Liga I·Regular Season - 22·
Liga I·Regular Season - 22·Predicted match statistics
Goals
56%
24%
20%
homeawaytotalprediction1.710.932.65safe0.75–2.680.08–1.790.83–4.47safer0.50–2.930.00–2.020.35–4.95
Shots on target
69%
20%
homeawaytotalprediction5.333.348.67safe3.47–7.191.60–5.095.07–12.28safer2.98–7.681.13–5.554.11–13.23
Total shots
82%
13%
homeawaytotalprediction15.0710.0425.11safe11.15–19.006.48–13.6017.63–32.60safer10.06–20.095.52–14.5615.57–34.65
Shots in box
81%
homeawaytotalprediction10.076.0316.10safe7.13–13.013.35–8.7110.48–21.72safer6.30–13.842.61–9.458.91–23.29
Blocked shots
59%
15%
26%
homeawaytotalprediction3.792.696.48safe1.90–5.671.04–4.342.94–10.01safer1.36–6.210.55–4.841.91–11.05
Corners
73%
17%
homeawaytotalprediction5.913.499.40safe3.69–8.121.49–5.495.18–13.61safer3.12–8.690.96–6.024.08–14.72
Possession %
75%
22%
homeawayprediction56.0743.75safe49.28–62.8636.97–50.54safer47.61–64.5335.30–52.21
Passes
86%
14%
homeawaytotalprediction483352835safe416–550285–418701–969safer398–568268–436666–1004
Pass accuracy %
63%
33%
homeawayprediction70.0867.07safe66.05–74.1062.75–71.40safer64.75–75.4061.44–72.71
Fouls
38%
54%
homeawaytotalprediction12.1913.1725.37safe9.36–15.0310.23–16.1219.58–31.15safer8.60–15.799.48–16.8618.08–32.65
Offsides
40%
24%
36%
homeawaytotalprediction1.571.483.06safe0.41–2.730.39–2.570.80–5.31safer0.11–3.030.10–2.860.21–5.90
Yellow cards
26%
20%
54%
homeawaytotalprediction1.542.253.79safe0.49–2.591.12–3.381.62–5.97safer0.23–2.860.83–3.671.06–6.53
Red cards
84%
homeawaytotalprediction0.080.100.18safe0.00–0.240.00–0.290.00–0.52safer0.00–0.390.00–0.420.00–0.81
GK saves
21%
14%
65%
homeawaytotalprediction2.323.816.13safe0.88–3.752.26–5.373.14–9.12safer0.49–4.141.83–5.792.33–9.94
| Stat | Homepred / safe / safer | Awaypred / safe / safer | Totalpred / safe / safer | Who wins |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Goals | 1.71 0.75–2.68 0.50–2.93 | 0.93 0.08–1.79 0.00–2.02 | 2.65 0.83–4.47 0.35–4.95 | 56% 24% 20% |
| Shots on target | 5.33 3.47–7.19 2.98–7.68 | 3.34 1.60–5.09 1.13–5.55 | 8.67 5.07–12.28 4.11–13.23 | 69% 20% |
| Total shots | 15.07 11.15–19.00 10.06–20.09 | 10.04 6.48–13.60 5.52–14.56 | 25.11 17.63–32.60 15.57–34.65 | 82% 13% |
| Shots in box | 10.07 7.13–13.01 6.30–13.84 | 6.03 3.35–8.71 2.61–9.45 | 16.10 10.48–21.72 8.91–23.29 | 81% |
| Blocked shots | 3.79 1.90–5.67 1.36–6.21 | 2.69 1.04–4.34 0.55–4.84 | 6.48 2.94–10.01 1.91–11.05 | 59% 15% 26% |
| Corners | 5.91 3.69–8.12 3.12–8.69 | 3.49 1.49–5.49 0.96–6.02 | 9.40 5.18–13.61 4.08–14.72 | 73% 17% |
| Possession % | 56.07 49.28–62.86 47.61–64.53 | 43.75 36.97–50.54 35.30–52.21 | — | 75% 22% |
| Passes | 483 416–550 398–568 | 352 285–418 268–436 | 835 701–969 666–1004 | 86% 14% |
| Pass accuracy % | 70.08 66.05–74.10 64.75–75.40 | 67.07 62.75–71.40 61.44–72.71 | — | 63% 33% |
| Fouls | 12.19 9.36–15.03 8.60–15.79 | 13.17 10.23–16.12 9.48–16.86 | 25.37 19.58–31.15 18.08–32.65 | 38% 54% |
| Offsides | 1.57 0.41–2.73 0.11–3.03 | 1.48 0.39–2.57 0.10–2.86 | 3.06 0.80–5.31 0.21–5.90 | 40% 24% 36% |
| Yellow cards | 1.54 0.49–2.59 0.23–2.86 | 2.25 1.12–3.38 0.83–3.67 | 3.79 1.62–5.97 1.06–6.53 | 26% 20% 54% |
| Red cards | 0.08 0.00–0.24 0.00–0.39 | 0.10 0.00–0.29 0.00–0.42 | 0.18 0.00–0.52 0.00–0.81 | 84% |
| GK saves | 2.32 0.88–3.75 0.49–4.14 | 3.81 2.26–5.37 1.83–5.79 | 6.13 3.14–9.12 2.33–9.94 | 21% 14% 65% |
safe = prediction ± MAE · safer = ± RMSE of the serving model for that statistic. The bars show the model's own chance of each side recording more of that statistic — a Poisson approximation from the predicted rates, with the two teams treated as independent
Statistical estimates for information & entertainment only — not betting advice.