La Liga·Regular Season - 13·
La Liga·Regular Season - 13·Predicted match statistics
Goals
84%
homeawaytotalprediction3.480.954.43safe2.51–4.450.10–1.812.61–6.25safer2.26–4.700.00–2.032.13–6.73
Shots on target
92%
homeawaytotalprediction8.163.0811.23safe6.29–10.021.33–4.827.63–14.84safer5.80–10.510.87–5.286.67–15.79
Total shots
98%
homeawaytotalprediction19.838.3728.20safe15.90–23.754.81–11.9320.71–35.69safer14.81–24.843.85–12.8918.66–37.74
Shots in box
96%
homeawaytotalprediction14.356.0320.38safe11.41–17.293.35–8.7114.76–26.00safer10.58–18.122.61–9.4513.19–27.57
Blocked shots
85%
homeawaytotalprediction4.981.866.83safe3.10–6.860.20–3.513.30–10.37safer2.55–7.400.00–4.002.26–11.41
Corners
89%
homeawaytotalprediction7.603.1910.79safe5.39–9.821.19–5.196.58–15.00safer4.82–10.390.66–5.725.47–16.11
Possession %
98%
homeawayprediction68.2032.59safe61.41–74.9925.80–39.37safer59.74–76.6624.13–41.04
Passes
100%
homeawaytotalprediction7113541066safe644–779288–421932–1199safer626–797270–438896–1235
Pass accuracy %
91%
homeawayprediction81.3570.26safe77.32–85.3865.94–74.58safer76.03–86.6764.63–75.89
Fouls
29%
63%
homeawaytotalprediction10.3012.3922.69safe7.47–13.149.44–15.3316.91–28.47safer6.71–13.908.69–16.0815.40–29.98
Offsides
17%
14%
69%
homeawaytotalprediction1.843.525.36safe0.68–3.002.43–4.613.11–7.62safer0.38–3.302.14–4.902.52–8.20
Yellow cards
26%
21%
54%
homeawaytotalprediction1.432.143.57safe0.39–2.481.01–3.271.40–5.75safer0.12–2.750.72–3.560.84–6.31
Red cards
84%
homeawaytotalprediction0.070.110.18safe0.00–0.230.00–0.290.00–0.53safer0.00–0.380.00–0.430.00–0.81
GK saves
80%
homeawaytotalprediction2.184.887.06safe0.75–3.623.32–6.444.07–10.06safer0.36–4.012.90–6.863.26–10.87
| Stat | Homepred / safe / safer | Awaypred / safe / safer | Totalpred / safe / safer | Who wins |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Goals | 3.48 2.51–4.45 2.26–4.70 | 0.95 0.10–1.81 0.00–2.03 | 4.43 2.61–6.25 2.13–6.73 | 84% |
| Shots on target | 8.16 6.29–10.02 5.80–10.51 | 3.08 1.33–4.82 0.87–5.28 | 11.23 7.63–14.84 6.67–15.79 | 92% |
| Total shots | 19.83 15.90–23.75 14.81–24.84 | 8.37 4.81–11.93 3.85–12.89 | 28.20 20.71–35.69 18.66–37.74 | 98% |
| Shots in box | 14.35 11.41–17.29 10.58–18.12 | 6.03 3.35–8.71 2.61–9.45 | 20.38 14.76–26.00 13.19–27.57 | 96% |
| Blocked shots | 4.98 3.10–6.86 2.55–7.40 | 1.86 0.20–3.51 0.00–4.00 | 6.83 3.30–10.37 2.26–11.41 | 85% |
| Corners | 7.60 5.39–9.82 4.82–10.39 | 3.19 1.19–5.19 0.66–5.72 | 10.79 6.58–15.00 5.47–16.11 | 89% |
| Possession % | 68.20 61.41–74.99 59.74–76.66 | 32.59 25.80–39.37 24.13–41.04 | — | 98% |
| Passes | 711 644–779 626–797 | 354 288–421 270–438 | 1066 932–1199 896–1235 | 100% |
| Pass accuracy % | 81.35 77.32–85.38 76.03–86.67 | 70.26 65.94–74.58 64.63–75.89 | — | 91% |
| Fouls | 10.30 7.47–13.14 6.71–13.90 | 12.39 9.44–15.33 8.69–16.08 | 22.69 16.91–28.47 15.40–29.98 | 29% 63% |
| Offsides | 1.84 0.68–3.00 0.38–3.30 | 3.52 2.43–4.61 2.14–4.90 | 5.36 3.11–7.62 2.52–8.20 | 17% 14% 69% |
| Yellow cards | 1.43 0.39–2.48 0.12–2.75 | 2.14 1.01–3.27 0.72–3.56 | 3.57 1.40–5.75 0.84–6.31 | 26% 21% 54% |
| Red cards | 0.07 0.00–0.23 0.00–0.38 | 0.11 0.00–0.29 0.00–0.43 | 0.18 0.00–0.53 0.00–0.81 | 84% |
| GK saves | 2.18 0.75–3.62 0.36–4.01 | 4.88 3.32–6.44 2.90–6.86 | 7.06 4.07–10.06 3.26–10.87 | 80% |
safe = prediction ± MAE · safer = ± RMSE of the serving model for that statistic. The bars show the model's own chance of each side recording more of that statistic — a Poisson approximation from the predicted rates, with the two teams treated as independent
Statistical estimates for information & entertainment only — not betting advice.