Liga I·Regular Season - 22·
Liga I·Regular Season - 22·Predicted match statistics
Goals
41%
28%
31%
homeawaytotalprediction1.231.042.27safe0.26–2.200.18–1.890.45–4.09safer0.01–2.450.00–2.120.00–4.57
Shots on target
50%
14%
36%
homeawaytotalprediction4.393.888.27safe2.53–6.262.14–5.624.67–11.88safer2.04–6.751.67–6.093.71–12.83
Total shots
51%
41%
homeawaytotalprediction13.0112.4025.41safe9.08–16.938.84–15.9617.92–32.89safer7.99–18.027.88–16.9215.87–34.94
Shots in box
46%
44%
homeawaytotalprediction7.867.7315.58safe4.91–10.805.04–10.419.96–21.21safer4.09–11.634.31–11.148.39–22.77
Blocked shots
49%
16%
35%
homeawaytotalprediction3.372.926.29safe1.49–5.251.27–4.572.75–9.83safer0.94–5.790.78–5.071.72–10.86
Corners
48%
13%
39%
homeawaytotalprediction4.924.569.49safe2.71–7.142.56–6.565.28–13.70safer2.14–7.712.03–7.104.17–14.81
Possession %
82%
15%
homeawayprediction57.8241.38safe51.03–64.6134.60–48.17safer49.36–66.2832.93–49.84
Passes
95%
homeawaytotalprediction517322839safe450–584255–388705–973safer432–603238–406670–1008
Pass accuracy %
65%
30%
homeawayprediction70.2566.66safe66.22–74.2762.34–70.99safer64.92–75.5761.03–72.30
Fouls
24%
69%
homeawaytotalprediction11.5914.7026.29safe8.75–14.4311.76–17.6520.51–32.08safer8.00–15.1911.01–18.4019.01–33.58
Offsides
39%
25%
36%
homeawaytotalprediction1.471.402.87safe0.31–2.630.30–2.490.61–5.12safer0.01–2.930.01–2.780.02–5.71
Yellow cards
29%
20%
51%
homeawaytotalprediction1.742.334.07safe0.69–2.791.20–3.461.89–6.25safer0.42–3.060.91–3.751.33–6.81
Red cards
83%
homeawaytotalprediction0.060.140.20safe0.00–0.220.00–0.320.00–0.55safer0.00–0.370.00–0.460.00–0.83
GK saves
34%
17%
49%
homeawaytotalprediction2.613.065.67safe1.17–4.041.51–4.622.68–8.66safer0.78–4.431.08–5.041.87–9.47
| Stat | Homepred / safe / safer | Awaypred / safe / safer | Totalpred / safe / safer | Who wins |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Goals | 1.23 0.26–2.20 0.01–2.45 | 1.04 0.18–1.89 0.00–2.12 | 2.27 0.45–4.09 0.00–4.57 | 41% 28% 31% |
| Shots on target | 4.39 2.53–6.26 2.04–6.75 | 3.88 2.14–5.62 1.67–6.09 | 8.27 4.67–11.88 3.71–12.83 | 50% 14% 36% |
| Total shots | 13.01 9.08–16.93 7.99–18.02 | 12.40 8.84–15.96 7.88–16.92 | 25.41 17.92–32.89 15.87–34.94 | 51% 41% |
| Shots in box | 7.86 4.91–10.80 4.09–11.63 | 7.73 5.04–10.41 4.31–11.14 | 15.58 9.96–21.21 8.39–22.77 | 46% 44% |
| Blocked shots | 3.37 1.49–5.25 0.94–5.79 | 2.92 1.27–4.57 0.78–5.07 | 6.29 2.75–9.83 1.72–10.86 | 49% 16% 35% |
| Corners | 4.92 2.71–7.14 2.14–7.71 | 4.56 2.56–6.56 2.03–7.10 | 9.49 5.28–13.70 4.17–14.81 | 48% 13% 39% |
| Possession % | 57.82 51.03–64.61 49.36–66.28 | 41.38 34.60–48.17 32.93–49.84 | — | 82% 15% |
| Passes | 517 450–584 432–603 | 322 255–388 238–406 | 839 705–973 670–1008 | 95% |
| Pass accuracy % | 70.25 66.22–74.27 64.92–75.57 | 66.66 62.34–70.99 61.03–72.30 | — | 65% 30% |
| Fouls | 11.59 8.75–14.43 8.00–15.19 | 14.70 11.76–17.65 11.01–18.40 | 26.29 20.51–32.08 19.01–33.58 | 24% 69% |
| Offsides | 1.47 0.31–2.63 0.01–2.93 | 1.40 0.30–2.49 0.01–2.78 | 2.87 0.61–5.12 0.02–5.71 | 39% 25% 36% |
| Yellow cards | 1.74 0.69–2.79 0.42–3.06 | 2.33 1.20–3.46 0.91–3.75 | 4.07 1.89–6.25 1.33–6.81 | 29% 20% 51% |
| Red cards | 0.06 0.00–0.22 0.00–0.37 | 0.14 0.00–0.32 0.00–0.46 | 0.20 0.00–0.55 0.00–0.83 | 83% |
| GK saves | 2.61 1.17–4.04 0.78–4.43 | 3.06 1.51–4.62 1.08–5.04 | 5.67 2.68–8.66 1.87–9.47 | 34% 17% 49% |
safe = prediction ± MAE · safer = ± RMSE of the serving model for that statistic. The bars show the model's own chance of each side recording more of that statistic — a Poisson approximation from the predicted rates, with the two teams treated as independent
Statistical estimates for information & entertainment only — not betting advice.