Liga I·Regular Season - 23·
Liga I·Regular Season - 23·Predicted match statistics
Goals
29%
24%
46%
homeawaytotalprediction1.241.632.86safe0.27–2.200.77–2.481.04–4.69safer0.02–2.460.54–2.710.56–5.17
Shots on target
36%
13%
51%
homeawaytotalprediction4.084.648.72safe2.22–5.942.89–6.385.11–12.32safer1.73–6.432.43–6.844.16–13.28
Total shots
30%
62%
homeawaytotalprediction11.1613.1724.33safe7.23–15.089.61–16.7416.84–31.82safer6.14–16.178.65–17.6914.79–33.87
Shots in box
31%
60%
homeawaytotalprediction7.298.8116.11safe4.35–10.246.13–11.5010.48–21.73safer3.52–11.065.40–12.238.92–23.30
Blocked shots
28%
13%
59%
homeawaytotalprediction3.314.467.77safe1.43–5.202.81–6.114.24–11.31safer0.89–5.742.32–6.613.20–12.35
Corners
42%
13%
45%
homeawaytotalprediction4.784.889.66safe2.57–7.002.88–6.885.44–13.87safer2.00–7.572.34–7.414.34–14.98
Possession %
46%
50%
homeawayprediction50.5551.46safe43.76–57.3444.67–58.24safer42.09–59.0143.00–59.92
Passes
50%
50%
homeawaytotalprediction433433865safe366–500366–499732–999safer347–518349–517696–1035
Pass accuracy %
31%
64%
homeawayprediction70.0373.30safe66.00–74.0668.98–77.63safer64.71–75.3567.67–78.94
Fouls
35%
57%
homeawaytotalprediction10.4711.8022.27safe7.64–13.318.85–14.7416.49–28.05safer6.88–14.078.11–15.4914.99–29.56
Offsides
58%
19%
23%
homeawaytotalprediction2.441.513.95safe1.28–3.600.42–2.601.69–6.20safer0.97–3.900.13–2.891.10–6.79
Yellow cards
36%
20%
44%
homeawaytotalprediction2.032.264.29safe0.98–3.081.13–3.392.11–6.47safer0.72–3.350.84–3.681.56–7.03
Red cards
82%
homeawaytotalprediction0.110.090.21safe0.00–0.270.00–0.280.00–0.55safer0.00–0.420.00–0.410.00–0.84
GK saves
48%
17%
36%
homeawaytotalprediction3.172.785.95safe1.73–4.601.23–4.342.96–8.95safer1.34–4.990.80–4.772.15–9.76
| Stat | Homepred / safe / safer | Awaypred / safe / safer | Totalpred / safe / safer | Who wins |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Goals | 1.24 0.27–2.20 0.02–2.46 | 1.63 0.77–2.48 0.54–2.71 | 2.86 1.04–4.69 0.56–5.17 | 29% 24% 46% |
| Shots on target | 4.08 2.22–5.94 1.73–6.43 | 4.64 2.89–6.38 2.43–6.84 | 8.72 5.11–12.32 4.16–13.28 | 36% 13% 51% |
| Total shots | 11.16 7.23–15.08 6.14–16.17 | 13.17 9.61–16.74 8.65–17.69 | 24.33 16.84–31.82 14.79–33.87 | 30% 62% |
| Shots in box | 7.29 4.35–10.24 3.52–11.06 | 8.81 6.13–11.50 5.40–12.23 | 16.11 10.48–21.73 8.92–23.30 | 31% 60% |
| Blocked shots | 3.31 1.43–5.20 0.89–5.74 | 4.46 2.81–6.11 2.32–6.61 | 7.77 4.24–11.31 3.20–12.35 | 28% 13% 59% |
| Corners | 4.78 2.57–7.00 2.00–7.57 | 4.88 2.88–6.88 2.34–7.41 | 9.66 5.44–13.87 4.34–14.98 | 42% 13% 45% |
| Possession % | 50.55 43.76–57.34 42.09–59.01 | 51.46 44.67–58.24 43.00–59.92 | — | 46% 50% |
| Passes | 433 366–500 347–518 | 433 366–499 349–517 | 865 732–999 696–1035 | 50% 50% |
| Pass accuracy % | 70.03 66.00–74.06 64.71–75.35 | 73.30 68.98–77.63 67.67–78.94 | — | 31% 64% |
| Fouls | 10.47 7.64–13.31 6.88–14.07 | 11.80 8.85–14.74 8.11–15.49 | 22.27 16.49–28.05 14.99–29.56 | 35% 57% |
| Offsides | 2.44 1.28–3.60 0.97–3.90 | 1.51 0.42–2.60 0.13–2.89 | 3.95 1.69–6.20 1.10–6.79 | 58% 19% 23% |
| Yellow cards | 2.03 0.98–3.08 0.72–3.35 | 2.26 1.13–3.39 0.84–3.68 | 4.29 2.11–6.47 1.56–7.03 | 36% 20% 44% |
| Red cards | 0.11 0.00–0.27 0.00–0.42 | 0.09 0.00–0.28 0.00–0.41 | 0.21 0.00–0.55 0.00–0.84 | 82% |
| GK saves | 3.17 1.73–4.60 1.34–4.99 | 2.78 1.23–4.34 0.80–4.77 | 5.95 2.96–8.95 2.15–9.76 | 48% 17% 36% |
safe = prediction ± MAE · safer = ± RMSE of the serving model for that statistic. The bars show the model's own chance of each side recording more of that statistic — a Poisson approximation from the predicted rates, with the two teams treated as independent
Statistical estimates for information & entertainment only — not betting advice.