Liga I·Regular Season - 23·
Liga I·Regular Season - 23·Predicted match statistics
Goals
26%
26%
49%
homeawaytotalprediction1.031.522.54safe0.06–2.000.66–2.370.72–4.37safer0.00–2.250.43–2.600.24–4.85
Shots on target
32%
13%
54%
homeawaytotalprediction3.914.758.67safe2.05–5.783.01–6.505.06–12.27safer1.56–6.272.55–6.964.11–13.23
Total shots
40%
53%
homeawaytotalprediction12.8213.6626.48safe8.89–16.7410.10–17.2318.99–33.97safer7.80–17.839.14–18.1916.94–36.02
Shots in box
31%
60%
homeawaytotalprediction7.459.0016.46safe4.51–10.406.32–11.6810.83–22.08safer3.68–11.235.58–12.429.27–23.65
Blocked shots
40%
16%
44%
homeawaytotalprediction3.253.406.65safe1.36–5.131.75–5.063.11–10.18safer0.82–5.671.26–5.552.08–11.22
Corners
35%
52%
homeawaytotalprediction4.475.159.61safe2.25–6.683.15–7.155.40–13.83safer1.68–7.252.61–7.684.29–14.93
Possession %
31%
65%
homeawayprediction46.7154.26safe39.92–53.5147.47–61.04safer38.25–55.1745.80–62.71
Passes
33%
67%
homeawaytotalprediction416469886safe349–484403–536752–1019safer331–502385–553716–1055
Pass accuracy %
19%
78%
homeawayprediction70.4776.87safe66.44–74.5072.55–81.20safer65.15–75.7971.24–82.50
Fouls
47%
45%
homeawaytotalprediction13.8313.7227.55safe10.99–16.6610.78–16.6721.77–33.33safer10.23–17.4210.03–17.4220.26–34.83
Offsides
45%
24%
31%
homeawaytotalprediction1.661.353.01safe0.50–2.820.26–2.440.76–5.26safer0.20–3.120.00–2.730.17–5.85
Yellow cards
42%
20%
38%
homeawaytotalprediction2.272.144.41safe1.22–3.311.02–3.272.23–6.59safer0.95–3.580.72–3.561.67–7.15
Red cards
82%
homeawaytotalprediction0.100.120.21safe0.00–0.260.00–0.300.00–0.56safer0.00–0.410.00–0.440.00–0.84
GK saves
47%
17%
36%
homeawaytotalprediction3.002.695.70safe1.57–4.441.14–4.252.70–8.69safer1.18–4.830.71–4.671.89–9.50
| Stat | Homepred / safe / safer | Awaypred / safe / safer | Totalpred / safe / safer | Who wins |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Goals | 1.03 0.06–2.00 0.00–2.25 | 1.52 0.66–2.37 0.43–2.60 | 2.54 0.72–4.37 0.24–4.85 | 26% 26% 49% |
| Shots on target | 3.91 2.05–5.78 1.56–6.27 | 4.75 3.01–6.50 2.55–6.96 | 8.67 5.06–12.27 4.11–13.23 | 32% 13% 54% |
| Total shots | 12.82 8.89–16.74 7.80–17.83 | 13.66 10.10–17.23 9.14–18.19 | 26.48 18.99–33.97 16.94–36.02 | 40% 53% |
| Shots in box | 7.45 4.51–10.40 3.68–11.23 | 9.00 6.32–11.68 5.58–12.42 | 16.46 10.83–22.08 9.27–23.65 | 31% 60% |
| Blocked shots | 3.25 1.36–5.13 0.82–5.67 | 3.40 1.75–5.06 1.26–5.55 | 6.65 3.11–10.18 2.08–11.22 | 40% 16% 44% |
| Corners | 4.47 2.25–6.68 1.68–7.25 | 5.15 3.15–7.15 2.61–7.68 | 9.61 5.40–13.83 4.29–14.93 | 35% 52% |
| Possession % | 46.71 39.92–53.51 38.25–55.17 | 54.26 47.47–61.04 45.80–62.71 | — | 31% 65% |
| Passes | 416 349–484 331–502 | 469 403–536 385–553 | 886 752–1019 716–1055 | 33% 67% |
| Pass accuracy % | 70.47 66.44–74.50 65.15–75.79 | 76.87 72.55–81.20 71.24–82.50 | — | 19% 78% |
| Fouls | 13.83 10.99–16.66 10.23–17.42 | 13.72 10.78–16.67 10.03–17.42 | 27.55 21.77–33.33 20.26–34.83 | 47% 45% |
| Offsides | 1.66 0.50–2.82 0.20–3.12 | 1.35 0.26–2.44 0.00–2.73 | 3.01 0.76–5.26 0.17–5.85 | 45% 24% 31% |
| Yellow cards | 2.27 1.22–3.31 0.95–3.58 | 2.14 1.02–3.27 0.72–3.56 | 4.41 2.23–6.59 1.67–7.15 | 42% 20% 38% |
| Red cards | 0.10 0.00–0.26 0.00–0.41 | 0.12 0.00–0.30 0.00–0.44 | 0.21 0.00–0.56 0.00–0.84 | 82% |
| GK saves | 3.00 1.57–4.44 1.18–4.83 | 2.69 1.14–4.25 0.71–4.67 | 5.70 2.70–8.69 1.89–9.50 | 47% 17% 36% |
safe = prediction ± MAE · safer = ± RMSE of the serving model for that statistic. The bars show the model's own chance of each side recording more of that statistic — a Poisson approximation from the predicted rates, with the two teams treated as independent
Statistical estimates for information & entertainment only — not betting advice.