Liga I·Regular Season - 21·
Liga I·Regular Season - 21·Predicted match statistics
Goals
44%
23%
32%
homeawaytotalprediction1.711.433.14safe0.74–2.680.58–2.291.32–4.96safer0.49–2.930.35–2.520.84–5.44
Shots on target
52%
35%
homeawaytotalprediction5.074.419.49safe3.21–6.942.67–6.165.88–13.09safer2.72–7.432.21–6.624.93–14.05
Total shots
65%
29%
homeawaytotalprediction14.6212.1926.80safe10.69–18.548.62–15.7519.32–34.29safer9.60–19.637.66–16.7117.26–36.34
Shots in box
67%
25%
homeawaytotalprediction10.107.7417.84safe7.16–13.045.06–10.4212.21–23.46safer6.33–13.874.32–11.1610.65–25.03
Blocked shots
48%
15%
37%
homeawaytotalprediction3.913.517.42safe2.03–5.791.85–5.163.88–10.95safer1.49–6.341.36–5.652.85–11.99
Corners
63%
26%
homeawaytotalprediction5.624.119.74safe3.41–7.842.11–6.125.52–13.95safer2.84–8.411.58–6.654.42–15.06
Possession %
49%
46%
homeawayprediction50.3049.80safe43.51–57.0943.01–56.58safer41.84–58.7641.34–58.25
Passes
54%
46%
homeawaytotalprediction445432877safe378–512366–499744–1011safer360–530348–516708–1047
Pass accuracy %
40%
55%
homeawayprediction73.2074.74safe69.17–77.2370.42–79.07safer67.88–78.5269.11–80.37
Fouls
47%
45%
homeawaytotalprediction12.0912.0224.11safe9.26–14.939.07–14.9618.33–29.89safer8.50–15.698.32–15.7116.83–31.40
Offsides
55%
20%
25%
homeawaytotalprediction2.231.473.70safe1.07–3.390.38–2.571.45–5.95safer0.76–3.690.09–2.860.86–6.54
Yellow cards
33%
19%
47%
homeawaytotalprediction1.982.374.35safe0.93–3.031.24–3.502.17–6.53safer0.67–3.300.95–3.791.61–7.08
Red cards
80%
homeawaytotalprediction0.110.130.24safe0.00–0.270.00–0.320.00–0.59safer0.00–0.420.00–0.450.00–0.87
GK saves
37%
16%
48%
homeawaytotalprediction3.063.426.49safe1.62–4.501.87–4.983.49–9.48safer1.24–4.881.44–5.412.68–10.29
| Stat | Homepred / safe / safer | Awaypred / safe / safer | Totalpred / safe / safer | Who wins |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Goals | 1.71 0.74–2.68 0.49–2.93 | 1.43 0.58–2.29 0.35–2.52 | 3.14 1.32–4.96 0.84–5.44 | 44% 23% 32% |
| Shots on target | 5.07 3.21–6.94 2.72–7.43 | 4.41 2.67–6.16 2.21–6.62 | 9.49 5.88–13.09 4.93–14.05 | 52% 35% |
| Total shots | 14.62 10.69–18.54 9.60–19.63 | 12.19 8.62–15.75 7.66–16.71 | 26.80 19.32–34.29 17.26–36.34 | 65% 29% |
| Shots in box | 10.10 7.16–13.04 6.33–13.87 | 7.74 5.06–10.42 4.32–11.16 | 17.84 12.21–23.46 10.65–25.03 | 67% 25% |
| Blocked shots | 3.91 2.03–5.79 1.49–6.34 | 3.51 1.85–5.16 1.36–5.65 | 7.42 3.88–10.95 2.85–11.99 | 48% 15% 37% |
| Corners | 5.62 3.41–7.84 2.84–8.41 | 4.11 2.11–6.12 1.58–6.65 | 9.74 5.52–13.95 4.42–15.06 | 63% 26% |
| Possession % | 50.30 43.51–57.09 41.84–58.76 | 49.80 43.01–56.58 41.34–58.25 | — | 49% 46% |
| Passes | 445 378–512 360–530 | 432 366–499 348–516 | 877 744–1011 708–1047 | 54% 46% |
| Pass accuracy % | 73.20 69.17–77.23 67.88–78.52 | 74.74 70.42–79.07 69.11–80.37 | — | 40% 55% |
| Fouls | 12.09 9.26–14.93 8.50–15.69 | 12.02 9.07–14.96 8.32–15.71 | 24.11 18.33–29.89 16.83–31.40 | 47% 45% |
| Offsides | 2.23 1.07–3.39 0.76–3.69 | 1.47 0.38–2.57 0.09–2.86 | 3.70 1.45–5.95 0.86–6.54 | 55% 20% 25% |
| Yellow cards | 1.98 0.93–3.03 0.67–3.30 | 2.37 1.24–3.50 0.95–3.79 | 4.35 2.17–6.53 1.61–7.08 | 33% 19% 47% |
| Red cards | 0.11 0.00–0.27 0.00–0.42 | 0.13 0.00–0.32 0.00–0.45 | 0.24 0.00–0.59 0.00–0.87 | 80% |
| GK saves | 3.06 1.62–4.50 1.24–4.88 | 3.42 1.87–4.98 1.44–5.41 | 6.49 3.49–9.48 2.68–10.29 | 37% 16% 48% |
safe = prediction ± MAE · safer = ± RMSE of the serving model for that statistic. The bars show the model's own chance of each side recording more of that statistic — a Poisson approximation from the predicted rates, with the two teams treated as independent
Statistical estimates for information & entertainment only — not betting advice.