Liga I·Regular Season - 23·
Liga I·Regular Season - 23·Predicted match statistics
Goals
39%
27%
35%
homeawaytotalprediction1.331.242.57safe0.36–2.300.38–2.090.74–4.39safer0.11–2.550.16–2.320.26–4.87
Shots on target
50%
13%
37%
homeawaytotalprediction4.674.168.83safe2.81–6.532.42–5.905.23–12.44safer2.32–7.021.95–6.374.27–13.39
Total shots
64%
29%
homeawaytotalprediction14.1011.7925.89safe10.18–18.038.23–15.3518.41–33.38safer9.09–19.127.27–16.3116.36–35.43
Shots in box
54%
36%
homeawaytotalprediction8.917.9516.86safe5.97–11.855.26–10.6311.23–22.48safer5.14–12.684.53–11.369.67–24.05
Blocked shots
46%
15%
39%
homeawaytotalprediction3.613.366.97safe1.73–5.501.71–5.013.44–10.51safer1.19–6.041.21–5.502.40–11.54
Corners
54%
33%
homeawaytotalprediction5.234.419.64safe3.02–7.442.41–6.415.43–13.86safer2.44–8.021.88–6.954.32–14.96
Possession %
70%
26%
homeawayprediction55.0645.11safe48.27–61.8538.33–51.90safer46.60–63.5236.66–53.57
Passes
80%
20%
homeawaytotalprediction499398896safe431–566331–464763–1030safer413–584314–482727–1066
Pass accuracy %
48%
47%
homeawayprediction70.3970.21safe66.36–74.4265.89–74.54safer65.07–75.7164.58–75.85
Fouls
44%
48%
homeawaytotalprediction11.4811.7623.25safe8.65–14.328.82–14.7117.47–29.03safer7.89–15.088.07–15.4615.96–30.54
Offsides
44%
25%
32%
homeawaytotalprediction1.591.322.90safe0.43–2.750.22–2.410.65–5.16safer0.13–3.050.00–2.700.06–5.75
Yellow cards
36%
21%
43%
homeawaytotalprediction1.912.073.98safe0.86–2.960.94–3.201.80–6.16safer0.59–3.220.65–3.491.24–6.71
Red cards
81%
homeawaytotalprediction0.100.110.22safe0.00–0.270.00–0.300.00–0.57safer0.00–0.420.00–0.430.00–0.85
GK saves
35%
16%
48%
homeawaytotalprediction2.833.246.07safe1.39–4.271.68–4.793.07–9.06safer1.01–4.651.26–5.222.26–9.87
| Stat | Homepred / safe / safer | Awaypred / safe / safer | Totalpred / safe / safer | Who wins |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Goals | 1.33 0.36–2.30 0.11–2.55 | 1.24 0.38–2.09 0.16–2.32 | 2.57 0.74–4.39 0.26–4.87 | 39% 27% 35% |
| Shots on target | 4.67 2.81–6.53 2.32–7.02 | 4.16 2.42–5.90 1.95–6.37 | 8.83 5.23–12.44 4.27–13.39 | 50% 13% 37% |
| Total shots | 14.10 10.18–18.03 9.09–19.12 | 11.79 8.23–15.35 7.27–16.31 | 25.89 18.41–33.38 16.36–35.43 | 64% 29% |
| Shots in box | 8.91 5.97–11.85 5.14–12.68 | 7.95 5.26–10.63 4.53–11.36 | 16.86 11.23–22.48 9.67–24.05 | 54% 36% |
| Blocked shots | 3.61 1.73–5.50 1.19–6.04 | 3.36 1.71–5.01 1.21–5.50 | 6.97 3.44–10.51 2.40–11.54 | 46% 15% 39% |
| Corners | 5.23 3.02–7.44 2.44–8.02 | 4.41 2.41–6.41 1.88–6.95 | 9.64 5.43–13.86 4.32–14.96 | 54% 33% |
| Possession % | 55.06 48.27–61.85 46.60–63.52 | 45.11 38.33–51.90 36.66–53.57 | — | 70% 26% |
| Passes | 499 431–566 413–584 | 398 331–464 314–482 | 896 763–1030 727–1066 | 80% 20% |
| Pass accuracy % | 70.39 66.36–74.42 65.07–75.71 | 70.21 65.89–74.54 64.58–75.85 | — | 48% 47% |
| Fouls | 11.48 8.65–14.32 7.89–15.08 | 11.76 8.82–14.71 8.07–15.46 | 23.25 17.47–29.03 15.96–30.54 | 44% 48% |
| Offsides | 1.59 0.43–2.75 0.13–3.05 | 1.32 0.22–2.41 0.00–2.70 | 2.90 0.65–5.16 0.06–5.75 | 44% 25% 32% |
| Yellow cards | 1.91 0.86–2.96 0.59–3.22 | 2.07 0.94–3.20 0.65–3.49 | 3.98 1.80–6.16 1.24–6.71 | 36% 21% 43% |
| Red cards | 0.10 0.00–0.27 0.00–0.42 | 0.11 0.00–0.30 0.00–0.43 | 0.22 0.00–0.57 0.00–0.85 | 81% |
| GK saves | 2.83 1.39–4.27 1.01–4.65 | 3.24 1.68–4.79 1.26–5.22 | 6.07 3.07–9.06 2.26–9.87 | 35% 16% 48% |
safe = prediction ± MAE · safer = ± RMSE of the serving model for that statistic. The bars show the model's own chance of each side recording more of that statistic — a Poisson approximation from the predicted rates, with the two teams treated as independent
Statistical estimates for information & entertainment only — not betting advice.