Liga I·Regular Season - 22·
Liga I·Regular Season - 22·Predicted match statistics
Goals
19%
20%
61%
homeawaytotalprediction1.122.143.26safe0.15–2.081.29–2.991.43–5.08safer0.00–2.341.06–3.220.95–5.56
Shots on target
21%
69%
homeawaytotalprediction3.895.939.82safe2.03–5.754.19–7.686.22–13.43safer1.54–6.243.73–8.145.26–14.38
Total shots
19%
75%
homeawaytotalprediction12.1116.1928.30safe8.18–16.0312.63–19.7620.81–35.79safer7.09–17.1211.67–20.7218.76–37.84
Shots in box
17%
77%
homeawaytotalprediction7.0810.6317.71safe4.14–10.027.95–13.3112.09–23.33safer3.31–10.857.22–14.0510.52–24.90
Blocked shots
24%
64%
homeawaytotalprediction3.144.627.75safe1.26–5.022.96–6.274.22–11.29safer0.71–5.562.47–6.763.18–12.32
Corners
31%
57%
homeawaytotalprediction4.525.6010.12safe2.31–6.743.60–7.605.91–14.34safer1.74–7.313.07–8.134.80–15.45
Possession %
14%
83%
homeawayprediction41.8158.98safe35.02–48.6052.20–65.77safer33.35–50.2750.52–67.44
Passes
87%
homeawaytotalprediction359497856safe292–426430–563722–990safer274–444413–581687–1025
Pass accuracy %
94%
homeawayprediction63.5976.39safe59.57–67.6272.06–80.71safer58.27–68.9270.75–82.02
Fouls
39%
53%
homeawaytotalprediction11.2712.1123.38safe8.44–14.119.17–15.0617.60–29.17safer7.68–14.878.42–15.8016.10–30.67
Offsides
39%
23%
38%
homeawaytotalprediction1.651.643.29safe0.49–2.810.55–2.731.04–5.55safer0.19–3.110.26–3.020.45–6.13
Yellow cards
38%
21%
42%
homeawaytotalprediction1.942.043.98safe0.89–2.990.91–3.171.80–6.16safer0.62–3.260.62–3.461.24–6.72
Red cards
82%
homeawaytotalprediction0.110.110.22safe0.00–0.270.00–0.290.00–0.56safer0.00–0.420.00–0.430.00–0.85
GK saves
58%
15%
27%
homeawaytotalprediction3.872.826.70safe2.44–5.311.26–4.383.70–9.69safer2.05–5.700.84–4.802.89–10.50
| Stat | Homepred / safe / safer | Awaypred / safe / safer | Totalpred / safe / safer | Who wins |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Goals | 1.12 0.15–2.08 0.00–2.34 | 2.14 1.29–2.99 1.06–3.22 | 3.26 1.43–5.08 0.95–5.56 | 19% 20% 61% |
| Shots on target | 3.89 2.03–5.75 1.54–6.24 | 5.93 4.19–7.68 3.73–8.14 | 9.82 6.22–13.43 5.26–14.38 | 21% 69% |
| Total shots | 12.11 8.18–16.03 7.09–17.12 | 16.19 12.63–19.76 11.67–20.72 | 28.30 20.81–35.79 18.76–37.84 | 19% 75% |
| Shots in box | 7.08 4.14–10.02 3.31–10.85 | 10.63 7.95–13.31 7.22–14.05 | 17.71 12.09–23.33 10.52–24.90 | 17% 77% |
| Blocked shots | 3.14 1.26–5.02 0.71–5.56 | 4.62 2.96–6.27 2.47–6.76 | 7.75 4.22–11.29 3.18–12.32 | 24% 64% |
| Corners | 4.52 2.31–6.74 1.74–7.31 | 5.60 3.60–7.60 3.07–8.13 | 10.12 5.91–14.34 4.80–15.45 | 31% 57% |
| Possession % | 41.81 35.02–48.60 33.35–50.27 | 58.98 52.20–65.77 50.52–67.44 | — | 14% 83% |
| Passes | 359 292–426 274–444 | 497 430–563 413–581 | 856 722–990 687–1025 | 87% |
| Pass accuracy % | 63.59 59.57–67.62 58.27–68.92 | 76.39 72.06–80.71 70.75–82.02 | — | 94% |
| Fouls | 11.27 8.44–14.11 7.68–14.87 | 12.11 9.17–15.06 8.42–15.80 | 23.38 17.60–29.17 16.10–30.67 | 39% 53% |
| Offsides | 1.65 0.49–2.81 0.19–3.11 | 1.64 0.55–2.73 0.26–3.02 | 3.29 1.04–5.55 0.45–6.13 | 39% 23% 38% |
| Yellow cards | 1.94 0.89–2.99 0.62–3.26 | 2.04 0.91–3.17 0.62–3.46 | 3.98 1.80–6.16 1.24–6.72 | 38% 21% 42% |
| Red cards | 0.11 0.00–0.27 0.00–0.42 | 0.11 0.00–0.29 0.00–0.43 | 0.22 0.00–0.56 0.00–0.85 | 82% |
| GK saves | 3.87 2.44–5.31 2.05–5.70 | 2.82 1.26–4.38 0.84–4.80 | 6.70 3.70–9.69 2.89–10.50 | 58% 15% 27% |
safe = prediction ± MAE · safer = ± RMSE of the serving model for that statistic. The bars show the model's own chance of each side recording more of that statistic — a Poisson approximation from the predicted rates, with the two teams treated as independent
Statistical estimates for information & entertainment only — not betting advice.18+