La Liga·Regular Season - 13·
La Liga·Regular Season - 13·Predicted match statistics
Goals
56%
24%
20%
homeawaytotalprediction1.750.952.70safe0.78–2.720.10–1.810.88–4.52safer0.53–2.970.00–2.030.40–5.00
Shots on target
71%
19%
homeawaytotalprediction5.533.398.93safe3.67–7.401.65–5.145.32–12.53safer3.18–7.891.18–5.604.37–13.49
Total shots
86%
homeawaytotalprediction16.0910.0226.11safe12.17–20.026.45–13.5818.62–33.60safer11.08–21.115.49–14.5416.57–35.65
Shots in box
79%
15%
homeawaytotalprediction10.156.4016.55safe7.21–13.093.71–9.0810.92–22.17safer6.38–13.922.98–9.819.36–23.74
Blocked shots
76%
14%
homeawaytotalprediction4.592.276.86safe2.71–6.470.61–3.923.32–10.39safer2.17–7.020.12–4.412.29–11.43
Corners
74%
16%
homeawaytotalprediction6.203.659.85safe3.99–8.421.65–5.655.64–14.07safer3.42–8.991.12–6.184.53–15.18
Possession %
87%
homeawayprediction60.1040.37safe53.31–66.8933.59–47.16safer51.64–68.5631.92–48.83
Passes
93%
homeawaytotalprediction522346868safe455–589280–412734–1001safer436–607262–430698–1037
Pass accuracy %
76%
20%
homeawayprediction73.4367.54safe69.40–77.4663.22–71.86safer68.11–78.7561.91–73.17
Fouls
31%
62%
homeawaytotalprediction11.5813.5825.15safe8.74–14.4110.63–16.5219.37–30.93safer7.98–15.179.88–17.2717.86–32.44
Offsides
15%
15%
70%
homeawaytotalprediction1.453.094.55safe0.29–2.612.00–4.192.29–6.80safer0.00–2.921.71–4.471.70–7.39
Yellow cards
33%
20%
47%
homeawaytotalprediction1.802.173.97safe0.75–2.851.04–3.301.80–6.15safer0.49–3.120.75–3.591.24–6.71
Red cards
85%
homeawaytotalprediction0.090.090.17safe0.00–0.250.00–0.270.00–0.52safer0.00–0.400.00–0.410.00–0.80
GK saves
23%
15%
63%
homeawaytotalprediction2.363.676.02safe0.92–3.792.11–5.223.03–9.02safer0.53–4.181.69–5.652.22–9.83
| Stat | Homepred / safe / safer | Awaypred / safe / safer | Totalpred / safe / safer | Who wins |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Goals | 1.75 0.78–2.72 0.53–2.97 | 0.95 0.10–1.81 0.00–2.03 | 2.70 0.88–4.52 0.40–5.00 | 56% 24% 20% |
| Shots on target | 5.53 3.67–7.40 3.18–7.89 | 3.39 1.65–5.14 1.18–5.60 | 8.93 5.32–12.53 4.37–13.49 | 71% 19% |
| Total shots | 16.09 12.17–20.02 11.08–21.11 | 10.02 6.45–13.58 5.49–14.54 | 26.11 18.62–33.60 16.57–35.65 | 86% |
| Shots in box | 10.15 7.21–13.09 6.38–13.92 | 6.40 3.71–9.08 2.98–9.81 | 16.55 10.92–22.17 9.36–23.74 | 79% 15% |
| Blocked shots | 4.59 2.71–6.47 2.17–7.02 | 2.27 0.61–3.92 0.12–4.41 | 6.86 3.32–10.39 2.29–11.43 | 76% 14% |
| Corners | 6.20 3.99–8.42 3.42–8.99 | 3.65 1.65–5.65 1.12–6.18 | 9.85 5.64–14.07 4.53–15.18 | 74% 16% |
| Possession % | 60.10 53.31–66.89 51.64–68.56 | 40.37 33.59–47.16 31.92–48.83 | — | 87% |
| Passes | 522 455–589 436–607 | 346 280–412 262–430 | 868 734–1001 698–1037 | 93% |
| Pass accuracy % | 73.43 69.40–77.46 68.11–78.75 | 67.54 63.22–71.86 61.91–73.17 | — | 76% 20% |
| Fouls | 11.58 8.74–14.41 7.98–15.17 | 13.58 10.63–16.52 9.88–17.27 | 25.15 19.37–30.93 17.86–32.44 | 31% 62% |
| Offsides | 1.45 0.29–2.61 0.00–2.92 | 3.09 2.00–4.19 1.71–4.47 | 4.55 2.29–6.80 1.70–7.39 | 15% 15% 70% |
| Yellow cards | 1.80 0.75–2.85 0.49–3.12 | 2.17 1.04–3.30 0.75–3.59 | 3.97 1.80–6.15 1.24–6.71 | 33% 20% 47% |
| Red cards | 0.09 0.00–0.25 0.00–0.40 | 0.09 0.00–0.27 0.00–0.41 | 0.17 0.00–0.52 0.00–0.80 | 85% |
| GK saves | 2.36 0.92–3.79 0.53–4.18 | 3.67 2.11–5.22 1.69–5.65 | 6.02 3.03–9.02 2.22–9.83 | 23% 15% 63% |
safe = prediction ± MAE · safer = ± RMSE of the serving model for that statistic. The bars show the model's own chance of each side recording more of that statistic — a Poisson approximation from the predicted rates, with the two teams treated as independent
Statistical estimates for information & entertainment only — not betting advice.18+