Liga I·Regular Season - 23·
Liga I·Regular Season - 23·Predicted match statistics
Goals
42%
27%
31%
homeawaytotalprediction1.351.132.48safe0.39–2.320.27–1.980.66–4.30safer0.13–2.570.05–2.210.18–4.78
Shots on target
56%
31%
homeawaytotalprediction5.104.119.21safe3.24–6.962.37–5.855.60–12.81safer2.75–7.451.90–6.324.65–13.77
Total shots
72%
22%
homeawaytotalprediction16.2412.6328.87safe12.31–20.169.07–16.2021.39–36.36safer11.22–21.258.11–17.1619.33–38.41
Shots in box
71%
22%
homeawaytotalprediction10.237.4517.67safe7.28–13.174.77–10.1312.05–23.30safer6.45–14.004.03–10.8710.48–24.86
Blocked shots
63%
13%
24%
homeawaytotalprediction4.423.037.45safe2.53–6.301.38–4.683.91–10.98safer1.99–6.840.88–5.172.87–12.02
Corners
60%
28%
homeawaytotalprediction5.874.5310.40safe3.66–8.092.53–6.536.19–14.62safer3.09–8.661.99–7.065.08–15.72
Possession %
55%
40%
homeawayprediction51.7048.53safe44.91–58.4941.75–55.32safer43.24–60.1640.08–56.99
Passes
59%
41%
homeawaytotalprediction407379786safe340–474312–445652–919safer322–492295–463616–955
Pass accuracy %
32%
64%
homeawayprediction65.3868.61safe61.35–69.4164.29–72.94safer60.06–70.7062.98–74.24
Fouls
61%
32%
homeawaytotalprediction13.5811.7225.30safe10.74–16.428.77–14.6619.52–31.08safer9.99–17.178.02–15.4118.01–32.58
Offsides
36%
22%
43%
homeawaytotalprediction1.741.903.64safe0.57–2.900.81–3.001.39–5.89safer0.27–3.200.52–3.290.80–6.48
Yellow cards
43%
20%
38%
homeawaytotalprediction2.272.134.40safe1.22–3.321.00–3.262.22–6.58safer0.95–3.580.71–3.551.67–7.14
Red cards
81%
homeawaytotalprediction0.100.120.22safe0.00–0.260.00–0.310.00–0.57safer0.00–0.410.00–0.440.00–0.85
GK saves
32%
16%
52%
homeawaytotalprediction2.843.466.30safe1.40–4.271.90–5.023.31–9.29safer1.01–4.661.48–5.442.49–10.10
| Stat | Homepred / safe / safer | Awaypred / safe / safer | Totalpred / safe / safer | Who wins |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Goals | 1.35 0.39–2.32 0.13–2.57 | 1.13 0.27–1.98 0.05–2.21 | 2.48 0.66–4.30 0.18–4.78 | 42% 27% 31% |
| Shots on target | 5.10 3.24–6.96 2.75–7.45 | 4.11 2.37–5.85 1.90–6.32 | 9.21 5.60–12.81 4.65–13.77 | 56% 31% |
| Total shots | 16.24 12.31–20.16 11.22–21.25 | 12.63 9.07–16.20 8.11–17.16 | 28.87 21.39–36.36 19.33–38.41 | 72% 22% |
| Shots in box | 10.23 7.28–13.17 6.45–14.00 | 7.45 4.77–10.13 4.03–10.87 | 17.67 12.05–23.30 10.48–24.86 | 71% 22% |
| Blocked shots | 4.42 2.53–6.30 1.99–6.84 | 3.03 1.38–4.68 0.88–5.17 | 7.45 3.91–10.98 2.87–12.02 | 63% 13% 24% |
| Corners | 5.87 3.66–8.09 3.09–8.66 | 4.53 2.53–6.53 1.99–7.06 | 10.40 6.19–14.62 5.08–15.72 | 60% 28% |
| Possession % | 51.70 44.91–58.49 43.24–60.16 | 48.53 41.75–55.32 40.08–56.99 | — | 55% 40% |
| Passes | 407 340–474 322–492 | 379 312–445 295–463 | 786 652–919 616–955 | 59% 41% |
| Pass accuracy % | 65.38 61.35–69.41 60.06–70.70 | 68.61 64.29–72.94 62.98–74.24 | — | 32% 64% |
| Fouls | 13.58 10.74–16.42 9.99–17.17 | 11.72 8.77–14.66 8.02–15.41 | 25.30 19.52–31.08 18.01–32.58 | 61% 32% |
| Offsides | 1.74 0.57–2.90 0.27–3.20 | 1.90 0.81–3.00 0.52–3.29 | 3.64 1.39–5.89 0.80–6.48 | 36% 22% 43% |
| Yellow cards | 2.27 1.22–3.32 0.95–3.58 | 2.13 1.00–3.26 0.71–3.55 | 4.40 2.22–6.58 1.67–7.14 | 43% 20% 38% |
| Red cards | 0.10 0.00–0.26 0.00–0.41 | 0.12 0.00–0.31 0.00–0.44 | 0.22 0.00–0.57 0.00–0.85 | 81% |
| GK saves | 2.84 1.40–4.27 1.01–4.66 | 3.46 1.90–5.02 1.48–5.44 | 6.30 3.31–9.29 2.49–10.10 | 32% 16% 52% |
safe = prediction ± MAE · safer = ± RMSE of the serving model for that statistic. The bars show the model's own chance of each side recording more of that statistic — a Poisson approximation from the predicted rates, with the two teams treated as independent
Statistical estimates for information & entertainment only — not betting advice.