Liga I·Regular Season - 22·
Liga I·Regular Season - 22·Predicted match statistics
Goals
60%
21%
19%
homeawaytotalprediction2.051.083.13safe1.08–3.020.22–1.931.30–4.95safer0.83–3.270.00–2.160.82–5.43
Shots on target
76%
16%
homeawaytotalprediction6.633.8810.51safe4.76–8.492.14–5.636.91–14.12safer4.28–8.981.68–6.095.95–15.07
Total shots
86%
homeawaytotalprediction17.6711.3629.02safe13.74–21.597.79–14.9221.54–36.51safer12.65–22.686.83–15.8819.49–38.56
Shots in box
85%
homeawaytotalprediction11.456.5918.03safe8.51–14.393.90–9.2712.41–23.66safer7.68–15.223.17–10.0010.84–25.22
Blocked shots
68%
19%
homeawaytotalprediction4.442.677.10safe2.56–6.321.01–4.323.57–10.64safer2.01–6.860.52–4.812.53–11.68
Corners
72%
18%
homeawaytotalprediction6.444.0110.45safe4.22–8.652.01–6.016.24–14.66safer3.65–9.221.48–6.555.13–15.77
Possession %
82%
15%
homeawayprediction58.2141.78safe51.42–65.0035.00–48.57safer49.75–66.6733.33–50.24
Passes
91%
homeawaytotalprediction510349858safe442–577282–415725–992safer424–595265–433689–1028
Pass accuracy %
72%
24%
homeawayprediction73.7568.69safe69.72–77.7864.37–73.01safer68.43–79.0763.06–74.32
Fouls
23%
71%
homeawaytotalprediction11.4314.7426.17safe8.59–14.2711.79–17.6820.38–31.95safer7.84–15.0211.04–18.4318.88–33.45
Offsides
43%
21%
36%
homeawaytotalprediction2.001.853.85safe0.84–3.160.75–2.941.60–6.10safer0.54–3.470.46–3.231.01–6.69
Yellow cards
30%
19%
51%
homeawaytotalprediction1.962.554.52safe0.91–3.011.43–3.682.34–6.70safer0.65–3.281.13–3.971.78–7.25
Red cards
77%
15%
homeawaytotalprediction0.090.180.27safe0.00–0.260.00–0.360.00–0.62safer0.00–0.400.00–0.500.00–0.90
GK saves
21%
67%
homeawaytotalprediction2.744.407.15safe1.31–4.182.85–5.964.15–10.14safer0.92–4.572.42–6.383.34–10.95
| Stat | Homepred / safe / safer | Awaypred / safe / safer | Totalpred / safe / safer | Who wins |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Goals | 2.05 1.08–3.02 0.83–3.27 | 1.08 0.22–1.93 0.00–2.16 | 3.13 1.30–4.95 0.82–5.43 | 60% 21% 19% |
| Shots on target | 6.63 4.76–8.49 4.28–8.98 | 3.88 2.14–5.63 1.68–6.09 | 10.51 6.91–14.12 5.95–15.07 | 76% 16% |
| Total shots | 17.67 13.74–21.59 12.65–22.68 | 11.36 7.79–14.92 6.83–15.88 | 29.02 21.54–36.51 19.49–38.56 | 86% |
| Shots in box | 11.45 8.51–14.39 7.68–15.22 | 6.59 3.90–9.27 3.17–10.00 | 18.03 12.41–23.66 10.84–25.22 | 85% |
| Blocked shots | 4.44 2.56–6.32 2.01–6.86 | 2.67 1.01–4.32 0.52–4.81 | 7.10 3.57–10.64 2.53–11.68 | 68% 19% |
| Corners | 6.44 4.22–8.65 3.65–9.22 | 4.01 2.01–6.01 1.48–6.55 | 10.45 6.24–14.66 5.13–15.77 | 72% 18% |
| Possession % | 58.21 51.42–65.00 49.75–66.67 | 41.78 35.00–48.57 33.33–50.24 | — | 82% 15% |
| Passes | 510 442–577 424–595 | 349 282–415 265–433 | 858 725–992 689–1028 | 91% |
| Pass accuracy % | 73.75 69.72–77.78 68.43–79.07 | 68.69 64.37–73.01 63.06–74.32 | — | 72% 24% |
| Fouls | 11.43 8.59–14.27 7.84–15.02 | 14.74 11.79–17.68 11.04–18.43 | 26.17 20.38–31.95 18.88–33.45 | 23% 71% |
| Offsides | 2.00 0.84–3.16 0.54–3.47 | 1.85 0.75–2.94 0.46–3.23 | 3.85 1.60–6.10 1.01–6.69 | 43% 21% 36% |
| Yellow cards | 1.96 0.91–3.01 0.65–3.28 | 2.55 1.43–3.68 1.13–3.97 | 4.52 2.34–6.70 1.78–7.25 | 30% 19% 51% |
| Red cards | 0.09 0.00–0.26 0.00–0.40 | 0.18 0.00–0.36 0.00–0.50 | 0.27 0.00–0.62 0.00–0.90 | 77% 15% |
| GK saves | 2.74 1.31–4.18 0.92–4.57 | 4.40 2.85–5.96 2.42–6.38 | 7.15 4.15–10.14 3.34–10.95 | 21% 67% |
safe = prediction ± MAE · safer = ± RMSE of the serving model for that statistic. The bars show the model's own chance of each side recording more of that statistic — a Poisson approximation from the predicted rates, with the two teams treated as independent
Statistical estimates for information & entertainment only — not betting advice.18+