Liga I·Regular Season - 23·
Liga I·Regular Season - 23·Predicted match statistics
Goals
44%
27%
29%
homeawaytotalprediction1.351.032.38safe0.38–2.320.18–1.880.56–4.20safer0.13–2.570.00–2.110.08–4.68
Shots on target
59%
28%
homeawaytotalprediction4.893.698.58safe3.03–6.761.95–5.434.98–12.19safer2.54–7.251.48–5.904.02–13.14
Total shots
80%
15%
homeawaytotalprediction16.2211.2827.50safe12.29–20.147.72–14.8520.01–34.99safer11.20–21.236.76–15.8117.96–37.04
Shots in box
75%
18%
homeawaytotalprediction9.956.7016.65safe7.01–12.904.02–9.3811.03–22.28safer6.18–13.733.28–10.129.46–23.84
Blocked shots
57%
14%
29%
homeawaytotalprediction4.283.287.56safe2.40–6.161.63–4.944.03–11.10safer1.85–6.701.14–5.432.99–12.13
Corners
72%
18%
homeawaytotalprediction6.243.8510.09safe4.02–8.451.85–5.855.88–14.30safer3.45–9.021.32–6.394.77–15.41
Possession %
49%
46%
homeawayprediction49.8749.32safe43.08–56.6642.53–56.10safer41.41–58.3340.86–57.77
Passes
51%
49%
homeawaytotalprediction397395792safe330–465328–461659–926safer312–483311–479623–962
Pass accuracy %
29%
66%
homeawayprediction62.9366.65safe58.90–66.9662.33–70.98safer57.61–68.2561.02–72.29
Fouls
55%
37%
homeawaytotalprediction12.5911.5024.09safe9.75–15.438.56–14.4518.31–29.87safer9.00–16.187.81–15.1916.81–31.38
Offsides
45%
24%
31%
homeawaytotalprediction1.611.302.92safe0.45–2.770.21–2.400.66–5.17safer0.15–3.070.00–2.690.07–5.76
Yellow cards
37%
21%
42%
homeawaytotalprediction1.831.943.77safe0.78–2.880.81–3.071.59–5.95safer0.51–3.140.52–3.361.03–6.50
Red cards
82%
homeawaytotalprediction0.080.130.21safe0.00–0.240.00–0.310.00–0.56safer0.00–0.390.00–0.450.00–0.84
GK saves
26%
15%
59%
homeawaytotalprediction2.573.666.23safe1.14–4.012.11–5.223.24–9.23safer0.75–4.401.68–5.642.43–10.04
| Stat | Homepred / safe / safer | Awaypred / safe / safer | Totalpred / safe / safer | Who wins |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Goals | 1.35 0.38–2.32 0.13–2.57 | 1.03 0.18–1.88 0.00–2.11 | 2.38 0.56–4.20 0.08–4.68 | 44% 27% 29% |
| Shots on target | 4.89 3.03–6.76 2.54–7.25 | 3.69 1.95–5.43 1.48–5.90 | 8.58 4.98–12.19 4.02–13.14 | 59% 28% |
| Total shots | 16.22 12.29–20.14 11.20–21.23 | 11.28 7.72–14.85 6.76–15.81 | 27.50 20.01–34.99 17.96–37.04 | 80% 15% |
| Shots in box | 9.95 7.01–12.90 6.18–13.73 | 6.70 4.02–9.38 3.28–10.12 | 16.65 11.03–22.28 9.46–23.84 | 75% 18% |
| Blocked shots | 4.28 2.40–6.16 1.85–6.70 | 3.28 1.63–4.94 1.14–5.43 | 7.56 4.03–11.10 2.99–12.13 | 57% 14% 29% |
| Corners | 6.24 4.02–8.45 3.45–9.02 | 3.85 1.85–5.85 1.32–6.39 | 10.09 5.88–14.30 4.77–15.41 | 72% 18% |
| Possession % | 49.87 43.08–56.66 41.41–58.33 | 49.32 42.53–56.10 40.86–57.77 | — | 49% 46% |
| Passes | 397 330–465 312–483 | 395 328–461 311–479 | 792 659–926 623–962 | 51% 49% |
| Pass accuracy % | 62.93 58.90–66.96 57.61–68.25 | 66.65 62.33–70.98 61.02–72.29 | — | 29% 66% |
| Fouls | 12.59 9.75–15.43 9.00–16.18 | 11.50 8.56–14.45 7.81–15.19 | 24.09 18.31–29.87 16.81–31.38 | 55% 37% |
| Offsides | 1.61 0.45–2.77 0.15–3.07 | 1.30 0.21–2.40 0.00–2.69 | 2.92 0.66–5.17 0.07–5.76 | 45% 24% 31% |
| Yellow cards | 1.83 0.78–2.88 0.51–3.14 | 1.94 0.81–3.07 0.52–3.36 | 3.77 1.59–5.95 1.03–6.50 | 37% 21% 42% |
| Red cards | 0.08 0.00–0.24 0.00–0.39 | 0.13 0.00–0.31 0.00–0.45 | 0.21 0.00–0.56 0.00–0.84 | 82% |
| GK saves | 2.57 1.14–4.01 0.75–4.40 | 3.66 2.11–5.22 1.68–5.64 | 6.23 3.24–9.23 2.43–10.04 | 26% 15% 59% |
safe = prediction ± MAE · safer = ± RMSE of the serving model for that statistic. The bars show the model's own chance of each side recording more of that statistic — a Poisson approximation from the predicted rates, with the two teams treated as independent
Statistical estimates for information & entertainment only — not betting advice.18+