La Liga·Regular Season - 13·
La Liga·Regular Season - 13·Predicted match statistics
Goals
15%
22%
62%
homeawaytotalprediction0.771.812.58safe0.00–1.740.95–2.660.75–4.40safer0.00–1.990.73–2.890.27–4.88
Shots on target
13%
77%
homeawaytotalprediction2.855.478.32safe0.98–4.713.73–7.214.71–11.92safer0.49–5.203.26–7.683.76–12.88
Total shots
15%
80%
homeawaytotalprediction10.8015.6226.42safe6.88–14.7312.06–19.1818.93–33.91safer5.78–15.8211.10–20.1416.88–35.96
Shots in box
88%
homeawaytotalprediction5.4510.6116.06safe2.51–8.397.93–13.2910.44–21.68safer1.68–9.227.19–14.038.87–23.25
Blocked shots
17%
71%
homeawaytotalprediction2.704.717.41safe0.81–4.583.06–6.363.87–10.94safer0.27–5.122.56–6.862.84–11.98
Corners
16%
75%
homeawaytotalprediction3.415.929.33safe1.19–5.623.92–7.925.12–13.55safer0.62–6.203.39–8.464.01–14.65
Possession %
96%
homeawayprediction35.5265.45safe28.73–42.3158.66–72.23safer27.06–43.9856.99–73.90
Passes
99%
homeawaytotalprediction321605926safe254–388539–671792–1060safer236–406521–689757–1095
Pass accuracy %
99%
homeawayprediction61.0278.89safe56.99–65.0574.56–83.21safer55.70–66.3473.26–84.52
Fouls
50%
42%
homeawaytotalprediction12.2611.7824.04safe9.43–15.108.84–14.7318.26–29.83safer8.67–15.868.09–15.4716.76–31.33
Offsides
35%
22%
43%
homeawaytotalprediction1.611.813.42safe0.45–2.770.72–2.901.17–5.68safer0.15–3.080.43–3.190.58–6.27
Yellow cards
47%
21%
32%
homeawaytotalprediction2.141.753.89safe1.09–3.190.62–2.881.71–6.07safer0.82–3.450.33–3.171.15–6.62
Red cards
80%
homeawaytotalprediction0.140.090.24safe0.00–0.300.00–0.280.00–0.58safer0.00–0.450.00–0.410.00–0.87
GK saves
64%
15%
21%
homeawaytotalprediction3.602.215.81safe2.17–5.040.65–3.762.82–8.80safer1.78–5.430.22–4.192.01–9.61
| Stat | Homepred / safe / safer | Awaypred / safe / safer | Totalpred / safe / safer | Who wins |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Goals | 0.77 0.00–1.74 0.00–1.99 | 1.81 0.95–2.66 0.73–2.89 | 2.58 0.75–4.40 0.27–4.88 | 15% 22% 62% |
| Shots on target | 2.85 0.98–4.71 0.49–5.20 | 5.47 3.73–7.21 3.26–7.68 | 8.32 4.71–11.92 3.76–12.88 | 13% 77% |
| Total shots | 10.80 6.88–14.73 5.78–15.82 | 15.62 12.06–19.18 11.10–20.14 | 26.42 18.93–33.91 16.88–35.96 | 15% 80% |
| Shots in box | 5.45 2.51–8.39 1.68–9.22 | 10.61 7.93–13.29 7.19–14.03 | 16.06 10.44–21.68 8.87–23.25 | 88% |
| Blocked shots | 2.70 0.81–4.58 0.27–5.12 | 4.71 3.06–6.36 2.56–6.86 | 7.41 3.87–10.94 2.84–11.98 | 17% 71% |
| Corners | 3.41 1.19–5.62 0.62–6.20 | 5.92 3.92–7.92 3.39–8.46 | 9.33 5.12–13.55 4.01–14.65 | 16% 75% |
| Possession % | 35.52 28.73–42.31 27.06–43.98 | 65.45 58.66–72.23 56.99–73.90 | — | 96% |
| Passes | 321 254–388 236–406 | 605 539–671 521–689 | 926 792–1060 757–1095 | 99% |
| Pass accuracy % | 61.02 56.99–65.05 55.70–66.34 | 78.89 74.56–83.21 73.26–84.52 | — | 99% |
| Fouls | 12.26 9.43–15.10 8.67–15.86 | 11.78 8.84–14.73 8.09–15.47 | 24.04 18.26–29.83 16.76–31.33 | 50% 42% |
| Offsides | 1.61 0.45–2.77 0.15–3.08 | 1.81 0.72–2.90 0.43–3.19 | 3.42 1.17–5.68 0.58–6.27 | 35% 22% 43% |
| Yellow cards | 2.14 1.09–3.19 0.82–3.45 | 1.75 0.62–2.88 0.33–3.17 | 3.89 1.71–6.07 1.15–6.62 | 47% 21% 32% |
| Red cards | 0.14 0.00–0.30 0.00–0.45 | 0.09 0.00–0.28 0.00–0.41 | 0.24 0.00–0.58 0.00–0.87 | 80% |
| GK saves | 3.60 2.17–5.04 1.78–5.43 | 2.21 0.65–3.76 0.22–4.19 | 5.81 2.82–8.80 2.01–9.61 | 64% 15% 21% |
safe = prediction ± MAE · safer = ± RMSE of the serving model for that statistic. The bars show the model's own chance of each side recording more of that statistic — a Poisson approximation from the predicted rates, with the two teams treated as independent
Statistical estimates for information & entertainment only — not betting advice.