Liga I·Regular Season - 22·
Liga I·Regular Season - 22·Predicted match statistics
Goals
52%
24%
24%
homeawaytotalprediction1.661.052.71safe0.70–2.630.19–1.900.89–4.53safer0.44–2.880.00–2.130.41–5.01
Shots on target
69%
21%
homeawaytotalprediction5.923.879.80safe4.06–7.792.13–5.626.19–13.40safer3.57–8.281.66–6.085.24–14.36
Total shots
82%
14%
homeawaytotalprediction17.6612.2529.92safe13.74–21.598.69–15.8222.43–37.40safer12.64–22.687.73–16.7820.38–39.45
Shots in box
78%
15%
homeawaytotalprediction11.037.2218.25safe8.09–13.974.54–9.9012.62–23.87safer7.26–14.803.80–10.6411.06–25.44
Blocked shots
62%
25%
homeawaytotalprediction4.683.338.01safe2.80–6.561.68–4.984.48–11.55safer2.26–7.111.19–5.483.44–12.58
Corners
71%
19%
homeawaytotalprediction6.474.1610.63safe4.25–8.682.16–6.166.42–14.84safer3.68–9.261.63–6.695.31–15.95
Possession %
80%
17%
homeawayprediction57.6942.35safe50.90–64.4835.56–49.13safer49.23–66.1533.89–50.80
Passes
89%
homeawaytotalprediction503355857safe435–570288–421724–991safer417–588271–439688–1027
Pass accuracy %
74%
22%
homeawayprediction72.9767.56safe68.94–77.0063.23–71.88safer67.65–78.2961.92–73.19
Fouls
41%
51%
homeawaytotalprediction11.9612.6424.61safe9.13–14.809.70–15.5918.82–30.39safer8.37–15.568.95–16.3417.32–31.89
Offsides
45%
24%
31%
homeawaytotalprediction1.621.302.92safe0.46–2.780.21–2.400.67–5.17safer0.16–3.080.00–2.680.08–5.76
Yellow cards
31%
20%
49%
homeawaytotalprediction1.742.213.95safe0.69–2.791.08–3.331.77–6.13safer0.43–3.060.79–3.631.21–6.68
Red cards
83%
homeawaytotalprediction0.080.120.19safe0.00–0.240.00–0.300.00–0.54safer0.00–0.390.00–0.440.00–0.82
GK saves
22%
14%
65%
homeawaytotalprediction2.594.076.66safe1.15–4.032.51–5.623.66–9.65safer0.77–4.412.09–6.052.85–10.46
| Stat | Homepred / safe / safer | Awaypred / safe / safer | Totalpred / safe / safer | Who wins |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Goals | 1.66 0.70–2.63 0.44–2.88 | 1.05 0.19–1.90 0.00–2.13 | 2.71 0.89–4.53 0.41–5.01 | 52% 24% 24% |
| Shots on target | 5.92 4.06–7.79 3.57–8.28 | 3.87 2.13–5.62 1.66–6.08 | 9.80 6.19–13.40 5.24–14.36 | 69% 21% |
| Total shots | 17.66 13.74–21.59 12.64–22.68 | 12.25 8.69–15.82 7.73–16.78 | 29.92 22.43–37.40 20.38–39.45 | 82% 14% |
| Shots in box | 11.03 8.09–13.97 7.26–14.80 | 7.22 4.54–9.90 3.80–10.64 | 18.25 12.62–23.87 11.06–25.44 | 78% 15% |
| Blocked shots | 4.68 2.80–6.56 2.26–7.11 | 3.33 1.68–4.98 1.19–5.48 | 8.01 4.48–11.55 3.44–12.58 | 62% 25% |
| Corners | 6.47 4.25–8.68 3.68–9.26 | 4.16 2.16–6.16 1.63–6.69 | 10.63 6.42–14.84 5.31–15.95 | 71% 19% |
| Possession % | 57.69 50.90–64.48 49.23–66.15 | 42.35 35.56–49.13 33.89–50.80 | — | 80% 17% |
| Passes | 503 435–570 417–588 | 355 288–421 271–439 | 857 724–991 688–1027 | 89% |
| Pass accuracy % | 72.97 68.94–77.00 67.65–78.29 | 67.56 63.23–71.88 61.92–73.19 | — | 74% 22% |
| Fouls | 11.96 9.13–14.80 8.37–15.56 | 12.64 9.70–15.59 8.95–16.34 | 24.61 18.82–30.39 17.32–31.89 | 41% 51% |
| Offsides | 1.62 0.46–2.78 0.16–3.08 | 1.30 0.21–2.40 0.00–2.68 | 2.92 0.67–5.17 0.08–5.76 | 45% 24% 31% |
| Yellow cards | 1.74 0.69–2.79 0.43–3.06 | 2.21 1.08–3.33 0.79–3.63 | 3.95 1.77–6.13 1.21–6.68 | 31% 20% 49% |
| Red cards | 0.08 0.00–0.24 0.00–0.39 | 0.12 0.00–0.30 0.00–0.44 | 0.19 0.00–0.54 0.00–0.82 | 83% |
| GK saves | 2.59 1.15–4.03 0.77–4.41 | 4.07 2.51–5.62 2.09–6.05 | 6.66 3.66–9.65 2.85–10.46 | 22% 14% 65% |
safe = prediction ± MAE · safer = ± RMSE of the serving model for that statistic. The bars show the model's own chance of each side recording more of that statistic — a Poisson approximation from the predicted rates, with the two teams treated as independent
Statistical estimates for information & entertainment only — not betting advice.18+