Liga I·Regular Season - 23·
Liga I·Regular Season - 23·Predicted match statistics
Goals
24%
24%
52%
homeawaytotalprediction1.071.712.78safe0.10–2.040.86–2.570.96–4.60safer0.00–2.290.63–2.790.48–5.08
Shots on target
25%
63%
homeawaytotalprediction3.795.339.12safe1.92–5.653.59–7.075.51–12.72safer1.43–6.143.12–7.544.56–13.68
Total shots
19%
76%
homeawaytotalprediction11.1815.2426.42safe7.25–15.1011.68–18.8018.93–33.90safer6.16–16.1910.72–19.7616.88–35.95
Shots in box
20%
72%
homeawaytotalprediction6.709.5716.27safe3.76–9.646.89–12.2510.64–21.89safer2.93–10.476.15–12.999.08–23.46
Blocked shots
29%
14%
57%
homeawaytotalprediction3.054.027.07safe1.16–4.932.37–5.683.53–10.60safer0.62–5.471.88–6.172.50–11.64
Corners
24%
64%
homeawaytotalprediction3.935.549.48safe1.72–6.153.54–7.545.26–13.69safer1.15–6.723.01–8.084.16–14.80
Possession %
29%
67%
homeawayprediction46.2554.52safe39.46–53.0447.73–61.30safer37.79–54.7146.06–62.97
Passes
26%
73%
homeawaytotalprediction355431786safe288–422364–497652–920safer270–441347–515616–955
Pass accuracy %
14%
83%
homeawayprediction64.7872.77safe60.75–68.8168.44–77.09safer59.46–70.1067.13–78.40
Fouls
52%
41%
homeawaytotalprediction14.6513.8828.52safe11.81–17.4910.93–16.8222.74–34.31safer11.05–18.2410.18–17.5721.24–35.81
Offsides
37%
22%
41%
homeawaytotalprediction1.731.833.56safe0.57–2.890.74–2.931.31–5.82safer0.27–3.190.45–3.210.72–6.41
Yellow cards
43%
22%
35%
homeawaytotalprediction1.901.723.61safe0.85–2.950.59–2.841.44–5.79safer0.58–3.210.29–3.140.88–6.35
Red cards
82%
homeawaytotalprediction0.110.090.21safe0.00–0.280.00–0.280.00–0.55safer0.00–0.430.00–0.410.00–0.84
GK saves
59%
15%
26%
homeawaytotalprediction3.762.666.42safe2.33–5.201.11–4.223.43–9.42safer1.94–5.590.68–4.642.62–10.23
| Stat | Homepred / safe / safer | Awaypred / safe / safer | Totalpred / safe / safer | Who wins |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Goals | 1.07 0.10–2.04 0.00–2.29 | 1.71 0.86–2.57 0.63–2.79 | 2.78 0.96–4.60 0.48–5.08 | 24% 24% 52% |
| Shots on target | 3.79 1.92–5.65 1.43–6.14 | 5.33 3.59–7.07 3.12–7.54 | 9.12 5.51–12.72 4.56–13.68 | 25% 63% |
| Total shots | 11.18 7.25–15.10 6.16–16.19 | 15.24 11.68–18.80 10.72–19.76 | 26.42 18.93–33.90 16.88–35.95 | 19% 76% |
| Shots in box | 6.70 3.76–9.64 2.93–10.47 | 9.57 6.89–12.25 6.15–12.99 | 16.27 10.64–21.89 9.08–23.46 | 20% 72% |
| Blocked shots | 3.05 1.16–4.93 0.62–5.47 | 4.02 2.37–5.68 1.88–6.17 | 7.07 3.53–10.60 2.50–11.64 | 29% 14% 57% |
| Corners | 3.93 1.72–6.15 1.15–6.72 | 5.54 3.54–7.54 3.01–8.08 | 9.48 5.26–13.69 4.16–14.80 | 24% 64% |
| Possession % | 46.25 39.46–53.04 37.79–54.71 | 54.52 47.73–61.30 46.06–62.97 | — | 29% 67% |
| Passes | 355 288–422 270–441 | 431 364–497 347–515 | 786 652–920 616–955 | 26% 73% |
| Pass accuracy % | 64.78 60.75–68.81 59.46–70.10 | 72.77 68.44–77.09 67.13–78.40 | — | 14% 83% |
| Fouls | 14.65 11.81–17.49 11.05–18.24 | 13.88 10.93–16.82 10.18–17.57 | 28.52 22.74–34.31 21.24–35.81 | 52% 41% |
| Offsides | 1.73 0.57–2.89 0.27–3.19 | 1.83 0.74–2.93 0.45–3.21 | 3.56 1.31–5.82 0.72–6.41 | 37% 22% 41% |
| Yellow cards | 1.90 0.85–2.95 0.58–3.21 | 1.72 0.59–2.84 0.29–3.14 | 3.61 1.44–5.79 0.88–6.35 | 43% 22% 35% |
| Red cards | 0.11 0.00–0.28 0.00–0.43 | 0.09 0.00–0.28 0.00–0.41 | 0.21 0.00–0.55 0.00–0.84 | 82% |
| GK saves | 3.76 2.33–5.20 1.94–5.59 | 2.66 1.11–4.22 0.68–4.64 | 6.42 3.43–9.42 2.62–10.23 | 59% 15% 26% |
safe = prediction ± MAE · safer = ± RMSE of the serving model for that statistic. The bars show the model's own chance of each side recording more of that statistic — a Poisson approximation from the predicted rates, with the two teams treated as independent
Statistical estimates for information & entertainment only — not betting advice.