Liga I·Regular Season - 22·
Liga I·Regular Season - 22·Predicted match statistics
Goals
70%
18%
homeawaytotalprediction2.300.863.15safe1.33–3.260.00–1.711.33–4.98safer1.08–3.510.00–1.940.85–5.46
Shots on target
82%
homeawaytotalprediction6.543.189.72safe4.68–8.401.44–4.926.12–13.33safer4.19–8.890.97–5.395.16–14.28
Total shots
95%
homeawaytotalprediction18.719.7528.45safe14.78–22.636.18–13.3120.96–35.94safer13.69–23.725.22–14.2718.91–37.99
Shots in box
95%
homeawaytotalprediction13.195.6518.83safe10.24–16.132.97–8.3313.21–24.46safer9.41–16.962.23–9.0711.64–26.02
Blocked shots
72%
17%
homeawaytotalprediction4.992.827.81safe3.11–6.871.17–4.484.28–11.35safer2.56–7.410.68–4.973.24–12.38
Corners
78%
13%
homeawaytotalprediction6.493.5310.02safe4.27–8.701.53–5.535.81–14.23safer3.70–9.271.00–6.074.70–15.34
Possession %
74%
22%
homeawayprediction55.4543.52safe48.66–62.2436.73–50.30safer46.99–63.9135.06–51.97
Passes
80%
20%
homeawaytotalprediction504403907safe437–571336–469773–1041safer419–590319–487738–1076
Pass accuracy %
61%
34%
homeawayprediction73.9371.33safe69.90–77.9667.01–75.65safer68.61–79.2565.70–76.96
Fouls
39%
52%
homeawaytotalprediction10.2010.9521.15safe7.37–13.048.01–13.9015.37–26.94safer6.61–13.807.26–14.6413.87–28.44
Offsides
31%
22%
47%
homeawaytotalprediction1.481.863.34safe0.32–2.640.77–2.951.09–5.60safer0.02–2.950.48–3.240.50–6.19
Yellow cards
27%
21%
51%
homeawaytotalprediction1.482.083.56safe0.43–2.530.95–3.211.39–5.74safer0.17–2.800.66–3.500.83–6.30
Red cards
87%
homeawaytotalprediction0.060.090.14safe0.00–0.220.00–0.270.00–0.49safer0.00–0.370.00–0.400.00–0.77
GK saves
17%
70%
homeawaytotalprediction2.203.996.19safe0.76–3.632.44–5.553.20–9.18safer0.37–4.022.01–5.972.39–9.99
| Stat | Homepred / safe / safer | Awaypred / safe / safer | Totalpred / safe / safer | Who wins |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Goals | 2.30 1.33–3.26 1.08–3.51 | 0.86 0.00–1.71 0.00–1.94 | 3.15 1.33–4.98 0.85–5.46 | 70% 18% |
| Shots on target | 6.54 4.68–8.40 4.19–8.89 | 3.18 1.44–4.92 0.97–5.39 | 9.72 6.12–13.33 5.16–14.28 | 82% |
| Total shots | 18.71 14.78–22.63 13.69–23.72 | 9.75 6.18–13.31 5.22–14.27 | 28.45 20.96–35.94 18.91–37.99 | 95% |
| Shots in box | 13.19 10.24–16.13 9.41–16.96 | 5.65 2.97–8.33 2.23–9.07 | 18.83 13.21–24.46 11.64–26.02 | 95% |
| Blocked shots | 4.99 3.11–6.87 2.56–7.41 | 2.82 1.17–4.48 0.68–4.97 | 7.81 4.28–11.35 3.24–12.38 | 72% 17% |
| Corners | 6.49 4.27–8.70 3.70–9.27 | 3.53 1.53–5.53 1.00–6.07 | 10.02 5.81–14.23 4.70–15.34 | 78% 13% |
| Possession % | 55.45 48.66–62.24 46.99–63.91 | 43.52 36.73–50.30 35.06–51.97 | — | 74% 22% |
| Passes | 504 437–571 419–590 | 403 336–469 319–487 | 907 773–1041 738–1076 | 80% 20% |
| Pass accuracy % | 73.93 69.90–77.96 68.61–79.25 | 71.33 67.01–75.65 65.70–76.96 | — | 61% 34% |
| Fouls | 10.20 7.37–13.04 6.61–13.80 | 10.95 8.01–13.90 7.26–14.64 | 21.15 15.37–26.94 13.87–28.44 | 39% 52% |
| Offsides | 1.48 0.32–2.64 0.02–2.95 | 1.86 0.77–2.95 0.48–3.24 | 3.34 1.09–5.60 0.50–6.19 | 31% 22% 47% |
| Yellow cards | 1.48 0.43–2.53 0.17–2.80 | 2.08 0.95–3.21 0.66–3.50 | 3.56 1.39–5.74 0.83–6.30 | 27% 21% 51% |
| Red cards | 0.06 0.00–0.22 0.00–0.37 | 0.09 0.00–0.27 0.00–0.40 | 0.14 0.00–0.49 0.00–0.77 | 87% |
| GK saves | 2.20 0.76–3.63 0.37–4.02 | 3.99 2.44–5.55 2.01–5.97 | 6.19 3.20–9.18 2.39–9.99 | 17% 70% |
safe = prediction ± MAE · safer = ± RMSE of the serving model for that statistic. The bars show the model's own chance of each side recording more of that statistic — a Poisson approximation from the predicted rates, with the two teams treated as independent
Statistical estimates for information & entertainment only — not betting advice.