Predicted match statistics
Goals
47%
24%
29%
homeawaytotalprediction1.651.262.91safe0.69–2.620.41–2.121.09–4.74safer0.43–2.870.18–2.340.61–5.22
Shots on target
57%
31%
homeawaytotalprediction5.374.329.69safe3.51–7.242.57–6.066.09–13.30safer3.02–7.732.11–6.535.13–14.25
Total shots
69%
25%
homeawaytotalprediction15.6112.5228.13safe11.69–19.548.95–16.0820.64–35.62safer10.60–20.637.99–17.0418.59–37.67
Shots in box
68%
24%
homeawaytotalprediction10.558.0618.60safe7.60–13.495.38–10.7412.98–24.23safer6.77–14.324.64–11.4811.41–25.79
Blocked shots
57%
14%
29%
homeawaytotalprediction4.053.087.13safe2.17–5.931.43–4.743.60–10.67safer1.62–6.470.94–5.232.56–11.70
Corners
64%
25%
homeawaytotalprediction6.164.4910.65safe3.95–8.372.49–6.496.44–14.86safer3.37–8.951.96–7.025.33–15.97
Possession %
53%
43%
homeawayprediction51.4449.29safe44.65–58.2342.51–56.08safer42.98–59.9040.83–57.75
Passes
57%
42%
homeawaytotalprediction408385792safe340–475318–451659–926safer322–493301–469623–962
Pass accuracy %
41%
54%
homeawayprediction68.8770.19safe64.84–72.9065.87–74.51safer63.55–74.1964.56–75.82
Fouls
44%
48%
homeawaytotalprediction12.9513.2526.19safe10.11–15.7810.30–16.1920.41–31.98safer9.35–16.549.56–16.9418.91–33.48
Offsides
43%
22%
35%
homeawaytotalprediction1.851.663.51safe0.69–3.010.57–2.751.25–5.76safer0.39–3.310.28–3.040.66–6.35
Yellow cards
33%
21%
45%
homeawaytotalprediction1.712.023.73safe0.66–2.760.89–3.141.55–5.90safer0.40–3.030.60–3.440.99–6.46
Red cards
82%
homeawaytotalprediction0.060.140.20safe0.00–0.230.00–0.320.00–0.55safer0.00–0.370.00–0.460.00–0.83
GK saves
34%
16%
50%
homeawaytotalprediction2.973.496.46safe1.53–4.401.94–5.053.47–9.45safer1.14–4.791.51–5.482.66–10.27
| Stat | Homepred / safe / safer | Awaypred / safe / safer | Totalpred / safe / safer | Who wins |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Goals | 1.65 0.69–2.62 0.43–2.87 | 1.26 0.41–2.12 0.18–2.34 | 2.91 1.09–4.74 0.61–5.22 | 47% 24% 29% |
| Shots on target | 5.37 3.51–7.24 3.02–7.73 | 4.32 2.57–6.06 2.11–6.53 | 9.69 6.09–13.30 5.13–14.25 | 57% 31% |
| Total shots | 15.61 11.69–19.54 10.60–20.63 | 12.52 8.95–16.08 7.99–17.04 | 28.13 20.64–35.62 18.59–37.67 | 69% 25% |
| Shots in box | 10.55 7.60–13.49 6.77–14.32 | 8.06 5.38–10.74 4.64–11.48 | 18.60 12.98–24.23 11.41–25.79 | 68% 24% |
| Blocked shots | 4.05 2.17–5.93 1.62–6.47 | 3.08 1.43–4.74 0.94–5.23 | 7.13 3.60–10.67 2.56–11.70 | 57% 14% 29% |
| Corners | 6.16 3.95–8.37 3.37–8.95 | 4.49 2.49–6.49 1.96–7.02 | 10.65 6.44–14.86 5.33–15.97 | 64% 25% |
| Possession % | 51.44 44.65–58.23 42.98–59.90 | 49.29 42.51–56.08 40.83–57.75 | — | 53% 43% |
| Passes | 408 340–475 322–493 | 385 318–451 301–469 | 792 659–926 623–962 | 57% 42% |
| Pass accuracy % | 68.87 64.84–72.90 63.55–74.19 | 70.19 65.87–74.51 64.56–75.82 | — | 41% 54% |
| Fouls | 12.95 10.11–15.78 9.35–16.54 | 13.25 10.30–16.19 9.56–16.94 | 26.19 20.41–31.98 18.91–33.48 | 44% 48% |
| Offsides | 1.85 0.69–3.01 0.39–3.31 | 1.66 0.57–2.75 0.28–3.04 | 3.51 1.25–5.76 0.66–6.35 | 43% 22% 35% |
| Yellow cards | 1.71 0.66–2.76 0.40–3.03 | 2.02 0.89–3.14 0.60–3.44 | 3.73 1.55–5.90 0.99–6.46 | 33% 21% 45% |
| Red cards | 0.06 0.00–0.23 0.00–0.37 | 0.14 0.00–0.32 0.00–0.46 | 0.20 0.00–0.55 0.00–0.83 | 82% |
| GK saves | 2.97 1.53–4.40 1.14–4.79 | 3.49 1.94–5.05 1.51–5.48 | 6.46 3.47–9.45 2.66–10.27 | 34% 16% 50% |
safe = prediction ± MAE · safer = ± RMSE of the serving model for that statistic. The bars show the model's own chance of each side recording more of that statistic — a Poisson approximation from the predicted rates, with the two teams treated as independent
Statistical estimates for information & entertainment only — not betting advice.