Predicted match statistics
Goals
46%
25%
28%
homeawaytotalprediction1.541.152.68safe0.57–2.500.29–2.000.86–4.51safer0.32–2.760.06–2.230.38–4.98
Shots on target
48%
13%
39%
homeawaytotalprediction4.954.609.55safe3.09–6.812.86–6.345.95–13.16safer2.60–7.302.39–6.814.99–14.11
Total shots
65%
28%
homeawaytotalprediction15.2012.6127.81safe11.28–19.139.05–16.1720.33–35.30safer10.19–20.228.09–17.1318.28–37.35
Shots in box
62%
29%
homeawaytotalprediction9.577.7517.32safe6.63–12.515.07–10.4311.70–22.94safer5.80–13.344.33–11.1710.13–24.51
Blocked shots
53%
14%
33%
homeawaytotalprediction4.493.768.26safe2.61–6.372.11–5.424.72–11.79safer2.07–6.921.62–5.913.69–12.83
Corners
63%
26%
homeawaytotalprediction5.774.2310.00safe3.56–7.992.23–6.235.79–14.22safer2.98–8.561.70–6.774.68–15.32
Possession %
48%
47%
homeawayprediction50.1649.97safe43.37–56.9643.19–56.75safer41.70–58.6241.51–58.43
Passes
54%
46%
homeawaytotalprediction445432877safe378–512366–499743–1011safer359–530348–516708–1046
Pass accuracy %
33%
62%
homeawayprediction70.7773.65safe66.74–74.8069.33–77.98safer65.44–76.0968.02–79.29
Fouls
51%
41%
homeawaytotalprediction11.9911.3823.37safe9.15–14.838.44–14.3317.59–29.16safer8.40–15.587.69–15.0816.09–30.66
Offsides
44%
26%
30%
homeawaytotalprediction1.471.162.63safe0.30–2.630.07–2.260.38–4.88safer0.00–2.930.00–2.550.00–5.47
Yellow cards
36%
20%
44%
homeawaytotalprediction1.952.144.09safe0.90–3.001.02–3.271.91–6.27safer0.63–3.260.72–3.561.36–6.83
Red cards
83%
homeawaytotalprediction0.090.120.20safe0.00–0.250.00–0.300.00–0.55safer0.00–0.400.00–0.440.00–0.83
GK saves
37%
16%
46%
homeawaytotalprediction2.963.256.21safe1.53–4.401.69–4.813.22–9.20safer1.14–4.791.27–5.232.41–10.02
| Stat | Homepred / safe / safer | Awaypred / safe / safer | Totalpred / safe / safer | Who wins |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Goals | 1.54 0.57–2.50 0.32–2.76 | 1.15 0.29–2.00 0.06–2.23 | 2.68 0.86–4.51 0.38–4.98 | 46% 25% 28% |
| Shots on target | 4.95 3.09–6.81 2.60–7.30 | 4.60 2.86–6.34 2.39–6.81 | 9.55 5.95–13.16 4.99–14.11 | 48% 13% 39% |
| Total shots | 15.20 11.28–19.13 10.19–20.22 | 12.61 9.05–16.17 8.09–17.13 | 27.81 20.33–35.30 18.28–37.35 | 65% 28% |
| Shots in box | 9.57 6.63–12.51 5.80–13.34 | 7.75 5.07–10.43 4.33–11.17 | 17.32 11.70–22.94 10.13–24.51 | 62% 29% |
| Blocked shots | 4.49 2.61–6.37 2.07–6.92 | 3.76 2.11–5.42 1.62–5.91 | 8.26 4.72–11.79 3.69–12.83 | 53% 14% 33% |
| Corners | 5.77 3.56–7.99 2.98–8.56 | 4.23 2.23–6.23 1.70–6.77 | 10.00 5.79–14.22 4.68–15.32 | 63% 26% |
| Possession % | 50.16 43.37–56.96 41.70–58.62 | 49.97 43.19–56.75 41.51–58.43 | — | 48% 47% |
| Passes | 445 378–512 359–530 | 432 366–499 348–516 | 877 743–1011 708–1046 | 54% 46% |
| Pass accuracy % | 70.77 66.74–74.80 65.44–76.09 | 73.65 69.33–77.98 68.02–79.29 | — | 33% 62% |
| Fouls | 11.99 9.15–14.83 8.40–15.58 | 11.38 8.44–14.33 7.69–15.08 | 23.37 17.59–29.16 16.09–30.66 | 51% 41% |
| Offsides | 1.47 0.30–2.63 0.00–2.93 | 1.16 0.07–2.26 0.00–2.55 | 2.63 0.38–4.88 0.00–5.47 | 44% 26% 30% |
| Yellow cards | 1.95 0.90–3.00 0.63–3.26 | 2.14 1.02–3.27 0.72–3.56 | 4.09 1.91–6.27 1.36–6.83 | 36% 20% 44% |
| Red cards | 0.09 0.00–0.25 0.00–0.40 | 0.12 0.00–0.30 0.00–0.44 | 0.20 0.00–0.55 0.00–0.83 | 83% |
| GK saves | 2.96 1.53–4.40 1.14–4.79 | 3.25 1.69–4.81 1.27–5.23 | 6.21 3.22–9.20 2.41–10.02 | 37% 16% 46% |
safe = prediction ± MAE · safer = ± RMSE of the serving model for that statistic. The bars show the model's own chance of each side recording more of that statistic — a Poisson approximation from the predicted rates, with the two teams treated as independent
Statistical estimates for information & entertainment only — not betting advice.