Liga I·Regular Season - 23·
Liga I·Regular Season - 23·Predicted match statistics
Goals
30%
24%
46%
homeawaytotalprediction1.331.693.02safe0.36–2.300.83–2.541.19–4.84safer0.11–2.550.60–2.770.71–5.32
Shots on target
31%
57%
homeawaytotalprediction4.395.449.82safe2.52–6.253.69–7.186.22–13.43safer2.03–6.743.23–7.645.26–14.38
Total shots
32%
60%
homeawaytotalprediction12.8914.7927.68safe8.96–16.8111.23–18.3520.19–35.17safer7.87–17.9110.27–19.3118.14–37.22
Shots in box
34%
57%
homeawaytotalprediction8.099.2917.38safe5.15–11.036.61–11.9711.76–23.00safer4.32–11.865.87–12.7110.19–24.57
Blocked shots
37%
15%
48%
homeawaytotalprediction3.634.027.65safe1.75–5.512.37–5.674.11–11.18safer1.20–6.051.88–6.173.08–12.22
Corners
46%
41%
homeawaytotalprediction5.084.869.94safe2.87–7.292.86–6.865.73–14.16safer2.29–7.872.33–7.404.62–15.27
Possession %
25%
71%
homeawayprediction44.5554.83safe37.76–51.3448.04–61.61safer36.09–53.0146.37–63.28
Passes
28%
72%
homeawaytotalprediction390459849safe323–458393–526716–983safer305–476375–543680–1019
Pass accuracy %
19%
77%
homeawayprediction70.2776.59safe66.24–74.3072.26–80.91safer64.95–75.5970.95–82.22
Fouls
49%
43%
homeawaytotalprediction12.7812.4625.24safe9.94–15.629.51–15.4019.46–31.02safer9.19–16.378.76–16.1517.95–32.52
Offsides
51%
22%
28%
homeawaytotalprediction2.011.443.45safe0.85–3.170.35–2.531.20–5.70safer0.55–3.470.06–2.820.61–6.29
Yellow cards
40%
20%
41%
homeawaytotalprediction2.152.184.34safe1.10–3.201.05–3.312.16–6.51safer0.84–3.470.76–3.601.60–7.07
Red cards
79%
homeawaytotalprediction0.130.130.26safe0.00–0.290.00–0.310.00–0.60safer0.00–0.440.00–0.450.00–0.89
GK saves
53%
15%
32%
homeawaytotalprediction3.733.046.77safe2.29–5.161.48–4.603.78–9.76safer1.90–5.551.06–5.022.96–10.57
| Stat | Homepred / safe / safer | Awaypred / safe / safer | Totalpred / safe / safer | Who wins |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Goals | 1.33 0.36–2.30 0.11–2.55 | 1.69 0.83–2.54 0.60–2.77 | 3.02 1.19–4.84 0.71–5.32 | 30% 24% 46% |
| Shots on target | 4.39 2.52–6.25 2.03–6.74 | 5.44 3.69–7.18 3.23–7.64 | 9.82 6.22–13.43 5.26–14.38 | 31% 57% |
| Total shots | 12.89 8.96–16.81 7.87–17.91 | 14.79 11.23–18.35 10.27–19.31 | 27.68 20.19–35.17 18.14–37.22 | 32% 60% |
| Shots in box | 8.09 5.15–11.03 4.32–11.86 | 9.29 6.61–11.97 5.87–12.71 | 17.38 11.76–23.00 10.19–24.57 | 34% 57% |
| Blocked shots | 3.63 1.75–5.51 1.20–6.05 | 4.02 2.37–5.67 1.88–6.17 | 7.65 4.11–11.18 3.08–12.22 | 37% 15% 48% |
| Corners | 5.08 2.87–7.29 2.29–7.87 | 4.86 2.86–6.86 2.33–7.40 | 9.94 5.73–14.16 4.62–15.27 | 46% 41% |
| Possession % | 44.55 37.76–51.34 36.09–53.01 | 54.83 48.04–61.61 46.37–63.28 | — | 25% 71% |
| Passes | 390 323–458 305–476 | 459 393–526 375–543 | 849 716–983 680–1019 | 28% 72% |
| Pass accuracy % | 70.27 66.24–74.30 64.95–75.59 | 76.59 72.26–80.91 70.95–82.22 | — | 19% 77% |
| Fouls | 12.78 9.94–15.62 9.19–16.37 | 12.46 9.51–15.40 8.76–16.15 | 25.24 19.46–31.02 17.95–32.52 | 49% 43% |
| Offsides | 2.01 0.85–3.17 0.55–3.47 | 1.44 0.35–2.53 0.06–2.82 | 3.45 1.20–5.70 0.61–6.29 | 51% 22% 28% |
| Yellow cards | 2.15 1.10–3.20 0.84–3.47 | 2.18 1.05–3.31 0.76–3.60 | 4.34 2.16–6.51 1.60–7.07 | 40% 20% 41% |
| Red cards | 0.13 0.00–0.29 0.00–0.44 | 0.13 0.00–0.31 0.00–0.45 | 0.26 0.00–0.60 0.00–0.89 | 79% |
| GK saves | 3.73 2.29–5.16 1.90–5.55 | 3.04 1.48–4.60 1.06–5.02 | 6.77 3.78–9.76 2.96–10.57 | 53% 15% 32% |
safe = prediction ± MAE · safer = ± RMSE of the serving model for that statistic. The bars show the model's own chance of each side recording more of that statistic — a Poisson approximation from the predicted rates, with the two teams treated as independent
Statistical estimates for information & entertainment only — not betting advice.