 30.74–44.32 29.07–45.99 | 63.11 56.33–69.90 54.65–71.57 | — | 93% |
| Passes | 353 286–420 268–439 | 552 486–619 468–636 | 905 772–1039 736–1075 | 95% |
| Pass accuracy % | 60.82 56.79–64.85 55.50–66.14 | 76.89 72.57–81.22 71.26–82.53 | — | 98% |
| Fouls | 9.68 6.84–12.51 6.08–13.27 | 10.98 8.03–13.92 7.29–14.67 | 20.65 14.87–26.44 13.37–27.94 | 35% 57% |
| Offsides | 2.25 1.09–3.41 0.79–3.71 | 1.63 0.53–2.72 0.24–3.01 | 3.87 1.62–6.13 1.03–6.72 | 52% 20% 28% |
| Yellow cards | 1.83 0.78–2.88 0.52–3.15 | 1.55 0.42–2.68 0.13–2.97 | 3.38 1.20–5.56 0.64–6.11 | 45% 22% 33% |
| Red cards | 0.10 0.00–0.26 0.00–0.41 | 0.08 0.00–0.26 0.00–0.40 | 0.18 0.00–0.53 0.00–0.81 | 84% |
| GK saves | 3.88 2.44–5.31 2.06–5.70 | 2.31 0.75–3.86 0.33–4.29 | 6.19 3.19–9.18 2.38–9.99 | 67% 14% 20% |
safe = prediction ± MAE · safer = ± RMSE of the serving model for that statistic. The bars show the model's own chance of each side recording more of that statistic — a Poisson approximation from the predicted rates, with the two teams treated as independent
Statistical estimates for information & entertainment only — not betting advice.