La Liga·Regular Season - 13·
La Liga·Regular Season - 13·Predicted match statistics
Goals
40%
29%
32%
homeawaytotalprediction1.201.042.24safe0.23–2.170.18–1.890.41–4.06safer0.00–2.420.00–2.120.00–4.54
Shots on target
46%
15%
39%
homeawaytotalprediction3.803.577.37safe1.94–5.661.83–5.313.76–10.97safer1.45–6.151.36–5.782.81–11.93
Total shots
64%
29%
homeawaytotalprediction12.7410.5423.28safe8.82–16.676.97–14.1015.79–30.77safer7.73–17.766.02–15.0613.74–32.82
Shots in box
61%
30%
homeawaytotalprediction8.216.6614.87safe5.27–11.153.98–9.349.25–20.49safer4.44–11.983.24–10.087.68–22.06
Blocked shots
45%
16%
39%
homeawaytotalprediction3.283.096.37safe1.40–5.161.43–4.742.83–9.90safer0.86–5.710.94–5.231.80–10.94
Corners
54%
34%
homeawaytotalprediction5.034.259.29safe2.82–7.252.25–6.255.07–13.50safer2.25–7.821.72–6.783.97–14.61
Possession %
21%
75%
homeawayprediction44.2156.67safe37.42–51.0049.88–63.45safer35.75–52.6748.21–65.12
Passes
23%
77%
homeawaytotalprediction386474861safe319–454408–541727–994safer301–472390–558691–1030
Pass accuracy %
14%
83%
homeawayprediction65.1972.94safe61.16–69.2268.62–77.26safer59.87–70.5167.31–78.57
Fouls
57%
36%
homeawaytotalprediction13.3812.0325.41safe10.55–16.229.09–14.9719.63–31.19safer9.79–16.988.34–15.7218.13–32.70
Offsides
39%
21%
39%
homeawaytotalprediction1.871.873.74safe0.71–3.030.78–2.961.48–5.99safer0.40–3.330.49–3.250.89–6.58
Yellow cards
40%
20%
40%
homeawaytotalprediction2.182.194.37safe1.13–3.231.06–3.312.19–6.54safer0.87–3.500.77–3.611.63–7.10
Red cards
82%
homeawaytotalprediction0.090.120.21safe0.00–0.250.00–0.310.00–0.56safer0.00–0.400.00–0.440.00–0.84
GK saves
35%
18%
47%
homeawaytotalprediction2.442.805.24safe1.00–3.881.24–4.352.24–8.23safer0.62–4.260.82–4.781.43–9.04
| Stat | Homepred / safe / safer | Awaypred / safe / safer | Totalpred / safe / safer | Who wins |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Goals | 1.20 0.23–2.17 0.00–2.42 | 1.04 0.18–1.89 0.00–2.12 | 2.24 0.41–4.06 0.00–4.54 | 40% 29% 32% |
| Shots on target | 3.80 1.94–5.66 1.45–6.15 | 3.57 1.83–5.31 1.36–5.78 | 7.37 3.76–10.97 2.81–11.93 | 46% 15% 39% |
| Total shots | 12.74 8.82–16.67 7.73–17.76 | 10.54 6.97–14.10 6.02–15.06 | 23.28 15.79–30.77 13.74–32.82 | 64% 29% |
| Shots in box | 8.21 5.27–11.15 4.44–11.98 | 6.66 3.98–9.34 3.24–10.08 | 14.87 9.25–20.49 7.68–22.06 | 61% 30% |
| Blocked shots | 3.28 1.40–5.16 0.86–5.71 | 3.09 1.43–4.74 0.94–5.23 | 6.37 2.83–9.90 1.80–10.94 | 45% 16% 39% |
| Corners | 5.03 2.82–7.25 2.25–7.82 | 4.25 2.25–6.25 1.72–6.78 | 9.29 5.07–13.50 3.97–14.61 | 54% 34% |
| Possession % | 44.21 37.42–51.00 35.75–52.67 | 56.67 49.88–63.45 48.21–65.12 | — | 21% 75% |
| Passes | 386 319–454 301–472 | 474 408–541 390–558 | 861 727–994 691–1030 | 23% 77% |
| Pass accuracy % | 65.19 61.16–69.22 59.87–70.51 | 72.94 68.62–77.26 67.31–78.57 | — | 14% 83% |
| Fouls | 13.38 10.55–16.22 9.79–16.98 | 12.03 9.09–14.97 8.34–15.72 | 25.41 19.63–31.19 18.13–32.70 | 57% 36% |
| Offsides | 1.87 0.71–3.03 0.40–3.33 | 1.87 0.78–2.96 0.49–3.25 | 3.74 1.48–5.99 0.89–6.58 | 39% 21% 39% |
| Yellow cards | 2.18 1.13–3.23 0.87–3.50 | 2.19 1.06–3.31 0.77–3.61 | 4.37 2.19–6.54 1.63–7.10 | 40% 20% 40% |
| Red cards | 0.09 0.00–0.25 0.00–0.40 | 0.12 0.00–0.31 0.00–0.44 | 0.21 0.00–0.56 0.00–0.84 | 82% |
| GK saves | 2.44 1.00–3.88 0.62–4.26 | 2.80 1.24–4.35 0.82–4.78 | 5.24 2.24–8.23 1.43–9.04 | 35% 18% 47% |
safe = prediction ± MAE · safer = ± RMSE of the serving model for that statistic. The bars show the model's own chance of each side recording more of that statistic — a Poisson approximation from the predicted rates, with the two teams treated as independent
Statistical estimates for information & entertainment only — not betting advice.