Liga I·Regular Season - 22·
Liga I·Regular Season - 22·Predicted match statistics
Goals
51%
24%
25%
homeawaytotalprediction1.681.102.78safe0.71–2.640.25–1.960.96–4.60safer0.46–2.900.02–2.180.48–5.08
Shots on target
62%
26%
homeawaytotalprediction5.343.909.24safe3.47–7.202.16–5.645.63–12.84safer2.98–7.691.69–6.114.68–13.80
Total shots
83%
homeawaytotalprediction15.9610.5726.53safe12.04–19.897.00–14.1319.04–34.01safer10.95–20.986.04–15.0916.99–36.07
Shots in box
80%
14%
homeawaytotalprediction10.266.4016.65safe7.31–13.203.72–9.0811.03–22.28safer6.48–14.032.98–9.829.46–23.84
Blocked shots
66%
13%
21%
homeawaytotalprediction4.142.576.71safe2.26–6.030.92–4.223.18–10.25safer1.72–6.570.43–4.722.14–11.28
Corners
73%
17%
homeawaytotalprediction5.853.519.36safe3.64–8.061.51–5.515.14–13.57safer3.06–8.640.97–6.044.04–14.68
Possession %
79%
17%
homeawayprediction57.5842.71safe50.79–64.3735.93–49.50safer49.12–66.0434.26–51.17
Passes
87%
homeawaytotalprediction534400934safe467–602333–466800–1068safer449–620316–484765–1103
Pass accuracy %
78%
19%
homeawayprediction77.7671.39safe73.73–81.7967.06–75.71safer72.44–83.0965.75–77.02
Fouls
33%
59%
homeawaytotalprediction11.2812.9124.19safe8.45–14.129.96–15.8518.41–29.97safer7.69–14.889.21–16.6016.90–31.48
Offsides
37%
24%
38%
homeawaytotalprediction1.481.492.97safe0.32–2.640.40–2.580.72–5.22safer0.02–2.940.11–2.870.13–5.81
Yellow cards
25%
19%
56%
homeawaytotalprediction1.672.524.19safe0.62–2.711.39–3.652.01–6.37safer0.35–2.981.10–3.941.45–6.92
Red cards
80%
13%
homeawaytotalprediction0.080.150.23safe0.00–0.240.00–0.340.00–0.58safer0.00–0.390.00–0.470.00–0.86
GK saves
31%
16%
53%
homeawaytotalprediction2.763.456.22safe1.33–4.201.90–5.013.22–9.21safer0.94–4.591.47–5.442.41–10.02
| Stat | Homepred / safe / safer | Awaypred / safe / safer | Totalpred / safe / safer | Who wins |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Goals | 1.68 0.71–2.64 0.46–2.90 | 1.10 0.25–1.96 0.02–2.18 | 2.78 0.96–4.60 0.48–5.08 | 51% 24% 25% |
| Shots on target | 5.34 3.47–7.20 2.98–7.69 | 3.90 2.16–5.64 1.69–6.11 | 9.24 5.63–12.84 4.68–13.80 | 62% 26% |
| Total shots | 15.96 12.04–19.89 10.95–20.98 | 10.57 7.00–14.13 6.04–15.09 | 26.53 19.04–34.01 16.99–36.07 | 83% |
| Shots in box | 10.26 7.31–13.20 6.48–14.03 | 6.40 3.72–9.08 2.98–9.82 | 16.65 11.03–22.28 9.46–23.84 | 80% 14% |
| Blocked shots | 4.14 2.26–6.03 1.72–6.57 | 2.57 0.92–4.22 0.43–4.72 | 6.71 3.18–10.25 2.14–11.28 | 66% 13% 21% |
| Corners | 5.85 3.64–8.06 3.06–8.64 | 3.51 1.51–5.51 0.97–6.04 | 9.36 5.14–13.57 4.04–14.68 | 73% 17% |
| Possession % | 57.58 50.79–64.37 49.12–66.04 | 42.71 35.93–49.50 34.26–51.17 | — | 79% 17% |
| Passes | 534 467–602 449–620 | 400 333–466 316–484 | 934 800–1068 765–1103 | 87% |
| Pass accuracy % | 77.76 73.73–81.79 72.44–83.09 | 71.39 67.06–75.71 65.75–77.02 | — | 78% 19% |
| Fouls | 11.28 8.45–14.12 7.69–14.88 | 12.91 9.96–15.85 9.21–16.60 | 24.19 18.41–29.97 16.90–31.48 | 33% 59% |
| Offsides | 1.48 0.32–2.64 0.02–2.94 | 1.49 0.40–2.58 0.11–2.87 | 2.97 0.72–5.22 0.13–5.81 | 37% 24% 38% |
| Yellow cards | 1.67 0.62–2.71 0.35–2.98 | 2.52 1.39–3.65 1.10–3.94 | 4.19 2.01–6.37 1.45–6.92 | 25% 19% 56% |
| Red cards | 0.08 0.00–0.24 0.00–0.39 | 0.15 0.00–0.34 0.00–0.47 | 0.23 0.00–0.58 0.00–0.86 | 80% 13% |
| GK saves | 2.76 1.33–4.20 0.94–4.59 | 3.45 1.90–5.01 1.47–5.44 | 6.22 3.22–9.21 2.41–10.02 | 31% 16% 53% |
safe = prediction ± MAE · safer = ± RMSE of the serving model for that statistic. The bars show the model's own chance of each side recording more of that statistic — a Poisson approximation from the predicted rates, with the two teams treated as independent
Statistical estimates for information & entertainment only — not betting advice.